ARGONAUT GROUP INC
10-Q, 2000-11-02
FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
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                                    FORM 10-Q

                       SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

                             Washington, D.C. 20549

(Mark One)

|X|  QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE
     ACT OF 1934

             For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2000

                                       OR

|_|  TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES
     EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from ________ to ___________

                         Commission file number: 0-14950

                              Argonaut Group, Inc.
                (Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware                                                     95-4057601
(State or other jurisdiction of                              (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization)                               Identification No.)

                     250 Middlefield Road, Menlo Park 94025
                  (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip code)

                                  650.858.6600
                 (Registrant's telephone number including area code)

         Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports
required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the  Securities  Exchange  Act of
1934  during  the  preceding  12 months  (or for such  shorter  period  that the
registrant was required to file such reports),  and (2) has been subject to such
filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes X No ____



         Indicate the number of shares  outstanding of each of the  registrant's
classes of common stock, as of October 30, 2000.

Title                                                        Outstanding

Common Stock, par value $.10 per share                        22,001,118




<PAGE>


                              ARGONAUT GROUP, INC.
                                TABLE OF CONTENTS



                                                                        Page No.

Part I.  FINANCIAL INFORMATION:

         Item 1.  Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements:

                  Consolidated Balance Sheets
                  September 30, 2000 and December 31, 1999....................3

                  Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Income
                  Three and nine months ended September 30, 2000 and 1999.....4

                  Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
                   Nine months ended September 30, 2000 and 1999..............5

                  Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial  Statements.......6

            Item 2.  Management's Discussion and Analysis of
                       Financial Condition and Results of Operations..........8


Part II. OTHER INFORMATION:
            Item 1. Legal Proceedings.........................................9
         Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K.............................9



        Signatures...........................................................10





<PAGE>
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>

Part I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

                             ARGONAUT GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                                  CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
                             (In millions except per share amounts)

                                                              Sep 30, 2000          Dec 31, 1999
                                                               (unaudited)
<S>                                                           <C>                   <C>

ASSETS
Investments:
     Fixed maturities, available for sale, at fair value            $709.1                $745.4
         (cost: 2000 - $725.4; 1999 - $775.8)
     Equity securities, available for sale, at fair value            363.7                 427.1
         (cost: 2000 - $179.4; 1999 - $202.2)
     Short-term investments, available for sale, at fair              14.9                   0.8
     value
     Securities in transit                                             1.9                   2.6
                                                             --------------       ---------------
                                                             --------------       ---------------
                                                                   1,089.6               1,175.9
Cash and cash equivalents                                             13.5                  31.2
Accrued investment income                                             11.4                  16.2
Receivables:
     Due from insureds                                               100.0                  92.8
     Due from reinsurance                                            220.9                 218.3
     Accrued retrospective premiums                                   17.5                  31.0
Cost in excess of net assets purchased                                30.6                  32.7
Unearned premiums on ceded reinsurance                                 2.8                   1.2
Accrued policyholder dividends recaptured                                                    3.0
                                                                         -
Deferred Federal income tax asset, net                                45.1                  10.3
Other assets                                                           9.5                  12.5
                                                             --------------       ---------------
                                                             --------------       ---------------
                                                                  $1,540.9              $1,625.1
                                                             ==============       ===============
                                                             ==============       ===============

LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses                    $908.3                $897.4
Unearned premiums                                                     42.6                  43.9
Accrued policyholder dividends                                         1.8
                                                                                               -
Other liabilities                                                     54.9                  55.4
                                                             --------------       ---------------
                                                             --------------       ---------------
                                                                   1,007.6                 996.7
                                                             --------------       ---------------
                                                             --------------       ---------------
Shareholders' equity:
     Common stock - $.10  par,  35,000,000
       shares  authorized,  22,002,131  and
       22,359,816 shares issued and outstanding
       at June 30, 2000 and December 31, 1999,
       respectively                                                    2.2                   2.2
     Additional paid-in capital                                       95.4                  96.8
     Retained earnings                                               326.4                 403.0
     Net unrealized appreciation on securities                       109.3                 126.4
                                                             --------------       ---------------
                                                             --------------       ---------------
                                                                     533.3                 628.4
                                                             --------------       ---------------
                                                             --------------       ---------------
                                                                  $1,540.9              $1,625.1
                                                             ==============       ===============
                                                             ==============       ===============


