ARGONAUT GROUP INC
10-Q/A, 1998-11-03
FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
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                                       1
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                                    FORM 10-Q

                       SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION     
                                Washington, D.C. 20549

(Mark One)

x  QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE 
   ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended September 30, 1998

                                       OR

o  TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE
   ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from ________ to ___________

Commission file number: 0-14950

                             Argonaut Group, Inc.
                (Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware                                                     95-4057601
(State or other jurisdiction of                              (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization)                               Identification No.)

1800  Avenue of the  Stars,  Suite  1175,  Los  Angeles,  California  90067-4213
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip code)

                                310.553.0561
               (Registrant's telephone number including area code)

         Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports
required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the  Securities  Exchange  Act of
1934  during  the  preceding  12 months  (or for such  shorter  period  that the
registrant was required to file such reports),  and (2) has been subject to such
filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes X No ____



         Indicate the number of shares  outstanding of each of the  registrant's
classes of common stock, as of October 24, 1998.

Title                                                        Outstanding

Common Stock, par value $.10 per share                       24,043,764


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                                             ARGONAUT GROUP, INC.
                                               TABLE OF CONTENTS


<S>                                                                                              <C>   



PART I.      FINANCIAL INFORMATION:                                                              Page

             Item 1.      Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements:

                          Consolidated Balance Sheets
                          September 30, 1998 and December 31,                                    3
                          1997................................................

                          Consolidated Statements of Income 
                          Three Months and Nine Months Ended, September 30, 1998 and 1997......  4         
                          Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income 
                          Three Months and Nine Months Ended, September 30, 1998 and 1997......  5

                          Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow
                          Three Months and Nine Months Ended September 30, 1998 and 1997......   6

                          Notes to The Condensed Consolidated Financial                          7
                          Statements......................

             Item 2.      Management's Discussion and Analysis of
                          Financial Condition and Results of Operations:
                          Third Quarter Ended September 30, 1998 and 1997.........               8



PART II.     OTHER INFORMATION:

             Item 1.      Legal Proceedings.....................                                 9


             Item 6.      Exhibits and Reports on Form                                           9
                          K............................................


             Signatures................................................                          10








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Part I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

                           ARGONAUT GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                                CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
                           (In million except per share amounts)
<S>                                                         <C>                  <C>  

                                                            Sept 30, 98          Dec 31, 97
                                                            (unaudited)           (audited)
ASSETS
Investments:
     Fixed maturities, available for sale, at market             $958.2              $857.6
        (cost: 1998 - $916.2; 1997 - $845.8)
     Equity securities, available for sale, at market             375.3               440.1
        (cost: - 1998 - $198.4; 1997 - $227.4)
     Short-term investments                                        54.6                80.9
     Securities in transit                                          0.9               (9.5)
                                                            ------------         -----------
                                                                1,389.0             1,369.1
Cash and cash equivalents                                          21.7                59.0
Accrued investment income                                          15.6                20.3
Receivables:
     Reinsurance                                                  203.5               210.2
     Agents' balances                                              61.0                74.2
     Accrued retrospective premiums                                56.0                61.8
Cost in excess of net assets purchased                             36.2                38.3
Unearned premiums on ceded reinsurance                              0.9                 0.8
Deferred Federal income taxes receivable                          (7.4)                11.5
Other assets                                                       16.7                15.3
                                                            ------------         ----------
                                                               $1,793.2            $1,860.5
                                                            ============         ===========

LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

Reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses                 $932.6            $1,024.9
Unearned premiums                                                  43.9                40.2
Accrued policyholder dividends                                    (1.3)               (2.4)
Other liabilities                                                  75.8                79.9
                                                                                 -----------
                                                            ------------
                                                                1,051.0             1,142.6
                                                            ------------         -----------
Shareholders' equity:
     Common stock - $.10  par,  35,000,000  shares  
        authorized,  23,948,665  and
        23,854,720 shares issued and outstanding 
        at September 30, 1998
        and December 31, 1997, respectively                         2.4                 2.4
     Additional paid-in capital                                    99.9                98.3
     Retained earnings                                            497.6               471.2
     Net unrealized appreciation on securities                    142.3               146.0
                                                              ----------         -----------
                                                             
