ARGONAUT GROUP INC
10-Q, 1999-05-07
FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
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                                    FORM 10-Q

                                    SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

                                    Washington, D.C. 20549

(Mark One)

x  QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE 
   ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended March 31, 1999

                                OR

o  TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE 
   ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from ________ to ___________

Commission file number: 0-14950

                         Argonaut Group, Inc.
               (Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware                                                     95-4057601
(State or other jurisdiction of                              (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization)                               Identification No.)

1800  Avenue of the  Stars,  Suite  1175,  Los  Angeles,  California  90067-4213
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip code)

                           310.553.0561
          (Registrant's telephone number including area code)

         Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports
required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the  Securities  Exchange  Act of
1934  during  the  preceding  12 months  (or for such  shorter  period  that the
registrant was required to file such reports),  and (2) has been subject to such
filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes X No ____



         Indicate the number of shares  outstanding of each of the  registrant's
classes of common stock, as of May 5, 1999.

Title                                                        Outstanding

Common Stock, par value $.10 per share                       24,004,976


<PAGE>



                                             ARGONAUT GROUP, INC.
                                               TABLE OF CONTENTS





PART I.       FINANCIAL INFORMATION:                                       Page

              Item 1.     Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements:

                          Consolidated Balance Sheets
                          March 31, 1999 and December 31,                     
                          1998................................................3

                          Consolidated Statements of Income and Comprehensive 
                          Income Three Months Ended, March 31, 1999 and 1998..4

                          Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
                          Three Months Ended, March 31, 1999 and 1998.........5

                          Notes to The Condensed Consolidated Financial
                          Statements..........................................6

              Item 2.     Management's Discussion and Analysis of
                          Financial Condition and Results of Operations:
                          First Quarter Ended, March 31, 1999 and 1998........7



PART II.      OTHER INFORMATION:

              Item 1.     Legal Proceedings...................................8


              Item 6.     Exhibits and Reports on Form
                          8K..................................................8


              Signatures......................................................9


                                       2
<PAGE>
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>
Part I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

                           ARGONAUT GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                                CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
                           (In million except per share amounts)

                                                              Mar 31, 99         Dec 31, 98
                                                             (unaudited)          (audited)
<S>                                                         <C>                 <C>  
ASSETS
Investments:
     Fixed maturities, available for sale, at fair value          $900.1             $942.8
         (cost: 1999 - $889.9; 1998 - $915.5)
     Equity securities, available for sale, at fair value          401.5              408.5
         (cost: 1999 - $198.9; 1998 - $197.4)
     Short-term investments                                         19.4               19.9
     Securities in transit                                                              1.6
                                                                --------           --------
                                                                 1,321.0            1,372.8
Cash and cash equivalents                                            9.5               24.5
Accrued investment income                                           15.2               18.7
Receivables:
     Reinsurance                                                   195.8              196.1
     Agents' balances                                               60.9               63.8
     Accrued retrospective premiums                                 52.6               52.8
Cost in excess of net assets purchased                              34.8               35.5
Unearned premiums on ceded reinsurance                               0.9                0.9
Other assets                                                        15.3               15.5
                                                                ---------          --------
                                                                $1,706.0           $1,780.6
                                                                =========          ========

LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

Reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses                  $856.7             $895.9
Unearned premiums                                                   38.3               36.8
Accrued policyholder dividends                                     (3.4)              (2.5)
Deferred Federal income taxes receivable                             8.5               14.2
Other liabilities                                                   70.2               81.8
                                                                 --------          --------
                                                            
                                                                   970.3            1,026.2
                                                                 --------          --------
Shareholders' equity:
     Common stock - $.10  par,  35,000,000  shares  
     authorized,  24,018,248 and 24,077,792 shares 
     issued and outstanding at March 31, 1999
     and December 31, 1998, respectively                             2.4                2.4
     Additional paid-in capital                                    103.0              102.9
     Retained earnings                                             492.0              494.1
     Net unrealized appreciation on securities                     138.3              155.0
                                                                   -------          -------
                                                            
                                                                   735.7              754.4
                                                                   -------          -------
                                                                  $1,706.0         $1,780.6
                                                                  ========         ========
See accompanying notes.
</TABLE>




                                       3
<PAGE>
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>

                       Argonaut Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
                      Consolidated Statements of Operations

(In millions except amounts per share)                        For the Quarter
(unaudited)                                                  Ended March 31,
                                                        -----------------------

