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Project Jesse
PRESENTATION TO THE SPECIAL COMMITTEE OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS
Confidential
July 14, 1999
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CONFIDENTIAL MATERIAL FOR THE SPECIALC OMMITTEE OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS
THE FOLLOWING PAGES CONTAIN MATERIAL PROVIDED TO THE SPECIAL COMMITTEE OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS OF MINNESOTA (THE "COMPANY") BY CIBC WORLD MARKETS CORP. ("CIBC WORLD MARKETS") IN CONNECTION WITH THE MANAGEMENT BUYOUT OF THE COMPANY IN CONJUNCTION WITH AND FUNDED BY DLJ MERCHANT BANKING PARTNERS II, L.P. ("DLJMB"). THE ACCOMPANYING MATERIAL WAS COMPILED AND PREPARED ON A CONFIDENTIAL BASIS SOLELY FOR THE USE OF THE SPECIAL COMMITTEE OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS OF THE COMPANY. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS MATERIAL WAS OBTAINED FROM THE COMPANY AND OTHER SOURCES. ANY ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS FOR THE COMPANY CONTAINED HEREIN HAVE BEEN PREPARED BY THE MANAGEMENT OF THE COMPANY OR ARE BASED ON SUCH ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS, AND INVOLVE NUMEROUS AND SIGNIFICANT SUBJECTIVE DETERMINATIONS, WHICH MAY OR MAY NOT BE CORRECT. NO REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, IS MADE AS TO THE ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OF SUCH INFORMATION AND NOTHING CONTAINED HEREIN IS, OR SHALL BE RELIED UPON AS, A REPRESENTATION, WHETHER AS TO THE PAST OR THE FUTURE. THIS MATERIAL WAS NOT PREPARED FOR USE BY READERS NOT AS FAMILIAR WITH THE BUSINESS AND AFFAIRS OF THE COMPANY AS THE SPECIAL COMMITTEE OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS AND, ACCORDINGLY, NEITHER THE COMPANY NOR CIBC WORLD MARKETS NOR THEIR RESPECTIVE LEGAL OR FINANCIAL ADVISORS OR ACCOUNTANTS TAKE ANY RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE ACCOMPANYING MATERIAL WHEN USED BY PERSONS OTHER THAN THE SPECIAL COMMITTEE OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS OF THE COMPANY.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Review of Minnesota's Current Situation
Minnesota's common stock trades at a discount due to size, cyclicality, dependence on financial print and lack of equity research sponsorship
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Current Market Events
Recent market events may indicate softness in the financial printing market
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Overview of Historical and Projected Financial Results
(Fiscal year ended January 31, 1999, LTM figures as of May 31, 1999; dollars in millions)
The Company experienced solid growth and stable margins over the past several years
Sales [GRAPH] |
EBITDA [GRAPH] |
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EBIT [GRAPH] |
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Net Income [GRAPH] |
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Peer Comparison
(Figures in millions, except ratios and analyst coverage)
Minnesota's smaller size, dependence on financial printing and lack of analyst coverage could account for its low trading multiples
|
Minnesota |
Banta BNTA |
Big Flower BGF(1) |
Bowne BNE |
Donnelly DNY |
Quebecor PRW |
World Color WRC(2) |
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Latest Twelve Month (LTM) Operating Statistics: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Sales |
|
$ |
587.7 |
|
$ |
1,314.3 |
|
$ |
1,776.1 |
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$ |
871.9 |
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$ |
5,024.7 |
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$ |
3,836.8 |
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$ |
2,412.3 |
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EBITDA | 73.3 | 162.5 | 230.5 | 96.3 | 859.2 | 552.1 | 363.9 | |||||||||||||||
EBIT | 52.1 | 95.6 | 140.6 | 49.6 | 492.2 | 307.4 | 219.6 | |||||||||||||||
Net Income | 26.1 | 51.6 | 39.6 | 22.4 | 254.4 | 166.2 | 74.6 | |||||||||||||||
EBITDA Margin |
|
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12.5 |
% |
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12.4 |
% |
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13.0 |
% |
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11.0 |
% |
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17.1 |
% |
|
14.4 |
% |
|
15.1 |
% |
EBIT Margin | 8.9 | % | 7.3 | % | 7.9 | % | 5.7 | % | 9.8 | % | 8.0 | % | 9.1 | % | ||||||||
Net Margin | 4.4 | % | 3.9 | % | 2.2 | % | 2.6 | % | 5.1 | % | 4.3 | % | 3.1 | % | ||||||||
Net Debt / EBITDA |
|
|
1.5 |
x |
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0.8 |
x |
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4.2 |
x |
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0.9 |
x |
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1.3 |
x |
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2.2 |
x |
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3.1 |
x |
Financial: |
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Market Capitalization | $ | 278.8 | $ | 671.6 | $ | 689.5 | $ | 502.5 | $ | 4,531.7 | $ | 2,803.1 | $ | 1,139.2 | ||||||||
Net Debt | 108.2 | 133.1 | 976.5 | 86.6 | 1,150.4 | 1,241.9 | 1,138.7 | |||||||||||||||
Firm Value | 387.0 | 804.7 | 1,666.0 | 589.1 | 5,682.1 | 4,045.0 | 2,277.9 | |||||||||||||||
Shares Outstanding |
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16.4 |
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29.5 |
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21.0 |
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37.1 |
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131.6 |
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116.8 |
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39.8 |
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Average Weekly Volume | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | |||||||||||||||
Analyst Coverage |
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0 |
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2 |
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6 |
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3 |
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7 |
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13 |
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9 |
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Comparable Company Trading Multiple Comparison(1)
Minnesota currently trades below its peers on all valuation metrics
Equity Value/LTM Earnings [GRAPH] |
Firm Value/LTM Revenue [GRAPH] |
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Firm Value/LTM EBIT [GRAPH] |
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Firm Value/LTM EBITDA [GRAPH] |
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Comparable Company LTM Financial Performance(1)
The Company's operating performance is comparable to that of its peers
Sales [GRAPH] |
LTM EBITDA Margin [GRAPH] |
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LTM EBIT Margin [GRAPH] |
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LTM Net Margin [GRAPH] |
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Minnesota Price / Volume Graph
(July 14, 1998July 14, 1999)
Over the past six months, the share price of Minnesota has not been above $19.31
Minnesota Price / Volume
[GRAPH]
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Minnesota Historical Price/Earnings Ratio Graph
(July 1, 1997July 1, 1999)
Since July 1, 1997, Minnesota has traded at an average P/E Multiple of 12.1x.