                                                                  742.2               717.9
                                                               ---------         -----------
                                                               $1,793.2            $1,860.5
                                                               =========         ===========
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                                      Argonaut Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
                                     Consolidated Statements of Operations

(In millions except amounts per share)                        For the Quarter             For the Nine Months
(unaudited)                                                Ended September 30,           Ended September 30,
                                                        ---------------------------   ---------------------------
<S>                                                    <C>           <C>             <C>            <C>   

                                                                                          1998          1997
                                                        1998          1997
Premiums and other revenue:
    Premiums, net                                             $33.6          $37.8          $105.8        $121.1
    Net investment income                                      19.0           22.1            58.8          64.7
    Gains on sales of investments                               7.8            0.4            50.1           3.1
                                                        ------------  -------------   -------------  ------------
Total Revenue                                                  60.4           60.3           214.7         188.9
Expenses:
    Losses and loss adjustment expenses                        25.8           26.2            72.6          80.5
    Underwriting, acquisition, and
        insurance expenses                                     18.1           21.5            56.4          57.0
    Amortization of cost in excess of
        net assets purchased                                    0.7            0.7             2.1           2.1
    Policyholder dividends                                      0.2            0.2             0.7         (0.6)
                                                        ------------  -------------   -------------  ------------
                                                        
Total Expenses                                                 44.8           48.6           131.8         139.0
                                                        ------------  -------------   -------------  ------------
Income before tax                                              15.6           11.7            82.9          49.9
Provision for taxes                                             5.2            2.4            27.0          12.3
                                                         ----------   -------------   -------------  ------------
                                                                          
Net Income                                                    $10.4           $9.3           $55.9         $37.6
                                                        ============  =============   =============  ============

Income per common share:
        Basic                                                 $0.43          $0.39           $2.34         $1.58
                                                        ============  =============   =============  ============
        Diluted                                               $0.43          $0.39           $2.32         $1.56
                                                        ============  =============   =============  ============

Weighted Average Common Shares:
        Basic                                           23,947,899      23,840,831     23,923,593    23,820,575
                                                        ============  =============   =============  ============
        Diluted                                         24,091,347      24,105,412     24,136,986     24,038,016
                                                        ============  =============   =============  ============



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                                      Argonaut Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
                                Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income

(In millions except amounts per share)                        For the Quarter             For the Nine Months
(unaudited)                                                Ended September 30,           Ended September 30,
                                                        ---------------------------   ---------------------------
<S>                                                     <C>           <C>             <C>            <C>    

                                                           1998           1997            1998          1997

Net Income                                                    $10.4           $9.3           $55.9         $37.6
Other comprehensive income:
    Unrealized gain on securities:
        Gains arising during the year                          13.4           30.9            44.3          71.1
        Reclassification adjustment for gains included
        in net income                                         (7.7)          (0.4)          (50.1)         (3.1)
                                                        ------------  -------------   -------------  ------------
Other comprehensive income (loss) before tax                    5.7           30.5           (5.8)          68.0
Income tax expense related to other
        comprehensive income (loss)                             2.0           10.7           (2.0)          23.8
                                                        ------------  -------------   -------------
                                                                                                     ------------
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax                   3.7           19.8           (3.8)          44.2
                                                        ------------  -------------   -------------  ------------
Comprehensive income                                          $14.1          $29.1           $52.1         $81.8
                                                        ============  =============   =============  ============

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                              ARGONAUT GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                              CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOW
                                          (In millions)
                                           (unaudited)


                                                                           For the Nine Months
                                                                           Ended September 30,
                                                                         -------------------------
<S>                                                                          <C>          <C>    

                                                                                1998         1997
Cash flows from operating activities:
   Net income                                                                  $55.9        $37.6

   Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operations:
      Amortization and depreciation                                              6.8          9.4
      Decrease in accrued investment income                                      4.7          0.9
      Decrease in reinsurance receivables                                        6.7          1.5
      Decrease (increase) in agents' balances                                   13.3       (10.1)
      Decrease  in accrued retrospective premiums                                5.8         48.7
      Decrease (increase) in unearned premiums on ceded reinsurance            (0.2)          0.2
      Decrease in deferred Federal income taxes receivable                      20.9         10.7
      Decrease in reserves for losses and
        loss adjustment expense                                               (92.3)      (135.2)
      Increase (decrease) in unearned premiums                                   3.7       (15.7)
      Increase (decrease) in accrued policyholder dividends                      1.1        (4.0)
      Increase in income taxes payable                                           5.6         43.3
      Decrease in other, net                                                  (12.6)       (11.8)
                                                                             --------    ---------
                                                                                19.3       (24.5)
                                                                             --------    ---------
Cash flows from investing activities:
      Sales of fixed maturity investments                                                    13.0
                                                                                   -
      Sales of equity                                                           37.3         52.8
      securities
      Maturities and mandatory calls of fixed maturity investments             231.8        159.5
      Purchases of fixed maturity investments                                (305.6)      (171.4)
      Purchases of equity securities                                           (8.2)        (7.8)
      Decrease (increase) in short-term investments                             26.3        (8.1)
      Increase in other, net                                                  (10.4)        (0.9)
                                                                             --------    ---------
                                                                              (28.8)         37.1
                                                                             --------    ---------
Cash flows from financing activities:
      Payment of cash dividend                                                (29.4)       (28.4)
      Exercise of stock options                                                  1.6          0.9
                                                                             --------    ---------
                                                                              (27.8)       (27.5)
                                                                             --------    ---------

Decrease in cash and cash equivalents                                         (37.3)       (14.9)
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period                                  59.0         30.6
                                                                             --------    ---------
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period                                       $21.7        $15.7
                                                                             ========    =========


                                See accompanying notes

</TABLE>

                                       6
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                    NOTES TO THE CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
                                   (Unaudited)

Note 1 - Basis of Presentation

The  consolidated  balance  sheet as of  September  30,  1998,  and the  related
consolidated  statements  of income for the three and nine month  periods  ended
September 30, 1998 and 1997 and the  statements of cash flows for the nine month
periods ended September 30, 1998 and 1997 are unaudited,  and, in the opinion of
management,  include all adjustments which are necessary for a fair presentation
of such  statements.  Such  adjustments  consist of only normal recurring items.
Interim  results are not  necessarily  indicative  of results for other  interim
periods or for a full year.

Note 2 - Dividends Declared

On October 19, the Company  declared a cash  dividend of $0.41 per common  share
payable to shareholders of record on November 3, 1998. The dividend will be paid
on November 17, 1998.

Note 3 - Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements

In February of 1997, the FASB issued SFAS No. 128,  "Earnings Per Share",  which
became  effective  for the  1997  Annual  Report.  Earlier  application  was not
permitted;  however, restatement of all prior periods presented is required. The
Statement  replaces  primary  earnings per share (EPS) with "basic" earnings per
common  share.  Basic EPS is  computed by dividing  income  available  to common
stockholders by the weighted-average number of common shares outstanding for the
period. The Statement also requires presentation of EPS assuming dilution.  This
is computed  similarly to the fully  diluted EPS that was  previously  required.
Basic and diluted EPS for the third  quarter of 1998 is $0.43,  and for the nine
months ended 1998 are $2.34 and $2.32,  respectively.  Basic and diluted EPS for
the third quarter of 1997 is $0.39, and for the nine months ended 1997 are $1.58
and $1.56, respectively.

In June of 1997, SFAS No. 130, "Reporting Comprehensive Income," was issued. The
Company has adopted this standard  which  requires the display of  comprehensive
income and its components in the financial statements. The Company has chosen to
disclose  Comprehensive  Income,  which includes  unrealized gains and losses on
debt and equity  securities  classified  as  available  for sale,  as a separate
statement of comprehensive  income. Prior years have been restated to conform to
the requirements of SFAS No. 130.