                                                        1999           1998
<S>                                                    <C>           <C>    

Premiums and other revenue:
    Premiums, net                                             $27.6        $35.5
    Net investment income                                      17.6         20.3
    Gains on sales of investments                               0.9         42.2
                                                            -------       ------
Total Revenue                                                  46.1         98.0
Expenses:
    Losses and loss adjustment expenses                        15.7         24.2
    Underwriting, acquisition, and
        insurance expenses                                     15.5         19.2
    Amortization of cost in excess of
        net assets purchased                                    0.7          0.7
    Policyholder dividends                                      0.2          0.2
                                                            -------      -------
                                                        
Total Expenses                                                 32.1         44.3
                                                            -------      -------
Income before tax                                              14.0         53.7
Provision for taxes                                             4.5         17.0
                                                            -------      -------
                                                        
Net Income                                                     $9.5        $36.7
                                                            =======      =======

Income per common share:                                 
        Basic                                                 $0.40        $1.54
                                                             ======       ======
        Diluted                                               $0.40        $1.52
                                                             ======       ======

Dividends declared per common share:                          $0.41        $0.41
                                                             ======       ======

Weighted Average Common Shares:
        Basic                                           24,055,569   23,887,688
                                                        ==========   ==========
        Diluted                                         24,062,856   24,183,651
                                                        ==========   ==========
</TABLE>
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>

                       Argonaut Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
                 Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income
(In millions except amounts per share)                        For the Quarter
(unaudited)                                                  Ended March 31,
                                                        ------------------------
                                                              1999        1998
<S>                                                     <C>         <C>   

Net Income                                                  $9.5        $36.7
Other comprehensive income:
    Unrealized gain on securities:
        Gains (losses) arising during the year              (24.6)       21.9
        Reclassification adjustment for gains included
        in net income                                       (0.9)       (42.2)
                                                            ------       ------
Other comprehensive loss before tax                         (25.5)       (20.3)
Income tax expense related to other
        comprehensive loss                                  (8.9)         (7.1)
                                                            ------       ------
Other comprehensive loss, net of tax                        (16.6)       (13.2)
                                                            ------       ------
Comprehensive income (loss)                                 ($7.1)       $23.5
                                                            ======       ======
See accompanying notes
</TABLE>

                                       4
<PAGE>
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>

                             ARGONAUT GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                              CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOW
                                         (In millions)
                                          (unaudited)


                                                            For the Three Months
                                                                 Ended March 31,
                                                       -------------------------
                                                              1999          1998
<S>                                                     <C>          <C>
Cash flows from operating activities:
    Net income                                                $9.5         $36.7

    Adjustments to reconcile net income to net
      cash provided by operations:
      Amortization and depreciation                            1.8           2.4
      Decrease in accrued investment income                    3.5           3.0
      Decrease in reinsurance receivables                      0.3          12.8
      Decrease in agents' balances                             2.9           4.8
      Decrease  in accrued retrospective premiums              0.2           0.3
      Increase in unearned premiums on ceded reinsurance       0.0         (0.1)
      Decrease in deferred federal income taxes                3.2          10.8
      Decrease in reserves for losses and
        loss adjustment expense                              (39.2)       (34.7)
      Increase in unearned premiums                            1.5           4.4
      Increase (decrease) in accrued policyholder
      dividends                                               (0.9)          0.1
      Increase in income taxes payable                         1.0           7.2
      Decrease in other, net                                (12.8)         (8.3)
                                                             -----         -----
                                                            (29.0)          39.4
                                                             -----         -----
Cash flows from investing activities:
      Sales of fixed maturity investments                      7.1           0.0
                                                                              
      Sales of equity                                          5.5          31.9
      securities
      Maturities and mandatory calls of fixed 
      maturity investments                                    20.0          57.4
      Purchases of fixed maturity investments                (2.2)       (203.3)
      Purchases of equity securities                         (7.1)         (3.7)
      Decrease in short-term investments                       0.5          58.1
      Increase in other, net                                   1.6           1.6
                                                              ----          ----
                                                              25.4        (58.0)
                                                              ----         -----
Cash flows from financing activities:
      Repurchase of common stock                              (1.8)     
      Payment of cash dividend                                (9.9)        (9.8)
      Exercise of stock                                        0.3          0.7
      options
                                                              ----          ----
                                                              (11.4)       (9.1)
                                                              ----          ----

Decrease in cash and cash equivalents                         (15.0)      (27.7)
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period                 24.5         59.0
                                                               ----         ----
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period                       $9.5        $31.3
                                                               =====       =====
 See accompanying notes
</TABLE>



                                       5
<PAGE>



                       NOTES TO THE CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
                                   (Unaudited)

Note 1 - Basis of Presentation

The  consolidated   balance  sheet  as  of  March  31,  1999,  and  the  related
consolidated  statements of income and comprehensive income for the three months
ended  March 31,  1999 and 1998 and the  statements  of cash flows for the three
months  ended  March 31,  1999 and 1998 are  unaudited,  and,  in the opinion of
management,  include all adjustments which are necessary for a fair presentation
of such  statements.  Such  adjustments  consist of only normal recurring items.
Interim  results are not  necessarily  indicative  of results for other  interim
periods or for a full year.

