ARGONAUT GROUP INC
10-Q, 1999-11-12
FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
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                              FORM 10-Q

                       SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

                             Washington, D.C. 20549

(Mark One)

x  QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE
ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended September 30, 1999

                                       OR

o  TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE
 ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from ________ to ___________

Commission file number: 0-14950

                              Argonaut Group, Inc.
             (Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware                                                     95-4057601
(State or other jurisdiction of                              (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization)                               Identification No.)

1800  Avenue of the  Stars,  Suite  1175,  Los  Angeles,  California  90067-4213
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip code)

                                                             310.553.0561
               (Registrant's telephone number including area code)

         Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports
required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the  Securities  Exchange  Act of
1934  during  the  preceding  12 months  (or for such  shorter  period  that the
registrant was required to file such reports),  and (2) has been subject to such
filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes X No ____



         Indicate the number of shares  outstanding of each of the  registrant's
classes of common stock, as of October 28, 1999.

Title                                                        Outstanding

Common Stock, par value $.10 per share                       22,790,450



<PAGE>



                                             ARGONAUT GROUP, INC.
                                               TABLE OF CONTENTS





PART I.  FINANCIAL INFORMATION:                                            Page

         Item 1.     Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements:

              Consolidated Balance Sheets
              September 30, 1999 and December 31, 1998....................... 3

              Consolidated Statements of Income and Comprehensive Income
              Three Months and Nine Months Ended, September 30, 1999 and 1998.4

              Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
              Three Months and Nine Months Ended September 30, 1999 and 1998..5

              Notes to The Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements........6

         Item 2.     Management's Discussion and Analysis of
               Financial Condition and Results of Operations:
               Second Quarter Ended September 30, 1999 and 1998...............7



PART II.      OTHER INFORMATION:

         Item 1.     Legal Proceedings........................................9


         Item 6.     Exhibits and Reports on Form 8K..........................9


         Signatures..........................................................10



<PAGE>
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>

Part I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

                            ARGONAUT GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                                 CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
                            (In million except per share amounts)
<S>                                                           <C>                 <C>
                                                               Sep 30, 99          Dec 31, 98
                                                               (unaudited)           (audited)
ASSETS
Investments:
     Fixed maturities, available for sale, at fair value           $792.3              $942.8
         (cost: 1999 - $810.4; 1998 - $915.5)
     Equity securities, available for sale, at fair value           403.7               408.5
         (cost: 1999 - $201.8; 1998 - $197.4)
     Short-term investments, available for sale, at fair             12.9                19.9
     value
     Securities in transit                                            0.4                 1.6
                                                                 ----------        ----------
                                                                  1,209.3             1,372.8
Cash and cash equivalents                                            12.6                24.5
Accrued investment income                                            13.6                18.7
Receivables:
     Due from insureds                                              100.8               103.7
     Due from reinsurance                                           215.8               196.1
     Accrued retrospective premiums                                  48.4                52.8
Cost in excess of net assets purchased                               33.4                35.5
Unearned premiums on ceded reinsurance                                1.1                 0.9
Other assets                                                         13.8                15.5
                                                                 ----------        ----------
                                                                 $1,648.8            $1,820.5
                                                                 ==========        ==========

LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

Reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses                   $877.4              $935.8
Unearned premiums                                                    33.6                36.8
Accrued policyholder dividends                                      (2.9)               (2.5)
Deferred Federal income taxes                                         1.4                14.2
Other liabilities                                                    58.9                81.8
                                                                  ----------       ----------

                                                                    968.4             1,066.1
                                                                  ----------       ----------
Shareholders' equity:
     Common stock - $.10 par, 35,000,000 shares
         authorized, 22,888,150 and 24,077,792 shares
         issued and outstanding at September 30, 1999
         and December 31, 1998, respectively                          2.3                 2.4
     Additional paid-in capital                                      98.9               102.9
     Retained earnings                                              459.8               494.1
     Net unrealized appreciation on securities                      119.4               155.0
                                                                  ---------        ----------

                                                                    680.4               754.4
                                                                  ----------       ----------
                                                                 $1,648.8            $1,820.5
                                                                 ===========       ==========
</TABLE>