Item 2.
                     MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Consolidated Operating Results

The Company reported consolidated net income of $10.4 million ($0.43 per diluted
common  share) on total  revenue of $60.4 million for the third quarter of 1998,
compared with $9.3 million  ($0.39 per diluted common share) on total revenue of
$60.3  million  for the  same  quarter  last  year.  For the nine  months  ended
September 30, 1998, consolidated net income was $55.9 million ($2.32 per diluted
common  share) on total revenue of $214.7  million,  compared with net income of
$37.6  million  ($1.56  per  diluted  common  share) on total  revenue of $188.9
million for the same period in 1997.  Shareholder's  book value at September 30,
1998  increased to $30.99 per common share compared with $30.82 at June 30, 1998
and $30.18 at September 30, 1997.

Consolidated  operating  income after tax was $5.3 million for the quarter ended
September  30, 1998,  compared  with $9.0 million for the same period last year.
For the nine months ended  September  30, 1998,  consolidated  operating  income
after tax was $23.3 million, compared with $35.6 million for the same nine-month
period last year. Operating income excludes gains on the sale of investments.

Total revenue  includes  gains on sales of  investments  of $7.8 million for the
current  quarter,  compared with $400,000 for the third quarter in 1997. For the
nine months ended September 30, 1998,  gains on sales of investments  were $50.1
million,  compared with $3.1 million for the same period last year. The gains in
the third quarter of 1998  resulted  primarily  from  resolution of class action
litigation  related to investment  transactions  in prior years.  Other gains in
1998  resulted  primarily  from  the  call of  Navistar  International  Series D
preferred  stock.  The Company  cannot  anticipate  when or if similar gains may
occur in the future.

Argonaut Group continues to maintain a conservative  investment portfolio,  with
over  70%  of  the  portfolio   value   invested  in  U  S   Treasuries,   other
investment-grade  bonds, and short-term securities.  During the current quarter,
the unrealized gains in the investment portfolio  increased,  since the value of
fixed maturities more than offset the decline in equities.

The  decline in  premium  in the third  quarter  and for the nine  months  ended
September 30, 1998 from the comparable  periods in 1997 was primarily the result
of discontinuing  providing workers  compensation  coverage for employee leasing
businesses at Argonaut  Insurance  Company,  the reduction in mid-market workers
compensation  accounts at Argonaut  Great Central in late 1977, and the increase
in premiums ceded to reinsurers for providing increased coverage in 1998.

The decline in operating results for the current quarter compared with the third
quarter of 1997  resulted from higher than normal  losses  (including  Hurricane
Georges) at our Argonaut  Great Central  subsidiary;  costs to upgrade  computer
systems for Year 2000; and costs related to the review of strategic alternatives
to enhance shareholder value.

The Company  established a Year 2000 project team in November,  1996, to prepare
the Company's computer hardware,  operating system software,  computer programs,
and voice and data  communications  to  remedy  Year 2000  compliant/remediation
issues. The Company's  external Year 2000 plan includes  validating and testing,
the  readiness  of  its  outsource  data  center  service  providers,   and  the
information exchange process with vendors and business partners.

It is the opinion of management  that the  Company's  state of readiness is more
than 95% complete. The Company's client server policy management, policy rating,
and claims processing  systems were Year 2000 compliant as of April 30, 1998. In
addition, as of September 30, 1998, Argonaut's mission critical mainframe legacy
systems have been  remediated to process dates beyond the Year 2000. The Company
has completed testing its mission critical business processing client server and
mainframe legacy systems,  computer hardware,  computer  infrastructure  systems
software,  and office automation software to assure continuity of service beyond
the Year 2000.

During the  remainder  of 1998 and into the first  quarter of 1999,  the project
team will continue testing non-mission  critical user systems and validating the
above  mission  critical  systems  for Year 2000  compliance/remediation.  After
completion of these activities, the Company will prepare a contingency plan that
will include a designated  team to resolve any  unforeseen  problems  that arise
beyond the Year 2000.

The total project cost is estimated to be  approximately  $3.8  million.  All 
costs  associated  with the project have been expensed as incurred.