Note 2 - Dividends Declared

On April 27, the Company declared a cash dividend of $0.41 per common share
 payable to shareholders of record on May 11, 1999.  The dividend will be paid
 on May 25, 1999.


Note 3 - Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements

SFAS No. 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities,  was
issued on June 16, 1998.  The  Company's  required  adoption  date is January 1,
2000.  The  Company  does not  anticipate  SFAS No. 133 to have an impact on its
results of operations or financial position.


                                       6
<PAGE>


Item 2.
                     MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Consolidated Operating Results
The Company reported  consolidated net income of $9.5 million ($0.40 per diluted
common  share) on total revenue of $46.1 million for the quarter ended March 31,
1999.  For the first quarter of 1998,  net income was $36.7  million  ($1.52 per
diluted common share) on total revenue of $98.0 million.  Operating income after
tax was $9.0 million ($0.38 per diluted common share) for the quarter,  compared
with $9.3  million  ($0.39 per  diluted  common  share) for the same period last
year.  Operating  income excludes gains on the sale of investments.  The current
quarter  result was  favorably  impacted by a pre-tax  reserve  decrease of $3.2
million  related to  mandatory  assigned  risk pools.  Shareholders'  equity per
common share at March 31, 1999  decreased  slightly to $30.63 per common  share,
compared with $31.33 at the end of 1998,  primarily from a decline in the market
value of the bond portfolio.

Total revenue  includes  gains on sales of  investments  of $0.9 million for the
current  quarter,  compared  with gains of $42.2  million for the same period in
1998. The 1998 gains resulted primarily from the call of Navistar  International
Series D preferred stock. The Company cannot anticipate when or if similar gains
or losses may occur in the future.

For the first quarter of 1999,  earned  premium  decreased $7.9 million to $27.6
million,  compared with $35.5 million in the first quarter of 1998. This decline
in premium revenues is due primarily to three factors:  declining rates,  severe
price  competition,  and management  actions to non-renew  certain  unprofitable
accounts and to purchase additional  reinsurance  protection.  Since 1995, while
the Company  has added  significant  new  accounts  and renewed  over 71% of its
existing  accounts,  there have been rate  reductions  in  workers  compensation
premiums  of as much as 40-50% in many  states  across  the  country,  including
significant recent reductions in Texas and Arizona. Severe price competition has
resulted in the loss of accounts at renewal to  competitors  at prices which the
Company did not consider  prudent based on historical and estimated  losses.  In
the first quarter of 1999,  the impact on earned premium from  non-renewals  was
approximately $1.2 million.  Coverage on certain accounts providing temporary or
leased  employees  leasing accounts was discontinued in 1998 due to unprofitable
results.  This decreased  current quarter premium by approximately  $2.5 million
compared  with  the  first  quarter  of 1998.  Additionally,  the  Company  paid
approximately $2.2 million for additional  reinsurance  coverage compared to the
prior year first quarter to take advantage of favorable  rates.  The Company has
not, however, participated in reinsurance contracts known as "buy-downs",  which
may attach to losses as low as $20,000 per  occurrence.  Argonaut's  reinsurance
coverage attaches at a more traditional level of $250,000 per occurrence, and is
purchased from reinsurers with an A.M. Best rating of "A" or higher.

Year 2000
On October 19, 1998, the Year 2000 Information and Readiness  Disclosure Act
 ("Y2K Act")(Pub.  L. No. 105-271,  12 Stat. 2386 (1998) to
be codified at 15 U.S.C.  ss. 1) was enacted into law by President  Clinton. 
 The following  disclosure is defined by section 3(9) of the Y2K Act.



                                       7
<PAGE>

The Company  established a Year 2000 project team in November of 1996 to prepare
its computer hardware,  operating system software,  computer programs, and voice
and data  communications to address Year 2000 compliance and remediation issues.
The Company's  external Year 2000 plan covers the information  exchange  process
with vendors and business  partners,  and  includes  validating  and testing the
readiness of its outsource data center service providers.