<PAGE>



<TABLE>
<CAPTION>




                                      Argonaut Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
                                      Consolidated Statements of Operations

(In millions except amounts per share)                        For the Quarter              For the Nine Months
(unaudited)                                                Ended September 30,            Ended September 30,
                                                        ---------------------------    ---------------------------
<S>                                                         <C>             <C>            <C>            <C>

                                                              1999           1998            1999          1998
Premiums and other revenue:
    Premiums, net                                             $27.2          $33.6           $88.4         $105.8
    Net investment income                                      17.2           19.0            52.1           58.8
    Gains on sales of investments                               0.9            7.8             2.3           50.1
                                                              ------         ------          ------         ------
Total Revenue                                                  45.3           60.4           142.8          214.7
Expenses:
    Losses and loss adjustment expenses                        23.2           25.8            62.1           72.6
    Underwriting, acquisition, and
        Insurance expenses                                     14.3           18.1            46.2           56.4
    Amortization of cost in excess of
        net assets purchased                                    0.7            0.7             2.1            2.1
    Policyholder dividends                                      0.2            0.2             0.7            0.7
                                                              ------         ------          ------         ------

Total Expenses                                                 38.4           44.8           111.1          131.8
                                                              ------         ------          ------         ------
Income before tax                                               6.9           15.6            31.7           82.9
Provision for taxes                                             1.9            5.2            10.0           27.0
                                                              ======         ======          ======         ======
Net Income                                                     $5.0          $10.4           $21.7          $55.9
                                                              ======         ======          ======         ======
Income per common share:
        Basic                                                 $0.21          $0.43           $0.91          $2.34
                                                              ======         ======          ======         ======
        Diluted                                               $0.21          $0.43           $0.91          $2.32
                                                              ======         ======          ======         ======

Weighted Average Common Shares:
        Basic                                               23,688,252      23,947,899     23,891,340    23,923,593
                                                            ============    ============   ============  =============
        Diluted                                             23,693,321      24,091,347     23,897,177    24,136,986
                                                            ============    ============   ============  =============
</TABLE>
<PAGE>

<TABLE>
<CAPTION>

                                      Argonaut Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
                                 Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income

(In millions except amounts per share)                        For the Quarter              For the Nine Months
(unaudited)                                                Ended September 30,            Ended September 30,
                                                        ---------------------------    ---------------------------
<S>                                                         <C>             <C>           <C>            <C>

                                                              1999           1998          1999           1998


Net Income                                                     $5.0          $10.4           $21.7          $55.9
Other comprehensive income:
    Unrealized gain on securities:
        Gains arising during the year                        (33.8)           13.4          (52.5)           44.3
        Reclassification adjustment for gains included
        in net income                                         (0.9)          (7.8)           (2.3)         (50.1)
                                                             ------          ------         ------         ------
Other comprehensive income (loss) before tax                 (34.7)            5.6          (54.8)          (5.8)
Income tax expense related to other
        Comprehensive income (loss)                          (12.1)            2.0          (19.2)          (2.0)
                                                             ------          ------         ------         ------
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax                (22.6)            3.6          (35.6)          (3.8)
                                                             ------          ------         ------         ------
Comprehensive income                                        ($17.6)          $14.0         ($13.9)          $52.1
                                                             ======         ======          ======         ======
</TABLE>




<PAGE>
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>

                              ARGONAUT GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                               CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOW
                                          (In millions)
                                           (unaudited)

                                                                            For the Nine Months
                                                                            Ended September 30,
                                                                          -------------------------
<S>                                                                           <C>           <C>
                                                                                1999         1998
Cash flows from operating activities:
    Net income                                                                  $21.7        $55.9

    Adjustments to reconcile net income to
    net cash provided by operations:
      Amortization and depreciation                                              5.2           6.8
      Deferred federal income taxes provision                                    6.2          20.9
      Gains on sales of investments                                             (2.3)        (50.1)
    Decrease in accrued investment income                                        5.1           4.7
    Decrease (increase) in reinsurance receivables                              (19.7)         6.7
    Decrease (increase) in receivables from insureds                            (37.0)        13.3
    Decrease  in accrued retrospective premiums                                  4.4           5.8
    Increase in unearned premiums on ceded reinsurance                           (0.2)         (0.2)