On January 28, 1998,  the Company  announced  that it had engaged  Credit Suisse
First  Boston   Corporation   to  assist  in  reviewing  a  range  of  strategic
alternatives,  including the potential  combination  of the Company with another
company.  There can be no  assurance  that any  strategic  combination  or other
transaction will result from this review.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

The liquidity  requirements  of the Company have been met by funds provided from
premiums and  investment  income as well as maturities of invested  assets.  The
primary use of funds was to pay claims, policy benefits, operating expenses, and
commissions and to purchase new investments.

Management  believes  that the Company  maintains  sufficient  liquidity  to pay
claims  and  expenses.  Management  also  believes  that the  Company  possesses
adequate  capital  resources  to  cover  unforeseen  events  such  as  reinsurer
insolvencies, inadequate premium rates, or reserve deficiencies.


Part II.  Other Information

Item 1.  Legal Proceedings

Reference is made to Item 3 of the Company's  Annual Report to  Stockholders  on
Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 1997.

Item 6.  Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K.

1.   Exhibit 27 Financial Data Schedule for September 30, 1998 Form 10-Q.
2.   The  Registrant  filed a Form 8-K on  September  22, 1998 for Item 5. Other
     Events.  The resignation of an outside director from the Company's Board of
     Directors. There were no financial statements filed therewith.



                                       7
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                            SIGNATURES




Pursuant  to the  requirements  of the  Securities  Exchange  Act of  1934,  the
registrant  has duly  caused  this  report  to be  signed  on its  behalf by the
undersigned thereunto duly authorized.


Argonaut Group, Inc.
(Registrant)





/s/ Charles E. Rinsch
Charles E. Rinsch
President (principal executive
  officer)





/s/ James B Halliday
James B Halliday
Vice President and Treasurer
(principal financial and
  accounting officer)



October 29, 1998


                                       8

<TABLE> <S> <C>

<ARTICLE>                                           7
                      
<MULTIPLIER>                                   1,000,000
       
<S>                             <C>
<PERIOD-TYPE>                   9-mos
<FISCAL-YEAR-END>                              Dec-31-1998
<PERIOD-START>                                 Jan-01-1998
<PERIOD-END>                                   Sep-30-1998

<DEBT-HELD-FOR-SALE>                           1,013
<DEBT-CARRYING-VALUE>                          0
<DEBT-MARKET-VALUE>                            0
<EQUITIES>                                     375
<MORTGAGE>                                     0
<REAL-ESTATE>                                  0
<TOTAL-INVEST>                                 1,389
<CASH>                                         22
<RECOVER-REINSURE>                             204
<DEFERRED-ACQUISITION>                         5
<TOTAL-ASSETS>                                 1,793
<POLICY-LOSSES>                                933
<UNEARNED-PREMIUMS>                            44
<POLICY-OTHER>                                 0
<POLICY-HOLDER-FUNDS>                          2
<NOTES-PAYABLE>                                0
                          0
                                    0
<COMMON>                                       2
<OTHER-SE>                                     742
<TOTAL-LIABILITY-AND-EQUITY>                   1793
                                     106
<INVESTMENT-INCOME>                            59
<INVESTMENT-GAINS>                             50
<OTHER-INCOME>                                 0
<BENEFITS>                                     73
<UNDERWRITING-AMORTIZATION>                    2
<UNDERWRITING-OTHER>                           56
<INCOME-PRETAX>                                83
<INCOME-TAX>                                   27
<INCOME-CONTINUING>                            26
<DISCONTINUED>                                 1
<EXTRAORDINARY>                                0
<CHANGES>                                      0
<NET-INCOME>                                   56
<EPS-PRIMARY>                                  2
<EPS-DILUTED>                                  2
<RESERVE-OPEN>                                 846
<PROVISION-CURRENT>                            88
<PROVISION-PRIOR>                              (15)
<PAYMENTS-CURRENT>                             28
<PAYMENTS-PRIOR>                               133
<RESERVE-CLOSE>                                756
<CUMULATIVE-DEFICIENCY>                        (15)
        


</TABLE>


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