It is the  opinion  of  management  that  the  Company's  client  server  policy
management,  policy  rating and claims  processing  systems  have been Year 2000
compliant since April of 1998. These computer systems use a four-position  field
to store and process all dates.  In  addition,  it is the opinion of  management
that effective  September 30, 1998,  the Company's  mission  critical  mainframe
legacy  systems have been  remediated to process dates beyond the Year 2000. The
Company has completed  testing its mission critical  business  processing client
server and mainframe legacy systems, computer hardware,  computer infrastructure
systems software and office automation  software to assure continuity of service
beyond the Year 2000.  During the first quarter of 1999,  the Company  continued
the  testing of  non-mission  critical  user  systems and  validating  the above
mission  critical systems for Year 2000  compliance/remediation.  The Company is
preparing a  contingency  plan that  includes a  designated  team to resolve any
unforeseen problems that arise beyond the Year 2000.

The total project cost is estimated to be  approximately  $4.4  million.  All 
costs  associated  with the project have been expensed as
incurred.


Liquidity and Capital Resources

The liquidity  requirements  of the Company have been met by funds provided from
premiums and  investment  income as well as maturities of invested  assets.  The
primary use of funds was to pay claims,  policy  benefits,  operating  expenses,
commissions, and to purchase new investments.

Management  believes  that the Company  maintains  sufficient  liquidity  to pay
claims  and  expenses.  Management  also  believes  that the  Company  possesses
adequate  capital  resources  to  cover  unforeseen  events  such  as  reinsurer
insolvencies, inadequate premium rates, or reserve deficiencies.

Part II.  Other Information

Item 1.  Legal Proceedings

Reference is made to Item 3 of the Company's Annual Report to Stockholders on
 Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 1998.

Item 6.  Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K.

1.  Exhibit 27 Financial Data Schedule for March 31, 1999 Form 10-Q.
2. During the quarter  covered by this report,  the  Registrant did not file any
reports on Form 8-K.



                                       8
<PAGE>

 SIGNATURES




Pursuant  to the  requirements  of the  Securities  Exchange  Act of  1934,  the
registrant  has duly  caused  this  report  to be  signed  on its  behalf by the
undersigned thereunto duly authorized.


Argonaut Group, Inc.
(Registrant)





/s/ Charles E. Rinsch                  
Charles E. Rinsch
President (principal executive
  officer)





/s/ James B Halliday                   
James B Halliday
Vice President and Treasurer
(principal financial and
  accounting officer)



May  6, 1999

<TABLE> <S> <C>


<ARTICLE>                                           7
<MULTIPLIER>                                  1000
<CURRENCY>                                    0
       
<S>                             <C>
<PERIOD-TYPE>                   3-mos
<FISCAL-YEAR-END>                              Dec-31-1999
<PERIOD-START>                                 Jan-01-1999
<PERIOD-END>                                   Mar-31-1999
<EXCHANGE-RATE>                                1  
<DEBT-HELD-FOR-SALE>                           900
<DEBT-CARRYING-VALUE>                          0
<DEBT-MARKET-VALUE>                            0
<EQUITIES>                                     401
<MORTGAGE>                                     0
<REAL-ESTATE>                                  0
<TOTAL-INVEST>                                 1321
<CASH>                                         10
<RECOVER-REINSURE>                             196
<DEFERRED-ACQUISITION>                         5
<TOTAL-ASSETS>                                 1706
<POLICY-LOSSES>                                857
<UNEARNED-PREMIUMS>                            38
<POLICY-OTHER>                                 0
<POLICY-HOLDER-FUNDS>                          (3)
<NOTES-PAYABLE>                                0
                          0
                                    0
<COMMON>                                       2
<OTHER-SE>                                     736
<TOTAL-LIABILITY-AND-EQUITY>                   1706
                                     28
<INVESTMENT-INCOME>                            18
<INVESTMENT-GAINS>                             1
<OTHER-INCOME>                                 0
<BENEFITS>                                     16
<UNDERWRITING-AMORTIZATION>                    1
<UNDERWRITING-OTHER>                           16
<INCOME-PRETAX>                                14
<INCOME-TAX>                                   5
<INCOME-CONTINUING>                            (5)
<DISCONTINUED>                                 (0)
<EXTRAORDINARY>                                0
<CHANGES>                                      0
<NET-INCOME>                                   10
<EPS-PRIMARY>                                  .40
<EPS-DILUTED>                                  .40
<RESERVE-OPEN>                                 892
<PROVISION-CURRENT>                            15
<PROVISION-PRIOR>                              (168)
<PAYMENTS-CURRENT>                             4
<PAYMENTS-PRIOR>                               50
<RESERVE-CLOSE>                                685
<CUMULATIVE-DEFICIENCY>                        867
        


</TABLE>


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