    Decrease in reserves for losses and
      loss adjustment expense                                                    (18.5)        (92.3)
    Increase (decrease) in unearned premiums                                    (3.2)           3.7
    Increase (decrease) in accrued policyholder dividends                       (0.4)           1.1
    Increase (decrease) in income taxes payable                                 (2.9)           5.6
    Decrease in other, net                                                      (19.7)        (12.7)
                                                                                ------        -------
                                                                                (83.0)        (86.7)
                                                                                ------        -------
Cash flows from investing activities:
    Sales of fixed maturity investments                                         61.0             -
    Sales of equity securities                                                  11.6          87.4
    Maturities and mandatory calls of fixed maturity investments                56.8          231.8
    Purchases of fixed maturity investments                                     (13.9)        (305.6)
    Purchases of equity securities                                              (14.2)         (8.2)
    Decrease in short-term investments                                           7.0           26.3
    Decrease (increase) in other, net                                            1.2          (10.4)
                                                                                ------        ------
                                                                                109.5          21.3
                                                                                ------        ------
Cash flows from financing activities:
    Repurchase of common stock                                                  (31.3)             -
    Payment of cash dividend                                                    (29.5)        (29.4)
    Exercise of stock options                                                     0.7           1.6
                                                                                ------        ------
                                                                                (60.1)        (27.8)
                                                                                ------        ------

Decrease in cash and cash equivalents                                           (11.9)        (37.3)
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period                                  24.5          59.0
                                                                                -------       ------
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period                                        12.6          21.7
                                                                                =======       ======

                                See accompanying notes

</TABLE>

<PAGE>



            NOTES TO THE CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
                                   (Unaudited)

Note 1 - Basis of Presentation

The  consolidated  balance  sheet as of  September  30,  1999,  and the  related
consolidated  statements  of income for the three and nine month  periods  ended
September 30, 1999 and 1998 and the  statements of cash flows for the nine month
periods ended September 30, 1999 and 1998 are unaudited,  and, in the opinion of
management,  include all adjustments which are necessary for a fair presentation
of such  statements.  Such  adjustments  consist of only normal recurring items.
Interim  results are not  necessarily  indicative  of results for other  interim
periods or for a full year.  Certain prior year balances have been  reclassified
to conform to the current year presentation.

Note 2 - Dividends Declared

On October 26, the Company  declared a regular  quarterly cash dividend of $0.41
per common share. The dividend will be paid on November 23, 1999 to shareholders
of record November 9, 1999.


Note 3 - Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements

In June 1998, the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued Statement
of Financial  Accounting  Standard ("SFAS") No. 133,  "Accounting for Derivative
Instruments and Hedging  Activities." SFAS No. 133 requires  companies to record
derivatives  on the  balance  sheet as assets or  liabilities,  measured at fair
value. Gains or losses resulting from changes in the values of those derivatives
would be accounted  for  depending on the use of the  derivative  and whether it
qualifies for hedge  accounting.  The key criterion for hedge accounting is that
the  hedging  relationship  must be highly  effective  in  achieving  offsetting
changes in fair value or cash flows.  SFAS No. 133 is effective for fiscal years
beginning  after June 15,  1999.  In May 1999,  the FASB  issued  SFAS No.  137,
"Accounting for Derivative  Instruments and Hedging Activities - Deferral of the
Effective  Date of SFAS No.  133",  that  amends  SFAS No.  133 and  defers  the
effective date to fiscal years beginning after June 15, 2000.  Management of the
Company  does not  believe  the  adoption  of SFAS No.  133 will have a material
impact on the  Company's  results  of  operations  or  financial  position  when
adopted.




<PAGE>


Item 2.
                     MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Consolidated Operating Results
The Company reported  consolidated net income of $5.0 million ($0.21 per diluted
common  share) on total  revenue of $45.3  million,  compared with $10.4 million
($0.43 per diluted  common share) on total revenue of $60.4 million for the same
quarter  last  year.  For  the  nine  months  ended   September  30,  1999,  the
consolidated  net income was $21.7 million  ($0.91 per diluted common share) and
total revenue was $142.8 million, compared with $55.9 million ($2.32 per diluted
common share) and total  revenue of $214.7  million for the same period in 1998.
Primarily  as a result of lower  market  value in the  investment  portfolio  at
September 30, 1999, shareholders' equity per share declined to $29.73 per common
share compared with $30.71 at June 30, 1999, and $30.99 at September 30, 1998.