Minnesota Historical Price/Earnings Ratio
[GRAPH]
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Minnesota Peer Comparison(1)
(July 14, 1998July 14, 1999)
Minnesota's stock has underperformed the S&P Index and an index of comparable companies
Minnesota Peer Comparison
[GRAPH]
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Minnesota Volume Distribution Analysis(1)
(July 14, 1998July 14, 1999)
EDGAR REPRESENTATION OF DATA POINTS USED IN PRINTED GRAPHIC
$12.00-$13.00 |
0.7% |
|
---|---|---|
$13.00-$14.00 | 5.0% | |
$14.00-$15.00 | 25.4% | |
$15.00-$16.00 | 14.6% | |
$16.00-$17.00 | 10.8% | |
$17.00-$18.00 | 7.3% | |
$18.00-$19.00 | 2.0% | |
$19.00-$20.00 | 3.6% | |
$20.00-$21.00 | 2.3% | |
$21.00-$22.00 | 1.6% | |
$22.00-$23.00 | 0.4% | |
$23.00-$24.00 | 3.1% | |
$24.00-$25.00 | 0.6% |
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Shareholder Profile Analysis
John Castro, the CEO, currently owns approximately 12% of the shares
Institutional Holders
Institutional Holders |
Shares |
Percent |
Cumulative Percent |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First Pacific Advisors, Inc. | 1,074,700 | 6.68% | 6.66% | |||
Mairs and Powers Growth Fund, Inc. | 965,000 | 5.98% | 12.65% | |||
US Bancorp | 797,440 | 4.95% | 17.59% | |||
Neumeier Investment Counsel | 595,800 | 3.69% | 21.29% | |||
AXA Rosenberg Investment Management LLC |
|
522,600 |
|
3.24% |
|
24.53% |
PIMCO Advisors | 464,200 | 2.88% | 27.41% | |||
Barclays Bank Plc | 454,600 | 2.82% | 30.23% | |||
Gruber & McBaine Capital Management | 423,500 | 2.63% | 32.85% | |||
J. & W. Seligman & Co. | 413,325 | 2.56% | 35.42% | |||
Royce & Associates, Inc. |
|
412,400 |
|
2.56% |
|
37.98% |
Citigroup Inc. | 308,100 | 1.91% | 39.89% | |||
Southern Farm Bureau Life Insurance | 277,690 | 1.72% | 41.61% | |||
Woodland Partners LLC | 250,000 | 1.55% | 43.16% | |||
California Public Employee Ret. System | 236,600 | 1.47% | 44.63% | |||
Thompson, Plumb & Associates, Inc. |
|
228,200 |
|
1.42% |
|
46.04% |
Norwest BankMinnesota N.A. | 214,525 | 1.33% | 47.37% | |||
Mellon Bank Corporation | 212,274 | 1.32% | 48.69% | |||
David L. Babson & Co., Inc. | 192,100 | 1.19% | 49.88% | |||
Brandywine Asset Management | 172,400 | 1.07% | 50.95% | |||
The Vanguard Group |
|
158,800 |
|
0.98% |
|
51.93% |
KPM Investment Management, Inc. | 153,800 | 0.95% | 52.89% | |||
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 152,000 | 0.94% | 53.83% | |||
BPI Capital Management, Inc. | 148,100 | 0.92% | 54.75% | |||
Invista Capital Management, Inc. | 134,600 | 0.83% | 55.58% | |||
Other Institutional Holders | 2,927,728 | 18.16% | 73.74% | |||
Total Institutional Ownership | 11,890,482 | 73.74% | 73.74% |
Insider Ownership
Insiders(1) |
Shares |
Percent |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
John W. Castro | 1,956,640 | 12.13% | ||
Rick R. Atterbury | 373,290 | 2.31% | ||
Robert F. Nienhouse | 271,647 | 1.68% | ||
Richard G. Lareau | 137,581 | 0.85% | ||
Paul Miller | 78,505 | 0.49% | ||
Ronald N. Hoge | 37,681 | 0.23% | ||
All other insiders | 214,558 | 1.33% | ||
Total insiders | 3,069,902 | 19.04% |
Distribution Summary
|
Shares |
Percent |
||
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Institutional Holders (excl. 5% holders) | 9,850,782 | 61.09% | ||
5% Institutional Holders | 2,039,700 | 12.65% | ||
Insider Ownership | 3,069,902 | 19.04% | ||
Retail | 1,164,737 | 7.22% | ||
Total Shares Outstanding | 16,125,121 | 100.00% |
[PIE GRAPH]
Source: CDA Spectrum (12/31/98) and Proxy dated 5/1/98.
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2 PROCESS OVERVIEW
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PROCESS OVERVIEW
Overview of the Process
CIBC World Markets has been working with the Special Committee since May 24, 1999
Date |
Event |
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May 24, 1999 | CIBC World Markets presents to the Special Committee of Minnesota its credentials, potential services to be performed and a preliminary list of potential strategic and financial buyers | |
May 27, 1999 |
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CIBC World Markets receives management's internal financial projections, as well as other confidential financial information CIBC World Markets is advised by counsel that Company A and Company B will likely be excluded from purchasing Minnesota due to anti-trust concerns |
May 28, 1999 |
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CIBC World Markets presents to the Special Committee a list of the six most likely strategic buyers, as well as a short list of potential financial buyers |
June 2/3, 1999 |
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CIBC World Markets meets with the management of Minnesota to discuss the Company's financial projections and market condititons |
June 8, 1999 |
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CIBC World Markets presents to the Special Committee a preliminary financial analysis of Minnesota based on the financial information received from management |
June 11, 1999 |
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CIBC World Markets receives a proposal from DLJ. Initial indication of price is $19.00 cash per share. Special Committee, with the advice of CIBC World Markets, rejects the offer as inadequate |
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PROCESS OVERVIEW
Overview of the Process
CIBC World Markets' market test resulted in limited interest from strategic buyers
Date |
Event |
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June 15, 1999 | | CIBC World Markets advises the Special Committee of its strategic alternatives including: | ||||
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Do nothing (continue to execute Minnesota's strategic plan) |
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Negotiate with DLJ |
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Conduct a formal market test |
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Approach other financial buyers |
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Public announcement stating that management is considering taking the Company private |
June 16, 1999 |
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The Special Committee decides to conduct a limited confidential market test of strategic buyers and authorizes CIBC World Markets to contact Company C on a confidential basis regarding a potential transaction with Minnesota |
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June 17, 1999 |
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Company C expressed that they were not interested in pursuing the opportunity due to concern over the cyclical nature of the financial printing business and the pursuit of other acquisition opportunities |
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June 18, 1999 |
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DLJ increases its proposal to $21.00 cash per share |
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June 21June 23, 1999 |
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The Special Committee authorizes CIBC World Markets to contact five other potential strategic buyers including: |
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Company D |
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Company E |
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Company F |
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Company G |
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Company H |
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PROCESS OVERVIEW
Overview of the Process
DLJ agrees to the deal terms of the Special Committee and to increase their offer to $22.00 cash per share
Date |
Event |
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June 23June 25, 1999 | | The Special Committee request DLJ to submit a formal written proposal including terms of financing and such proposal is received | ||||