                        See accompanying notes
</TABLE>
<PAGE>
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>


                                      Argonaut Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
                                      Consolidated Statements of Operations

(In millions except amounts per share)                        For the Quarter              For the Nine Months
(unaudited)                                                Ended September 30,            Ended September 30,
                                                        ---------------------------    ---------------------------
                                                        ---------------------------    ---------------------------
                                                               2000           1999            2000          1999
<S>                                                     <C>            <C>             <C>           <C>
Premiums and other revenue:
    Premiums, net                                             $32.8          $27.2           $93.0          $88.4
    Net investment income                                      15.3           17.2            47.3           52.1
    Gains on sales of investments                               2.4            0.9            22.5            2.3
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
Total revenue                                                  50.5           45.3           162.8          142.8
Expenses:
    Losses and loss adjustment expenses                        28.8           23.2           169.2           62.1
    Underwriting, acquisition, and
        insurance expenses                                     20.7           14.3            55.0           46.2
    Amortization of cost in excess of
        net assets purchased                                    0.7            0.7             2.1            2.1
    Policyholder dividends                                      2.1            0.2             5.6            0.7
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
Total expenses                                                 52.3           38.4           231.9          111.1
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
Income (loss) before tax                                      (1.8)            6.9          (69.1)           31.7
Provision (benefit) for taxes                                 (0.9)            1.9          (24.8)           10.0
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
Net income (loss)                                            ($0.9)           $5.0         ($44.3)          $21.7
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============

Income (loss) per common share:
        Basic                                               ($0.04)          $0.21         ($2.00)          $0.91
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============
        Diluted                                             ($0.04)          $0.21         ($2.00)          $0.91
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============

Dividends declared per common share:                          $0.41          $0.41           $0.41          $0.41
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============

Weighted average common shares:
        Basic                                           22,001,185     23,688,252      22,136,779     23,891,340
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============
        Diluted                                         22,001,185     23,693,321      22,136,779     23,897,177
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============
</TABLE>
<PAGE>
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>


                                      Argonaut Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
                                 Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income

(In millions except amounts per share)                        For the Quarter              For the Nine Months
(unaudited)                                                Ended September 30,            Ended September 30,
                                                        ---------------------------    ---------------------------
                                                        ---------------------------    ---------------------------
                                                           2000           1999                2000           1999
<S>                                                     <C>            <C>             <C>           <C>
Net income (loss)                                            ($0.9)           $5.0         ($44.3)          $21.7
Other comprehensive income (loss):
    Unrealized gain (loss) on securities:
        Gains (losses) arising during the period               21.0         (33.8)           (3.8)         (52.5)
        Reclassification adjustment for gains included
        in net income or net                                  (2.4)          (0.9)          (22.5)          (2.3)
        loss
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
Other comprehensive income (loss) before tax                   18.6         (34.7)          (26.3)         (54.8)
Income tax expense related to other
        Comprehensive income (loss)                             6.5         (12.1)           (9.2)         (19.2)
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax                  12.1         (22.6)          (17.1)         (35.6)
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
                                                        ------------   ------------    ------------  -------------
Comprehensive income (loss)                                   $11.2        ($17.6)         ($61.4)        ($13.9)
                                                        ============   ============    ============  =============
                                    See accompanying notes
</TABLE>
<PAGE>
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>

                               ARGONAUT GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                               CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOW
                                           (In millions)
                                            (unaudited)