Consolidated  operating  income after tax was $4.4 million for the quarter ended
September  30, 1999,  compared  with $5.3 million for the same period last year.
For the nine months ended  September  30, 1999,  consolidated  operating  income
after tax was $20.2  million,  compared  with $23.3  million for the same period
last year. Operating income excludes gains on the sale of investments.

The statutory loss and expense ratios for third quarter of 1999 were 86% and 47%
respectively  compared  to 77% and  54%  for the  third  quarter  of  1998.  The
statutory loss and expense  ratios for the nine months ended  September 30, 1999
were 71% and 50%  respectively  compared to the September 30, 1998 ratios of 69%
and 50%.

Total  revenue  includes  gains on the sale of  investments  of $900,000 for the
current  quarter,  compared with $7.8 million for the third quarter of 1998. For
the nine months ended  September 30, 1999,  gains on sales of  investments  were
$2.3 million,  compared with $50.1 million for the same period last year.  Gains
in the third quarter of 1998 resulted  primarily from resolution of class action
litigation  related to  investment  trades in prior  years.  Other gains in 1998
resulted  primarily from the call of Navistar  International  Series D preferred
stock.  The Company cannot  anticipate when or if similar gains may occur in the
future.

Both operating  revenues and income continue to lag compared with 1998.  Workers
compensation, the company's principal line of business, continues to be impacted
by rate decreases in key states and an extremely price-competitive  marketplace.
Also, investment income is below the prior year's level, reflecting lower market
yields and the reduction of invested assets as claim reserves from prior periods
are paid out, and as funds have been used to repurchase  shares of the Company's
common stock.

During  the  third  quarter  of  1999,  under  its  previously  announced  stock
repurchase program, the Company purchased an additional 918,600 shares, bringing
the total shares  repurchased to 6,574,336 out of an aggregate  authorization of
8,000,000  shares.  As of September  30,  1999,  22,888,150  common  shares were
outstanding, compared with 24,077,792 shares as of December 31, 1998.

The Company deeply regrets to report that Dr. Henry E.  Singleton,  Director and
former Chairman of the Board of Argonaut Group,  passed away on August 31, 1999.
Dr. Singleton was the founder of Teledyne,  Inc., the parent company of Argonaut
until its spin-off to  shareholders  in 1986.  He served as Chairman of Argonaut
Group  until  December  of  1998,  but  continued  as a member  of the  Board of
Directors  and  was  the  largest  shareholder  of  Argonaut.   Dr.  Singleton's
outstanding  leadership  and vision have been very  valuable to Argonaut  and he
will be missed.

Year 2000
On October 19, 1998, the Year 2000 Information and Readiness  Disclosure Act
("Y2K Act") (Pub. L. No. 105-271,  12 Stat. 2386 (1998) to
be codified at 15 U.S.C.  ss. 1) was enacted into law by President  Clinton.
The following  disclosure is defined by section 3(9) of the
Y2K Act.

The Company  established a Year 2000 project team in November of 1996 to prepare
its computer hardware,  operating system software,  computer programs, and voice
and data  communications to address Year 2000 compliance and remediation issues.
The Company's  external Year 2000 plan covers the information  exchange  process
with vendors and business  partners,  and  includes  validating  and testing the
readiness of its outsource data center service providers.

It is the opinion of  management  that as the  Company's  client  server  policy
management, policy rating and claims processing systems were Year 2000 compliant
as of April 30, 1998. These computer systems use a four-position  field to store
and process all dates.  In addition,  it is the opinion of  management  that the
Company's  mission critical  mainframe legacy systems were remediated to process
dates beyond the Year 2000 as of September  30, 1998.  The Company has completed
testing its mission  critical  business  processing  client server and mainframe
legacy systems, computer hardware, computer infrastructure systems software, and
office automation software to assure continuity of service beyond the Year 2000.
During the second  quarter of 1999,  the  Company  continued  the testing of the
remaining other systems for Year 2000  compliance,  as well as validation of the
above mission-critical  systems which have been remediated,  tested and migrated
to production.  In July 1999, the  vendor-upgraded  Accounts Payable and General
Ledger systems were successfully rolled out to production and it is management's
opinion that all systems have been  date-repaired to Year 2000  compliance.  The
Company's Year 2000  Contingency  Plan has been put in place as of September 30,
1999.