Week of June 28 |
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CIBC World Markets contacts Company D, Company G and Company H, all authorized strategic buyers. Company G and Company H did not express interest in pursuing a transaction with Minnesota. Company D expressed preliminary interest, but was unable to confirm whether they wished to pursue, and if so, at what proposed valuation and terms. CIBC World Markets had yet to hear a response from: |
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Company E |
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Company F |
July 1, 1999 |
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The Special Committee formally responds to the offer presented by DLJ with a request for $23.00 per share |
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Week of July 5, 1999 |
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Company F formally responds that they are not interested in pursuing the opportunity |
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Company E expresses preliminary interest, but is unable to confirm whether they wish to pursue, and if so, at what proposed valuation and terms |
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Negotiations occur between the Special Committee and DLJ regarding DLJ's proposal. DLJ responds with an offer of $21.25 per share which is refused by the Special Committee |
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July 11, 1999 |
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The Special Committee responds to DLJ with a "Take it or leave it" proposal at $22.00 |
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The structure of the transaction is changed from a two step cash tender offer to a one step merger in order to allow for reduced transaction expenses (incl. time value of money) and recapitalization accounting |
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DLJ and Special Committee agree on major terms |
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3 TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
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TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
Key Transaction Terms
DLJ will offer to purchase all of the outstanding shares of Minnesota for $22.00 per share
Transaction
Conditions
Termination
The agreement may be terminated:
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TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
Key Transaction Terms
"No Shop" Provision
Financing Terms
Break-Up Fees
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TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
Key Transaction Terms
Management Participation
Treatment of Options
All outstanding options will be cancelled by the Company and each holder shall receive an amount in cash equal to the positive difference, if any, between the offer price per share and the exercise price per share
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TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
Transaction Sources & Uses and Multiple Analysis
(Figures in thousands, except share and multiple data)
A $22.00 per share bid represents 6.7x LTM EBITDA
Estimated Sources of Funds
Term Loan A | 60.0 | ||
Term Loan B | 138.2 | ||
Bridge Loan / High Yield | 190.0 | ||
Equity Sponsor | 148.6 | ||
Total Sources of Funds | $ | 536.8 |
Estimated Uses of Funds
Purchase of Minnesota Common Equity | $ | 384.8 | |
Existing Minnesota Current Debt | 77.0 | ||
Existing Minnesota Long Term Debt | 39.4 | ||
Fees and Expenses | 25.0 | ||
Management Agreement | 10.6 | ||
Total Uses of Funds | $ | 536.8 |
Transaction Value
Fully Diluted Shares(1) | 17,489 | ||
Offer Price Per Share | $ | 22.00 | |
Equity Value | $ | 384,758 | |
Net Debt(2) | $ | 108,230 | |
Enterprise Value | $ | 492,988 |
Methodologies
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LTM |
2000 |
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Enterprise Value / Revenues | 0.8x | | ||
Enterprise Value / EBITDA | 6.7x | | ||
Enterprise Value / EBIT | 9.5x | | ||
Equity Value / Net Income(3) | 14.7x | 13.3x |
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4 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
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FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Financial Overview
CIBC World Markets' analysis is based on three primary valuation methodologies as well as other indicators of value
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FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Financial Forecasts
(Figures in millions)
The projections prepared by management appear aggressive
Minnesota Income Statement
(Fiscal year ended January 31)
|
Actual |
Minnesota Management Projections |
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1998 |
1999 |
LTM(1) |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
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Revenue | $ | 459.5 | $ | 509.5 | $ | 587.7 | $ | 629.4 | $ | 697.5 | $ | 769.6 | $ | 862.6 | $ | 967.6 | |||||||||
Cost of Goods Sold | 280.4 | 314.1 | 375.1 | 389.8 | 430.6 | 479.0 | 540.3 | 610.2 | |||||||||||||||||
Gross Profit | 179.1 | 195.4 | 212.6 | 239.6 | 266.9 | 290.6 | 322.3 | 357.4 | |||||||||||||||||
Gross Margin | 39.0 | % | 38.4 | % | 36.2 | % | 38.1 | % | 38.3 | % | 37.8 | % | 37.4 | % | 36.9 | % | |||||||||
SG&A |
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114.1 |
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125.3 |
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139.4 |
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155.6 |
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165.8 |
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177.1 |
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190.2 |
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205.1 |
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EBITDA | 65.0 | 70.1 | 73.3 | 84.0 | 101.1 | 113.5 | 132.1 | 152.3 | |||||||||||||||||
EBITDA Margin | 14.1 | % | 13.8 | % | 12.5 | % | 13.4 | % | 14.5 | % | 14.7 | % | 15.3 | % | 15.7 | % | |||||||||
Depreciation |
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11.1 |
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12.4 |
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15.8 |
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16.1 |
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17.7 |
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19.9 |
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22.4 |
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25.5 |
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Amortization | 3.9 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||
Operating Income | 50.0 | 52.4 | 52.1 | 62.2 | 77.7 | 87.9 | 104.0 | 121.1 | |||||||||||||||||
Interest Expense |
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4.3 |
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4.0 |
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5.9 |
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Other Non-Operating Expenses | (0.8 | ) | (0.4 | ) | (0.2 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
Pretax Income | 46.5 | 48.8 | 46.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Income |
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$ |
26.1 |
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$ |
27.6 |
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$ |
26.1 |
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FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Divisional Breakdown
(Figures in millions, except CAGR)
Over the next five years, management projections assume that revenues and EBITDA grow at a CAGR of 14% and 17%, respectively.