                                                                             For the Nine Months
                                                                             Ended September 30,
                                                                          --------------------------
                                                                          --------------------------
                                                                                 2000          1999
<S>                                                                       <C>           <C>
Cash flows from operating activities:
    Net income (loss)                                                         ($44.3)        $21.7

    Adjustments  to reconcile net income  (loss) to net cash provided  (used) by
    operations:
      Amortization and depreciation                                              3.9           5.2
      Deferred federal income tax provision (benefit)                          (25.5)          6.2
      Gains on sales of investments                                            (22.5)         (2.3)
    Decrease in accrued investment income                                        4.8           5.1
    Increase in receivables from insureds                                       (7.2)        (37.0)
    Increase in reinsurance receivables                                         (2.6)        (19.7)

    Decrease  in accrued retrospective premiums                                 13.5           4.4
    Increase in unearned premiums on ceded reinsurance                          (1.6)         (0.2)
    Decrease (increase)  in accrued policyholder dividends recaptured            4.8          (0.4)
    Increase (decrease) in reserves for losses and
      loss adjustment expenses                                                  10.9         (18.5)
    Increase (decrease) in unearned premiums                                    (1.3)         (3.2)
    Increase (decrease)  in income taxes payable                                 7.1          (2.9)
    Decrease in other assets and liabilities, net                               (5.7)        (19.7)
                                                                          ------------  ------------
                                                                          ------------  ------------

                                                                               (21.4)        (83.0)
                                                                          ------------  ------------
                                                                          ------------  ------------
Cash flows from investing activities:
    Sales of fixed maturity investments                                         35.0          61.0
    Maturities and mandatory calls of fixed maturity investments                16.8          56.8
    Sales of equity securities                                                  72.1          11.6
    Purchases of fixed maturity investments                                     (2.0)        (13.9)
    Purchases of equity securities                                             (26.8)        (14.2)
    Decrease (increase) in short-term investments                              (14.1)          7.0
    Other, net                                                                   0.7           1.2
                                                                          ------------  ------------
                                                                          ------------  ------------

                                                                                81.7         109.5
                                                                          ------------  ------------
                                                                          ------------  ------------
Cash flows from financing activities:
    Repurchase of common stock                                                  (6.4)        (31.3)
    Payment of cash dividend                                                   (27.3)        (29.5)
    Exercise of stock options                                                     -            0.7
                                                                          ------------  ------------
                                                                          ------------  ------------

                                                                               (33.7)        (60.1)
                                                                          ------------  ------------
                                                                          ------------  ------------

Decrease in cash and cash equivalents                                          (17.7)        (11.9)
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period                                  31.2          24.5
                                                                          ------------  ------------
                                                                          ------------  ------------
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period                                       $13.5         $12.6
                                                                          ============  ============
                                                                          ============  ============


                             See accompanying notes

</TABLE>
<PAGE>


NOTES TO THE CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
                                   (Unaudited)

Note 1 - Basis of Presentation
The  consolidated  balance  sheet as of  September  30,  2000,  and the  related
consolidated  statements  of income for the three and nine month  periods  ended
September 30, 2000 and 1999 and the  statements of cash flows for the nine month
periods ended September 30, 2000 and 1999 are unaudited,  and, in the opinion of
management,  include all adjustments which are necessary for a fair presentation
of such  statements.  Such  adjustments  consist of only normal recurring items.
Interim  results are not  necessarily  indicative  of results for other  interim
periods or for a full year.  Certain prior year balances have been  reclassified
to conform to the current year presentation.

These unaudited  consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction
with the  consolidated  financial  statements and notes that are included in the
Company's  Annual Report to  Stockholders  on Form 10K for the fiscal year ended
December 31, 1999.

Note 2 - Dividends Declared
On October 24, 2000 the Company  declared a regular  quarterly  cash dividend of
$0.41 per common share payable to  shareholders  of record on November 14, 2000.
The dividend will be paid on November 28, 2000.