The total project cost is estimated to be  approximately  $4.4  million.  All
costs  associated  with the project have been expensed as
incurred.


Liquidity and Capital Resources

The liquidity  requirements  of the Company have been met by funds provided from
premiums and  investment  income as well as maturities of invested  assets.  The
primary use of funds was to pay claims, policy benefits, operating expenses, and
commissions and to purchase new investments.

Management  believes  that the Company  maintains  sufficient  liquidity  to pay
claims  and  expenses.  Management  also  believes  that the  Company  possesses
adequate  capital  resources  to  cover  unforeseen  events  such  as  reinsurer
insolvencies, inadequate premium rates, or reserve deficiencies.






<PAGE>



Part II.  Other Information

Item 1.  Legal Proceedings

Reference is made to Item 3 of the Company's Annual Report to Stockholders on
Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 1998.

Item 6.  Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K.

1.  Exhibit 27 Financial Data Schedule for September 30, 1999 Form 10-Q.
2. During the quarter  covered by this report,  the  Registrant did not file any
reports on Form 8-K.



<PAGE>




                                   SIGNATURES




Pursuant  to the  requirements  of the  Securities  Exchange  Act of  1934,  the
registrant  has duly  caused  this  report  to be  signed  on its  behalf by the
undersigned thereunto duly authorized.


Argonaut Group, Inc.
(Registrant)





/s/ Charles E. Rinsch
Charles E. Rinsch
President (principal executive
  officer)





/s/ James B Halliday
James B Halliday
Vice President and Treasurer
(principal financial and
  accounting officer)



November 11, 1999



<TABLE> <S> <C>


<ARTICLE>                                           7
<MULTIPLIER>                                   1,000,000

<S>                                           <C>
<PERIOD-TYPE>                                  9-MOS
<FISCAL-YEAR-END>                              Dec-31-1999
<PERIOD-START>                                 Jan-01-1999

<PERIOD-END>                                   Sep-30-1999
<DEBT-HELD-FOR-SALE>                           792
<DEBT-CARRYING-VALUE>                          0
<DEBT-MARKET-VALUE>                            0
<EQUITIES>                                     404
<MORTGAGE>                                     0
<REAL-ESTATE>                                  0
<TOTAL-INVEST>                                 1196
<CASH>                                         13
<RECOVER-REINSURE>                             26
<DEFERRED-ACQUISITION>                         4
<TOTAL-ASSETS>                                 1649
<POLICY-LOSSES>                                877
<UNEARNED-PREMIUMS>                            34
<POLICY-OTHER>                                 0
<POLICY-HOLDER-FUNDS>                          (3)
<NOTES-PAYABLE>                                0
                          0
                                    0
<COMMON>                                       2
<OTHER-SE>                                     680
<TOTAL-LIABILITY-AND-EQUITY>                   1649
                                     88
<INVESTMENT-INCOME>                            52
<INVESTMENT-GAINS>                             2
<OTHER-INCOME>                                 0
<BENEFITS>                                     62
<UNDERWRITING-AMORTIZATION>                    2
<UNDERWRITING-OTHER>                           46
<INCOME-PRETAX>                                32
<INCOME-TAX>                                   10
<INCOME-CONTINUING>                            22
<DISCONTINUED>                                 0
<EXTRAORDINARY>                                0
<CHANGES>                                      0
<NET-INCOME>                                   22
<EPS-BASIC>                                  1
<EPS-DILUTED>                                  1
<RESERVE-OPEN>                                 892
<PROVISION-CURRENT>                            72
<PROVISION-PRIOR>                              (178)
<PAYMENTS-CURRENT>                             23
<PAYMENTS-PRIOR>                               121
<RESERVE-CLOSE>                                642
<CUMULATIVE-DEFICIENCY>                        (10)



</TABLE>


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