Divisonal BreakdownRevenue & EBITDA(1)
Division |
1999 Revenue |
2004 Revenue |
5 Year CAGR |
1999 EBITDA |
EBITDA Margin |
2004 EBITDA |
EBITDA Margin |
5 year CAGR |
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Financial Printing | $ | 256.3 | $ | 250.6 | NM | $ | 44.8 | 17.5 | % | $ | 39.2 | 15.6 | % | NM | |||||||
ICS (Mutual Funds) | 101.5 | 263.0 | 21.0 | % | 10.3 | 10.1 | % | 39.8 | 15.1 | % | 31.0 | % | |||||||||
Print Group | 8.2 | 5.9 | NM | 9.4 | 114.6 | % | 14.2 | 240.7 | % | 8.6 | % | ||||||||||
Document Management Services | 63.0 | 152.8 | 19.4 | % | 0.0 | NM | 20.8 | 13.6 | % | NM | |||||||||||
Managed Communications | 80.5 | 186.6 | 18.3 | % | 4.4 | 5.5 | % | 21.4 | 11.5 | % | 37.2 | % | |||||||||
Daniels | 0.0 | 108.7 | NM | 0.0 | NM | 16.9 | 15.5 | % | NM | ||||||||||||
Total | $ | 509.5 | $ | 967.6 | 13.7 | % | $ | 68.9 | 13.5 | % | $ | 152.3 | 15.7 | % | 17.2 | % |
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FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Valuation Summary
EDGAR REPRESENTATION OF DATA POINTS USED IN PRINTED GRAPHIC
|
|
low |
range |
high |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Comparable Public Companies Analysis | $18.20 | $8.80 | $27.00 | |||||
Precedent Transactions Analysis | $18.00 | $13.80 | $31.80 | |||||
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis(1) | $29.53 | $9.42 | $38.95 | |||||
Leveraged Buyout Analysis (2) | $21.58 | $3.13 | $24.71 | |||||
52-Week Trading Range | $12.06 | $12.69 | $24.75 | |||||
Offer Price | $22.00 | $0.00 | $22.00 |
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FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Valuation Summary Detail
(Figures in millions, except per share data)
Comparable Public Company Analysis |
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Adjusted Multiple Range(8) |
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Per Share Amount(3) |
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Enterprise Value |
Equity Value(2) |
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Financial Statistic(1) |
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Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
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LTM Revenues | $ | 587.7 | 0.6 | x | 1.1 | x | $ | 352.6 | $ | 646.4 | $ | 244.4 | $ | 538.2 | $ | 14.90 | $ | 32.82 | |||||||
LTM EBITDA | 73.3 | 5.0 | 7.3 | 366.3 | 534.8 | $ | 258.1 | $ | 426.6 | 15.74 | 26.01 | ||||||||||||||
LTM EBIT(7) | 52.1 | 8.4 | 13.2 | 437.2 | 687.1 | $ | 329.0 | $ | 578.9 | 20.06 | 35.30 | ||||||||||||||
LTM Net Income | $ | 26.1 | 13.0 | 17.8 | | | 339.3 | 464.5 | 20.69 | 28.33 | |||||||||||||||
2000E Fiscal Year Fully Diluted E.P.S.(6) | $ | 1.65 | 11.1 | 16.2 | | | 305.9 | 446.4 | 18.32 | 26.73 | |||||||||||||||
Range(4) | $ | 18.20 | $ | 27.00 |
Precedent Transaction Analysis |
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Adjusted Multiple Range(8) |
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Per Share Amount(3) |
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Enterprise Value |
Equity Value(2) |
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Financial Statistic(1) |
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Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
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LTM Revenues | $ | 587.7 | 0.5 | x | 1.2 | x | $ | 293.8 | $ | 705.2 | $ | 185.6 | $ | 597.0 | $ | 11.32 | $ | 36.40 | |||||||
LTM EBITDA | 73.3 | 5.5 | 8.6 | 402.9 | 630.0 | 294.7 | 521.8 | 17.97 | 31.82 | ||||||||||||||||
LTM EBIT(7) | 52.1 | 7.9 | 16.9 | 411.2 | 879.7 | 303.0 | 771.5 | 18.48 | 47.04 | ||||||||||||||||
Range(5) | $ | 18.00 | $ | 31.80 |
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis(6) |
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EBITDA Exit Multiple |
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Per Share Amount(3) |
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Equity Value(2) |
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Discount Rate |
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Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
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15.0% | 5.5 | x | 7.5 | x | $ | 505.4 | $ | 665.9 | $ | 30.82 | $ | 40.61 | ||||||
16.0% | 5.5 | x | 7.5 | x | 484.0 | 638.3 | 29.51 | 38.92 | ||||||||||
17.0% | 5.5 | x | 7.5 | x | 463.6 | 611.9 | 28.27 | 37.31 | ||||||||||
Range(5) | $ | 29.53 | $ | 38.95 |
[logo]
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Comparable Public Companies Analysis
(Figures in thousands, except per share and multiple data)
The following table highlights the trading multiples of comparable public companies
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Price @ 07/14/99 |
Discount to High |
Premium to Low |
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Company(1) |
Ticker |
High |
Low |
Equity Value |
Firm Value |
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Minnesota | $ | 17.06 | $ | 24.75 | $ | 12.06 | 45.1 | % | 41.5 | % | $ | 278,805 | $ | 387,025 | |||||||
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Banta Corporation | BN | $ | 22.75 | $ | 31.88 | $ | 16.75 | 40.1 | % | 35.8 | % | $ | 671,580 | $ | 804,729 | ||||||
Big Flower Holdings, Inc.(2) | BGF | 32.81 | 36.19 | 15.19 | 10.3 | % | 116.0 | % | 689,480 | 1,666,013 | |||||||||||
Bowne & Co., Inc. | BNE | 13.56 | 23.91 | 10.13 | 76.3 | % | 34.0 | % | 502,499 | 589,097 | |||||||||||
Donnelley (R.R.) & Sons Co. | DNY | 34.44 | 47.25 | 30.88 | 37.2 | % | 11.5 | % | 4,531,686 | 5,682,116 | |||||||||||
Quebecor Printing Inc. | PRW | 24.00 | 25.06 | 16.63 | 4.4 | % | 44.4 | % | 2,803,113 | 4,044,981 | |||||||||||
World Color Press, Inc.(3) | WRC | 28.63 | 35.63 | 20.00 | 24.5 | % | 43.1 | % | 1,139,166 | 2,277,895 |
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P/E Ratio |
Firm Value/LTM |
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LFY(4) Period |
LTM(5) Period |
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Company(1) |
LTM |
1999E |
2000E |
Revenue |
EBITDA |
EBIT |
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Minnesota(6) | 31-Jan-99 | 31-May-99 | 10.5x | 10.3x | NA | 0.7x | 5.3x | 7.6x | ||||||||
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Banta Corporation | 02-Jan-99 | 03-Apr-99 | 13.0x | 11.1x | 9.8x | 0.6x | 5.0x | 8.4x | ||||||||
Big Flower Holdings, Inc. | 31-Dec-98 | 31-Mar-99 | 17.4x | 15.3x | 12.9x | 0.9x | 7.2x | 11.9x | ||||||||
Bowne & Co., Inc. | 31-Dec-98 | 31-Mar-99 | 22.5x | * | 14.1x | 10.6x | 0.7x | 6.1x | 11.9x | |||||||
Donnelley (R.R.) & Sons Co. | 31-Dec-98 | 31-Mar-99 | 17.8x | 15.5x | 13.9x | 1.1x | 6.6x | 11.5x | ||||||||
Quebecor Printing Inc. | 31-Dec-98 | 31-Mar-99 | 16.9x | 16.2x | 14.4x | 1.1x | 7.3x | 13.2x | ||||||||
World Color Press, Inc. | 27-Dec-98 | 28-Mar-99 | 15.3x | 13.4x | 11.9x | 0.9x | 6.3x | 10.4x | ||||||||
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High | 17.8x | 16.2x | 14.4x | 1.1x | 7.3x | 13.2x | ||||||||||
Median | 16.9x | 14.7x | 12.4x | 0.9x | 6.4x | 11.7x | ||||||||||
Mean | 16.1x | 14.3x | 12.2x | 0.9x | 6.4x | 11.2x | ||||||||||
Low | 13.0x | 11.1x | 9.8x | 0.6x | 5.0x | 8.4x |
High, median, mean and low multiples exclude Minnesota.
