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Previous: WILLAMETTE INDUSTRIES INC, SC 14D9/A, EX-99.(A)(5)(V), 2000-12-22 |
Next: WILLAMETTE INDUSTRIES INC, SC 14D9/A, EX-99.(E)(5), 2000-12-22 |
Willamette Industries
The Premier Franchise in Paper and Forest Products
December 22, 2000
1
Weyerhaeuser Offer Dramatically
Undervalues Premier Willamette
Franchise
2
Unique Franchise Value
n Proven Track Record of Delivering Shareholder Value
n Strong, Entrepreneurial, Results-Oriented Culture
n Vertically Integrated Low Cost Producer; Market-Driven Production
n Effective Deployment of Capital and Assets
n Well Positioned to Continue to Produce EPS Growth in Excess of Peer Group Over Cycle
3
Superior Price Performance
S&P 500: 18.9%
|
S&P 500: 8.0%
|
[BAR CHART APPEARS HERE]
Average Return (%)
|
||||
---|---|---|---|---|
1991-2000
|
1999-2000
|
|||
WLL
|
17.5%
|
WLL
|
9.0%
|
|
S&P Paper & Forest Products Index
|
8.2%
|
S&P Paper & Forest Products Index
|
6.8%
|
|
Large Cap Composite
|
11.4%
|
Large Cap Composite
|
6.6%
|
|
Note: Reflects the average total return, including reinvested dividends, for the annual periods indicated through November 10, 2000.
Large Cap Composite includes International Paper, Georgia-Pacific and Weyerhaeuser.
4
Stronger EPS Growth
[BAR CHART APPEARS HERE]
Compound Annual Growth Rate (%)
|
|
---|---|
1990 to Present
|
|
WLL
|
9.2%
|
Industry Composite
|
1.7%
|
Large Cap Composite
|
3.3%
|
Industry composite includes Boise Cascade, Bowater, Chesapeake, Georgia-Pacific, International Paper, Longview Fibre, Louisiana-Pacific, Mead, Temple-Inland, Westvaco and Weyerhaeuser.
Large cap composite includes International Paper, Georgia-Pacific and Weyerhaeuser.
Source: Company reports/Factset
Note: Reflects EPS Growth from 1990 through Q3 2000.
5
Low Cost Producer
n | Campti, Louisiana brown paper mill believed to be lowest cost integrated mill in North America and Albany, Oregon brown paper mill lowest cost integrated mill in Western U.S. | |
n | Willamette is profitable in its corrugated business while the industry on average is unprofitable; Willamette exceeds industry average by over $3 per MSF sold in terms of operating income | |
n | Average white paper production per machine believed to be highest in the industry | |
n | Willamette has a disciplined approach to market and ranks among the lowest in the industry in terms of SG&A | |
6
Translates into Higher Margins
[LINE GRAPH APPEARS HERE]
EBITDA MARGINS (%) | |||||||||||
1990
|
1991
|
1992
|
1993
|
1994
|
1995
|
1996
|
1997
|
1998
|
1999
|
LTM (a)
|
|
WLL | 18.2%
|
14.7%
|
15.7%
|
17.2%
|
19.4%
|
29.5%
|
20.4%
|
16.1%
|
17.1%
|
20.9%
|
21.8%
|
Industry Composite | 17.7%
|
14.5%
|
14.3%
|
14.4%
|
16.0%
|
21.4%
|
16.1%
|
12.9%
|
15.1%
|
16.6%
|
15.5%
|
Industry composite includes Boise Cascade, Bowater, Chesapeake, Georgia-Pacific, International Paper, Longview Fibre, Louisiana-Pacific, Mead, Potlatch, Smurfit-Stone, Temple-Inland, Westvaco and
Weyerhaeuser.
Source: Company reports/Factset
(a) Last twelve months ended Q3 2000
7
Capital Allocation
n | 15%+ internal rate of return target on capital projects, except environmental and maintenance | |
n | Invested $1 billion in capital projects since 1997, excluding acquisitions | |
n | Debt Paydown -- $370 million since 1997 | |
n | Repurchased 2.5 million shares in 1H 2000 | |
n | Dividend increased 31% since 1997, more than 100% in last decade |
8
Higher Returns
[Line Graph]
WLL
|
Industry Composite
|
|
1990 | 7.2%
|
3.8%
|
1991 | 2.2%
|
1.3%
|
1992 | 3.4%
|
1.4%
|
1993 | 5.1%
|
1.4%
|
1994 | 8.1%
|
2.9%
|
1995 | 16.0%
|
6.4%
|
1996 | 4.7%
|
2.3%
|
1997 | 1.5%
|
1.0%
|
1998 | 1.9%
|
.9%
|
1999 | 5.5%
|
2.7%
|
LTM (a) | 7.0%
|
3.0%
|
Return on Average Assets = Net Income/Average Assets
Composite includes Boise Cascade, Bowater, Chesapeake, Georgia-Pacific, International Paper, Longview Fibre, Louisiana-Pacific, Mead, Potlatch, Smurfit-Stone, Temple-Inland, Westvaco and Weyerhaeuser.
Source: Company reports/Factset
(a) Last twelve months ended Q3 2000
9
Balanced Business Portfolio Reduces Volatility
[PIE CHART APPEARS HERE]
LTM Revenue: $4,426 M
|
LTM Operating Earnings: $702 M (a) | ||
---|---|---|---|
Brown Paper
|
38% | Brown Paper
|
46% |
White Paper
|
31% | White Paper
|
32% |
Building Materials
|
31% | Building Materials
|
22% |
LTM: Last twelve months ended Q3 2000..
Source: Company reports.
(a) Excludes corporate items.
10
Outlook for Business
Brown Paper
n
|
Industry wide volume growth is flat to down, however, Willamette volume up 1.6% in first nine months and October and November volume up 9.5% over prior year | |
n
|
Pricing appears stable at current profitable level |
White Paper
n
|
Price increases implemented in October at approximately $40 per ton and holding | |
n
|
IPs announced closure of 820,000 tons of uncoated free sheet capacity should strengthen market | |
n
|
Pulp markets softening on a worldwide basis |
Building Materials
n
|
At or near low point in cycle; Willamettes strength in particleboard, medium density fiberboard and log exports help mitigate the impact |
Brown Paper
- Willamette volume is up 1.6% in the first nine months and October and November volume is up 9.5% over the prior year.
- Pricing appears stable at current profitable level.
White Paper
- Demand for uncoated free sheet remains solid; recent price increases implemented
- Pulp markets softening on worldwide basis.
Building Materials
- The sector is at or near the low point in the cycle but the Company's strength in composite panels and other areas have helped to mitigate the impact on earnings. Recent investments will benefit Willamette as the Company moves through the cycle. Willamette is optimistic that there will be improvement in late 2001.
11
Permanent Capacity Reductions
Plywood | |||
|
|||
Date | Facility
|
Capacity
|
|
1997 | Taylor
|
210 MM Sq. Ft.
|
|
2000 | Dallas
|
154 MM Sq. Ft.
|
|
2000E | Ruston
|
226 MM Sq. Ft.
|
|
590 MM Sq. Ft.
|
|||
White Paper | |||
|
|||
Date | Facility
|
Capacity
|
|
1995 | Johnsonburg #4 PM
|
22,000 tons
|
|
1999 | Kingsport #3 PM
|
56,000 tons
|
|
2000E | Johnsonburg #2 PM
|
40,000 tons
|
|
2001E | Johnsonburg #3 PM
|
45,000 tons
|
|
2002E | Kingsport #4 & 5 PM
|
170,000 tons
|
|
333,000 tons
|
12
Value Enhancing Initiatives
Investments
|
||
n | Mexican Corrugated Acquisition | |
n | French Particleboard Expansion | |
n | Particleboard Start-ups | Fully implemented*,
adds in excess of $340 million to EBITDA based on todays pricing |
n | Kingsport Modernization | |
n | Port Wentworth Pulp Mill Start-up | |
n | Corrugated Start-ups | |
n | Integration of Cavenham Timberland Acquisition | |
n | Cogeneration Facility Installations |
* All projects expected to be complete by Q4 2003.
13
Kingsport
n | In 2001, Willamettes white paper system will need to purchase approximately 250,000 tons of uncoated free sheet to meet demand, already matching the additional net output of the new paper machine in late 2003 | |
n | Manufacturing costs per ton are forecasted to decline almost $250 per ton when modernization is completed | |
n | Pricing assumptions used are $50 per ton less than the current market environment | |
n | Projected internal rate of return in excess of 15% | |
n | Cost competitive with imports from Brazil and Indonesia | |
14
Weyerhaeuser Offer Dramatically Undervalues Willamette
Stora-Enso/ | Selected Transaction | |||||
Benchmark (a) | Proposal | Consolidated Papers | Average (b) | |||
|
||||||
Premiums to: | ||||||
Market (c) | 38 | % | 69 | % | 53
|
%
|
52-week High | (5 | ) | 34 | 20 | ||
All-Time High | (8 | ) | 28 | 17 | ||
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | ||||||
Latest Twelve Months | 7.3 | x | 14.0 | x | 11.5 | x
|
Peak | 6.1 | 10.3 | 7.1 | |||
5-year Average | 9.0 | 12.4 | 10.5 | |||
|
||||||
(a) | Represents one of many approaches which can be used to assess value |
(b) | Average includes Stora-Enso/Consolidated Papers, International Paper/Champion, and International Paper/Union Camp transactions. |
(c) | As of November 10, 2000 (the last trading day prior to the public announcement of Weyerhaeusers $48 per share bear hug proposal dated November 6, 2000) |
15
Delivering Increasing Value to Shareholders
[Line Graph indicating quarterly high and low WLL Share Price from 1990]
16
Our Future is Bright
n | Proven Track Record of Delivering Shareholder Value | |
n | Significant Benefits Yet to be Realized | |
n | Well Positioned to Continue Outperforming the Industry | |
n | Confident in Our Ability to Deliver Future Value to Shareholders | |
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