Excluded multiples indicated with an asterisk (*).
[logo]
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Precedent Transactions Analysis
(Figures in thousands, except multiple data)
The following table highlights precedent transactions in the printing industry
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Firm Value/LTM |
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Date Announced |
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Target |
Acquiror |
Firm Value |
Revenue |
EBITDA |
EBIT |
|||||||||
7/12/99 (Pending) | World Color Press, Inc. | Quebecor Printing Inc. | $ | 2,782,802 | 1.2 | x | 7.6 | x | 12.7 | x | ||||
6/29/99 (Pending) | Big Flower Holdings, Inc. | Thomas H. Lee/Evercore Cap. & Mgmt. | 1,855,000 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 13.2 | ||||||||
2/16/99 | The Boston Trade Press, Inc. | Cunningham Graphics International, Inc. | 4,824 | 1.1 | * | 4.5 | * | 5.5 | * | |||||
2/11/99 | Communicolor (Division of Standard Register) | R.R. Donnelley & Sons Company | 96,910 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 22.5 | * | |||||||
1/13/99 | The Workable Company Limited | Cunningham Graphics International, Inc. | 12,597 | 0.9 | * | 4.2 | * | 6.8 | * | |||||
01/16/98 | Roda Limited | Cunningham Graphics International, Inc. | 12,257 | 1.8 | * | 9.8 | * | 11.1 | * | |||||
12/13/97 | Rapidforms, Inc. | New England Business Service, Inc. | 89,406 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 10.0 | ||||||||
12/16/97 | Judd's Incorporated | PPC Holdings, Inc. | 102,000 | 0.8 | 7.3 | 16.9 | ||||||||
12/01/97 | Western Graphics | Mail-Well Inc. | 20,200 | 0.7 | NA | 9.5 | ||||||||
11/03/97 | Graphics Industries | Wallace Computer Services | 437,830 | 1.0 | 8.6 | 14.1 | ||||||||
09/21/97 | Riverside County Publishing Co. | Big Flower Press Holdings, Inc. | 105,000 | 0.8 | 8.4 | 14.5 | ||||||||
09/15/97 | Franklin Division of Brown Printing Co. | Quebecor Printing Corp. | 124,990 | 1.6 | * | NA | NA | |||||||
09/10/97 | Data Documents Inc. | Corporate Express Inc. | 245,399 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 8.9 | ||||||||
07/22/97 | Graftek Press, Inc. | BGJ Enterprises, Inc. | 39,458 | 0.7 | NA | 10.9 | ||||||||
02/06/97 | Petty Co. | Quebecor Printing Inc. | 95,000 | NA | NA | NA | ||||||||
01/29/97 | Rand McNally Book Services Group | World Color Press, Inc. | 155,000 | 1.0 | NA | NA | ||||||||
01/23/97 | AmerSig Graphics | Quebecor Printing Inc. | 120,000 | 0.6 | NA | NA | ||||||||
12/31/96 | Vanier Graphics Corporation | Reynolds & Reynolds | 47,211 | 0.4 | * | NA | 8.8 |
Multiples indicated with an asterisk (*) have been excluded as outliers.
[logo]
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Precedent Transactions Analysis
(Figures in thousands, except multiple data)
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Firm Value/LTM |
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Date Announced |
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Firm Value |
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Target |
Acquiror |
Revenue |
EBITDA |
EBIT |
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11/14/96 | Leigh-Mardon Security Group | American Banknote Corp | 95,000 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 7.9 | |||||||
10/04/96 | Scanforms, Inc. | Big Flower Press Holdings, Inc. | 24,700 | 0.8 | * | 3.6 | * | 4.4 | * | ||||
06/06/96 | Printco | Big Flower Press Holdings, Inc. | 50,757 | 0.6 | 7.7 | 18.3 | * | ||||||
06/06/96 | Ringer America | World Color Press, Inc. | 415,578 | 0.8 | 5.8 | 14.5 | |||||||
05/21/96 | Lancaster Press | Cadmus Communications Corp. | 55,920 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 8.4 | |||||||
04/15/96 | The Corporate Printing Company, Inc. | Merrill Corporation | 35,823 | 0.6 | 17.5 | * | 59.5 | * | |||||
03/29/96 | FMC Resource Management | Merrill Corporation | 11,400 | 0.7 | NA | 12.5 | |||||||
03/19/96 | Webcraft Technologies, Inc. | Big Flower Press Holdings, Inc. | 187,263 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 9.2 | |||||||
02/07/96 | Eagle Lithographing Co. | Quebecor Printing Inc. | 7,769 | 0.4 | * | NA | NA | ||||||
02/01/96 | New England Book Components, Inc. | Phoenix Color Corp. | 21,500 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 8.0 | |||||||
10/16/95 | The Software Factory | Cadmus Communications Corp. | 12,829 | 1.2 | * | 5.4 | * | 5.6 | * | ||||
03/17/95 | Northeast Graphics, Inc. | World Color Press, Inc. | 94,980 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 8.8 | |||||||
11/08/93 | Waverly Press | Cadmus Communications Corp. | 20,000 | 0.4 | * | 4.0 | * | 8.9 | * | ||||
03/01/93 | The Alden Printing Company | APC Holding (World Color) | 155,500 | 0.9 | 6.4 | 11.2 | |||||||
High | 1.2 | x | 8.6 | x | 16.9 | x | |||||||
Median | 0.6 | x | 6.8 | x | 10.5 | x | |||||||
Mean | 0.6 | x | 6.9 | x | 11.1 | x | |||||||
Low | 0.5 | x | 5.5 | x | 7.9 | x |
Multiples indicated with an asterisk (*) have been excluded as outliers.
[logo]
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis(1)(2)
(Figures in millions)
Analysis is based on Minnesota's internal forecasts
|
Projected |
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Fiscal Year End 01/31 |
2000(3) |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
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Revenues | $ | 447.8 | $ | 697.5 | $ | 769.6 | $ | 862.6 | $ | 967.6 | ||||||
EBITDA | 64.2 | 101.1 | 113.5 | 132.1 | 152.3 | |||||||||||
Less: Depreciation and Amortization | (15.5 | ) | (23.4 | ) | (25.6 | ) | (28.1 | ) | (31.2 | ) | ||||||
EBIT | 48.7 | 77.7 | 87.9 | 104.0 | 121.1 | |||||||||||
Less: Income Taxes @ 44.5% | (21.7 | ) | (34.6 | ) | (39.1 | ) | (46.3 | ) | (53.9 | ) | ||||||
Unlevered After-Tax Income | 27.0 | 43.1 | 48.8 | 57.7 | 67.2 | |||||||||||
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Plus: Depreciation and Amortization | 15.5 | 23.4 | 25.6 | 28.1 | 31.2 | |||||||||||
Less: Capital Expenditures | (14.6 | ) | (18.0 | ) | (18.0 | ) | (18.0 | ) | (18.0 | ) | ||||||
Less: Working Capital Investment | (3.6 | ) | (7.7 | ) | (8.0 | ) | (10.4 | ) | (11.7 | ) | ||||||
Free Cash Flow | $ | 24.4 | $ | 40.8 | $ | 48.4 | $ | 57.4 | $ | 68.7 | ||||||
|
5.5 x EBITDA |
6.5 x EBITDA |
7.5 x EBITDA |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Terminal Value Based on EBITDA Multiple Exit Multiple in Year 5 (2004) |
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15.0% |
16.0% |
17.0% |
15.0% |
16.0% |
17.0% |
15.0% |
16.0% |
17.0% |
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Discounted Free Cash Flows 2000 - 2004(3) | $ | 172.2 | $ | 167.9 | $ | 163.8 | $ | 172.2 | $ | 167.9 | $ | 163.8 | $ | 172.2 | $ | 167.9 | $ | 163.8 | ||||||||||
Discounted Terminal Value | 441.4 | 424.3 | 407.9 | 521.7 | 501.4 | 482.1 | 602.0 | 578.5 | 556.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
Enterprise Value | 613.6 | 592.2 | 571.7 | 693.9 | 669.3 | 645.9 | 774.1 | 746.5 | 720.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
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Less: Debt, Preferred & Minority Interest @ 05/31/99 | (116.5 | ) | (116.5 | ) | (116.5 | ) | (116.5 | ) | (116.5 | ) | (116.5 | ) | (116.5 | ) | (116.5 | ) | (116.5 | ) | ||||||||||
Plus: Cash @ 05/31/99 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
Implied Equity Value | $ | 505.4 | $ | 484.0 | $ | 463.6 | $ | 585.7 | $ | 561.1 | $ | 537.7 | $ | 665.9 | $ | 638.3 | $ | 611.9 | ||||||||||
Implied Equity Value Per Share(4) | $ | 30.82 | $ | 29.51 | $ | 28.27 | $ | 35.71 | $ | 34.22 | $ | 32.79 | $ | 40.61 | $ | 38.92 | $ | 37.31 | ||||||||||
[logo]
5. APPENDIX
[logo]
A. Detailed Leveraged Buyout Analysis
[logo]
DETAILED LEVERAGED BUYOUT ANALYSIS
Summary of Leveraged Buyout Analysis
(Figures in millions, except per share and multiple data)
Transaction Assumptions
Transaction Date | 01/31/30 | |
Goodwill Amortization Period | 15.0 | |
Deferred Financing Fees Amortization Period | 7.0 |
Trading Information
|
Minnesota |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Enterprise Value |
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Current |
@ Deal |
||||||
Share Price 7/9/99 | $ | 17.06 | $ | 22.00 | |||
Fully Diluted Shares | 16.4 | 17.5 | |||||
Equity Market Value | $ | 279.8 | $ | 384.8 | |||
Plus: Debt, Preferred, MI & Mgmt Agmt | 127.1 | 127.1 | |||||
Less: Cash | (8.3 | ) | (8.3 | ) | |||
Enterprise Value | $ | 398.6 | $ | 503.5 | |||
Multiple Analysis |
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2000 E P/E FYE 01/31 | 10.3 | x | 13.3 | x | |||
2001 E P/E | 7.3 | 9.4 | |||||
2000 E EBITDA | 4.7 | 6.0 | |||||
2001 E EBITDA | 3.9 | 5.0 |
Debt Capacity Analysis
LTM EBITDA (1) | $ | 73.3 | ||||
Debt/EBITDA Coverage | 5.3 | x | ||||
Implied Debt Capacity | $ | 388.2 |
Goodwill Calculation
Purchase Price of Equity | $ | 0.0 | |||
Plus: Transaction Costs | 0.0 | ||||
Less: Tangible Book Value of Minnesota | 0.0 | ||||
Total Debt Goodwill | $ | 0.0 | |||
Amortization Period (Years) | 0.0 | ||||
Annual Amortization of Transaction Goodwill | $ | 0.0 |
Equity Sources
|
Amount |
Ownership |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Management | $ | 20.0 | 13.5 | % | ||
Roll-over Equity | 0.0 | 0.0 | % | |||
Financial Sponsor | 128.6 | 86.5 | % | |||
Total Equity | $ | 148.6 | 100.0 | % |
Sources and Uses of Funds
Sources of Funds |
Amount |
Rate |
Percent |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Term Loan A | $ | 60.0 | 8.0 | % | 11.2 | % | ||
Term Loan B | 138.2 | 8.5 | % | 25.7 | % | |||
Bridge Loan/High Yield | 190.0 | 11.0 | % | 35.4 | % | |||
Acquisition PIK Preferred | 0.0 | 13.0 | % | 0.0 | % | |||
Equity Sponsor | 148.6 | 27.7 | % | |||||
Total Sources of Funds | $ | 536.8 | 100.0 | % | ||||
Uses of Funds |
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Purchase of Minnesota Common Equity | $ | 384.8 | 71.7 | % | ||||
Existing Minnesota Current Debt | 77.0 | 14.3 | % | |||||
Existing Minnesota Senior Debt | 39.4 | 7.3 | % | |||||
Fees and Expenses | 25.0 | 4.7 | % | |||||
Management Agreement | 10.6 | 2.0 | % | |||||
Total Uses of Funds | $ | 536.8 | 100.0 | % |
Equity Sponsor IRR Calculation
EBITDA Multiple |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.5x | 41.0 | % | 40.1 | % | 37.5 | % | |
6.5x | 54.6 | % | 48.6 | % | 43.3 | % | |
7.5x | 66.1 | % | 55.8 | % | 48.4 | % |
Summary Credit/Leverage Statistics
|
1999LTM |
1999PF |
2000PF |
2001 |
2002 |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Senior Debt/EBITDA | 2.7x | 1.8x | 2.4x | 1.9x | 1.6x | |||||
Total Debt/EBITDA | 5.3x | 5.1x | 4.6x | 3.7x | 3.1x | |||||
EBITDA/Interest | 2.0x | 2.1x | 2.3x | 2.7x | 3.2x | |||||
(EBITDA-Capex)/Interest | 1.6x | 1.6x | 1.6x | 2.2x | 2.7x |
[logo]
DETAILED LEVERAGED BUYOUT ANALYSIS
Pro Forma Income Statement
(Figures in millions)
|
Estimated |
Projected |
|||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2000 PF |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
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Fiscal Year End 01/31 | |||||||||||||||||||
Sales | $ | 629.4 | $ | 697.5 | $ | 769.6 | $ | 862.6 | $ | 967.6 | $ | 1,085.4 | |||||||
Cost of Goods Sold | 389.8 | 430.6 | 479.0 | 540.3 | 610.2 | 684.5 | |||||||||||||
Gross Profit | 239.6 | 266.9 | 290.6 | 322.3 | 357.4 | 400.9 | |||||||||||||
SG&A | 155.6 | 165.8 | 177.1 | 190.2 | 205.1 | 230.1 | |||||||||||||
Other Operating Expenses | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
EBITDA | 84.0 | 101.1 | 113.5 | 132.1 | 152.3 | 170.8 | |||||||||||||
Existing Depreciation | 16.1 | 17.7 | 19.9 | 22.4 | 25.5 | 28.6 | |||||||||||||
Existing Amortization | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | |||||||||||||
Deal Amortization | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
Amortization of Deferred Financing Fees | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
EBIT | 62.2 | 77.7 | 87.9 | 104.0 | 121.1 | 136.5 | |||||||||||||
Interest Expense (net) | 37.0 | 37.0 | 35.5 | 33.2 | 29.9 | 25.6 | |||||||||||||
Minority Interest Expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
Other Non-Operating Expense | (0.5 | ) | (0.6 | ) | (0.6 | ) | (0.7 | ) | (0.8 | ) | (0.9 | ) | |||||||
Pre-Tax Income | 25.7 | 41.3 | 53.1 | 71.6 | 92.0 | 111.9 | |||||||||||||
Provision for Taxes | 11.4 | 18.4 | 23.6 | 31.8 | 40.9 | 49.8 | |||||||||||||
Net Income | 14.3 | 22.9 | 29.4 | 39.7 | 51.0 | 62.1 | |||||||||||||
Preferred Dividends | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
Net Income to Common | 14.3 | 22.9 | 29.4 | 39.7 | 51.0 | 62.1 | |||||||||||||
[logo]
DETAILED LEVERAGED BUYOUT ANALYSIS
Pro Forma Balance Sheet
(Figures in millions)
|
Estimated |
Projected |
||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
||||||||||||
Assets | ||||||||||||||||||
Cash and Cash Equivalents |
|
$ |
8.3 |
|
$ |
8.3 |
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$ |
8.3 |
|
$ |
8.3 |
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$ |
8.3 |
|
$ |
8.3 |
Accounts Receivable | 142.3 | 157.7 | 174.1 | 195.1 | 218.8 | 245.5 | ||||||||||||
Inventory | 35.4 | 39.1 | 43.5 | 49.1 | 55.5 | 62.2 | ||||||||||||
Other Current Assets | 11.6 | 12.8 | 14.1 | 15.8 | 17.8 | 19.9 | ||||||||||||
Total Current Assets | 197.6 | 218.0 | 240.0 | 268.3 | 300.3 | 335.9 | ||||||||||||
Net Property, Plant & Equipment |
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58.7 |
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59.0 |
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57.1 |
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52.7 |
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45.2 |
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34.6 |
Deal Goodwill | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
Existing Goodwill | 74.6 | 68.9 | 63.2 | 57.5 | 51.8 | 46.1 | ||||||||||||
Deferred Fees | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
Other Intangible Assets | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
Other Assets | 13.3 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 13.3 | ||||||||||||
Total Assets | $ | 344.2 | $ | 359.2 | $ | 373.6 | $ | 391.8 | $ | 410.7 | $ | 429.9 | ||||||
Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity | ||||||||||||||||||
Bank Revolver |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
Accounts Payable | 36.2 | 40.0 | 44.5 | 50.1 | 56.6 | 63.5 | ||||||||||||
Other Current Liabilities | 33.0 | 36.5 | 40.3 | 45.2 | 50.7 | 56.8 | ||||||||||||
Total Current Liabilities | 69.1 | 76.5 | 84.8 | 95.3 | 107.3 | 120.4 | ||||||||||||
Management Agreement |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
Deferred Tax | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
Term Loan A |
|
$ |
60.0 |
|
$ |
60.0 |
|
$ |
57.0 |
|
$ |
51.0 |
|
$ |
39.0 |
|
$ |
24.0 |
Term Loan B | 138.2 | 132.7 | 127.1 | 121.6 | 116.1 | 110.6 | ||||||||||||
Bridge Loan / High Yield | 190.0 | 180.2 | 165.5 | 145.0 | 118.3 | 82.9 | ||||||||||||
Total Liabilities | 457.3 | 449.4 | 434.4 | 412.9 | 380.7 | 337.8 | ||||||||||||
Minority Interest |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
Existing Preferred Stock | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
Acquisition PIK Preferred | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
Common Equity | (113.1 | ) | (90.2 | ) | (60.8 | ) | (21.0 | ) | 30.0 | 92.1 | ||||||||
Total Liabilities and Equity | $ | 344.2 | $ | 359.2 | $ | 373.6 | $ | 391.8 | $ | 410.7 | $ | 429.9 |
[logo]
DETAILED LEVERAGED BUYOUT ANALYSIS
Pro Forma Statement of Cash Flow
(Figures in Millions)
|
|
Projected |
|||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
|||||||||||||
Cash Flow from Operations | |||||||||||||||||||
Net Income | $ | 22.9 | $ | 29.4 | $ | 39.7 | $ | 51.0 | $ | 62.1 | |||||||||
Existing Depreciation | 17.7 | 19.9 | 22.4 | 25.5 | 28.6 | ||||||||||||||
Existing Goodwill Amortization | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||
Existing Amortization of Other Intangibles | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Deal Amortization | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Amortization of Deferred Financing Fees | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Deferred Taxes | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Minority Interest | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Change in Working Capital | (13.0 | ) | (13.8 | ) | (17.8 | ) | (20.0 | ) | (22.5 | ) | |||||||||
Change in Other Assets | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Change in Other Liabilities | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Cash Provided / (Used) by Operating Activities | $ | 33.3 | $ | 41.3 | $ | 50.1 | $ | 62.2 | $ | 73.9 | |||||||||
Cash Flow From Investing Activities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital Expenditures | $ | (18.0 | ) | $ | (18.0 | ) | $ | (18.0 | ) | $ | (18.0 | ) | $ | (18.0 | ) | ||||
Cash Provided / (Used) by Investing Activities | $ | (18.0 | ) | $ | (18.0 | ) | $ | (18.0 | ) | $ | (18.0 | ) | $ | (18.0 | ) | ||||
As a % of Sales | 2.6 | % | 2.3 | % | 2.1 | % | 1.9 | % | 1.7 | % | |||||||||
Cash Flow From Financing Activities | |||||||||||||||||||
Change in Bank Revolver | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Change in Term Loan A | 0.0 | (3.0 | ) | (6.0 | ) | (12.0 | ) | (15.0 | ) | ||||||||||
Change in Term Loan B | (5.5 | ) | (5.5 | ) | (5.5 | ) | (5.5 | ) | (5.5 | ) | |||||||||
Change in Bridge Loan / High Yield | (9.8 | ) | (14.8 | ) | (20.5 | ) | (26.7 | ) | (35.4 | ) | |||||||||
Existing Preferred Stock | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Plus: Non-cash Dividend | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Less: Common Dividend Paid | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Cash Provided / (Used) by Investing Activities | $ | (15.3 | ) | $ | (23.3 | ) | $ | (32.1 | ) | $ | (44.2 | ) | $ | (55.9 | ) | ||||
Beginning Cash Balance |
|
|
|
|
$ |
8.3 |
|
$ |
8.3 |
|
$ |
8.3 |
|
$ |
8.3 |
|
$ |
8.3 |
|
Change in Cash | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
Ending Cash Balance | $ | 8.3 | $ | 8.3 | $ | 8.3 | $ | 8.3 | $ | 8.3 | $ | 8.3 | |||||||
[logo]
DETAILED LEVERAGED BUYOUT ANALYSIS
Summary Credit Statistics
(Figures in millions, except per share and multiple data)
|
Estimated |
Projected |
|||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2000 PF |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
|||||||||||||
Income Statement Items | |||||||||||||||||||
Revenue |
|
$ |
629.4 |
|
$ |
697.5 |
|
$ |
769.6 |
|
$ |
862.6 |
|
$ |
967.6 |
|
$ |
1,085.4 |
|
EBITDA | 84.0 | 101.1 | 113.5 | 132.1 | 152.3 | 170.8 | |||||||||||||
EBITDA-Capex | 59.0 | 83.1 | 95.5 | 114.1 | 134.3 | 152.8 | |||||||||||||
EBIT | 62.2 | 77.7 | 87.9 | 104.0 | 121.1 | 136.5 | |||||||||||||
Cash Interest Expense | 37.0 | 37.0 | 35.5 | 33.2 | 29.9 | 25.6 | |||||||||||||
Total Fixed Charges (1) | 37.0 | 37.0 | 35.5 | 33.2 | 29.9 | 25.6 | |||||||||||||
Balance Sheet Items |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Senior Debt |
|
$ |
198.2 |
|
$ |
192.7 |
|
$ |
184.1 |
|
$ |
172.6 |
|
$ |
155.1 |
|
$ |
134.6 |
|
Total Debt | $ | 388.2 | $ | 372.9 | $ | 349.6 | $ | 317.6 | $ | 273.4 | $ | 217.5 | |||||||
Acquisition PIK Prefereds | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
Total Debt, Preferred & MI | 388.2 | 372.9 | 349.6 | 317.3 | 273.4 | 217.5 | |||||||||||||
Net Debt | 379.9 | 364.6 | 341.4 | 309.3 | 265.1 | 209.2 | |||||||||||||
Equity | (113.1 | ) | (90.2 | ) | (60.8 | ) | (21.0 | ) | 30.0 | 92.1 | |||||||||
Total Capitalization | 266.8 | 274.4 | 280.6 | 288.3 | 295.1 | 301.3 | |||||||||||||
Total Senior Debt / EBITDA |
|
|
2.4x |
|
|
1.9x |
|
|
1.6x |
|
|
1.3x |
|
|
1.0x |
|
|
0.8x |
|
Total Debt / EBITDA | 4.6 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | |||||||||||||
Total Debt, Preferred & MI / EBITDA | 4.6 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | |||||||||||||
Net Debt / Equity |
|
|
NM |
|
|
NM |
|
|
NM |
|
|
NM |
|
|
883.6 |
% |
|
227.2 |
% |
Net Debt / Capitalization | NM | NM | NM | NM | 89.8 | % | 69.4 | % | |||||||||||
Coverages |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense |
|
|
2.3x |
|
|
2.7x |
|
|
3.2x |
|
|
4.0x |
|
|
5.1x |
|
|
6.7x |
|
(EBITDA - Capex) / Cash Interest Expense | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 6.0 | |||||||||||||
EBITDA / Fixed Charges (1) | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 6.7 | |||||||||||||
(EBITDA - Capex) / Fixed Charges | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 6.0 |
[logo]
B Weighted Average Cost of Capital Analysis
[logo]
WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ANALYSIS
Cost of Capital Analysis
(Figures in thousands)
Company Name |
Equity Beta(1) |
Market Value of Equity |
Total Debt |
Capitalization (Mkt. Val.) |
Unlevered Asset Beta(2) |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota | 1.05 | $ | 276,129 | $ | 108,230 | 28.2 | % | 0.85 | ||||
Banta Corporation |
|
0.57 |
|
$ |
671,580 |
|
$ |
161,267 |
|
19.4 |
% |
0.50 |
Big Flower Press Holdings, Inc. | 1.27 | $ | 644,187 | $ | 986,397 | 60.5 | % | 0.66 | ||||
Bowne & Co., Inc. | 1.28 | $ | 502,499 | $ | 103,062 | 17.0 | % | 1.14 | ||||
Donnelley (R.R.) & Sons Co. | 0.83 | $ | 4,531,686 | $ | 1,225,428 | 21.3 | % | 0.71 | ||||
Quebecor Printing Inc. | 0.38 | $ | 2,803,113 | $ | 1,242,261 | 30.7 | % | 0.30 | ||||
World Color Press, Inc. | 1.17 | $ | 1,382,545 | $ | 1,219,974 | 46.9 | % | 0.76 | ||||
Average |
|
32.6 |
% |
0.68 |
Cost of Equity
Minn. Unlevered Asset Beta(2) | 1.15 | ||
Minn. Debt/Cap.(3) | 28.2 | % | |
Minn. Debt/Equity | 0.39 | x | |
Marginal Tax Rate | 40.0 | % | |
Equity Beta(4) | 1.42 | ||
Risk Free Rate(5) | 5.75 | % | |
Market Risk Premium(6) | 10.50 | % | |
Cost of Equity(7)(8) |
|
20.70 |
% |
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
|
Pre-Tax Cost |
After-Tax Cost |
% Capital |
Weighted Cost |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt | 7.23 | %(3) | 4.34 | % | 28.16 | % | 1.22 | % | |
Equity |
|
20.70 |
% |
20.70 |
% |
71.84 |
% |
14.87 |
% |
Weighted Average Cost of Capital |
|
16.09 |
% |
[logo]
|