Note 3 - Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements
In June 1998, the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued Statement
of Financial  Accounting  Standard ("SFAS") No. 133,  "Accounting for Derivative
Instruments and Hedging  Activities." SFAS No. 133 requires  companies to record
derivatives  on the  balance  sheet as assets or  liabilities,  measured at fair
value. Gains or losses resulting from changes in the values of those derivatives
would be accounted  for  depending on the use of the  derivative  and whether it
qualifies for hedge  accounting.  The key criterion for hedge accounting is that
the  hedging  relationship  must be highly  effective  in  achieving  offsetting
changes in fair value or cash flows. SFAS No. 133 was to be effective for fiscal
years  beginning after June 15, 1999. In May 1999, the FASB issued SFAS No. 137,
"Accounting for Derivative  Instruments and Hedging Activities - Deferral of the
Effective  Date of SFAS No.  133",  that  amends  SFAS No.  133 and  defers  the
effective date to fiscal years beginning after June 15, 2000.  Management of the
Company  does not  believe  the  adoption  of SFAS No.  133 will have a material
impact on the  Company's  results  of  operations  or  financial  position  when
adopted.

Note 4 - Contingencies: Litigation
Argonaut  Insurance  Company is a defendant in a case entitled Diamond Woodworks
vs.  Argonaut  Insurance  Company,  in the  Superior  Court  of  Orange  County,
California.  The case arose out of Argonaut's  alleged  mishandling of a workers
compensation  claim and alleged  fraudulent acts towards the plaintiff.  On June
19, 2000 the jury awarded approximately $700,000 in compensatory damages and $14
million in punitive damages against the Company,  which verdict was subsequently
confirmed by the Court.  The Company has filed post judgment motions to overturn
or reduce the judgments.  The Company intends to vigorously  pursue an appeal of
an  adverse  final  judgment,  and has  posted a surety  bond for the  judgement
pending appeal.  The Company has recorded the $700,000 judgment for compensatory
damages but has not  recorded the $14 million  judgment  for  punitive  damages.
Management  is  currently  unable to  estimate  the amount (if any) of  punitive
damages that will be awarded.


<PAGE>
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>

Note 5 - Reserves for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
The following table provides a reconciliation of reserves for direct and assumed
losses and loss  adjustment  expenses  for  September  30, 2000 and 1999.  Ceded
incurred losses and loss adjustment  expenses were 21.1 million and 30.6 million
for the periods ended September 30, 2000 and 1999 respectively.

                                                       For the Nine Months
                                                       Ended September 30,
                                                   -----------------------------
In millions                                               2000             1999
<S>                                                <C>             <C>

Reserves for losses and loss
adjustment expenses at
beginning of period                                     $897.4           $935.8

Losses and loss adjustment expenses:
Provision for losses and loss
Adjustment expenses for claims
Occurring in the current period                          102.2            104.3
Increase in estimated
losses and loss adjustment expenses
for claims occurring in prior periods                     88.1            (11.6)
                                                   ------------    -------------

                                                         190.3             92.7
Losses and loss adjustment expense payments
for claims occurring during:
Current period                                            25.7             17.8
Prior periods                                            153.7            133.3
                                                   ------------    -------------
                                                         179.4            151.1
Reserves for losses and loss
adjustment expenses at end of period                    $908.3           $877.4
                                                   ============    =============


</TABLE>
<PAGE>


Item 2.
                     MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Consolidated Operating Results

The Company  reported a  consolidated  net loss of  $900,000  ($0.04 per diluted
common  share) on total  revenue of $50.5 million for the third quarter of 2000,
compared to consolidated income of $5.0 million ($0.21 per diluted common share)
on total revenue of $45.3  million for the same quarter last year.  For the nine
months ended September 30, 2000, the Company recorded a consolidated net loss of
$44.3  million  ($2.00  per  diluted  common  share) on total  revenue of $162.8
million,  compared to a net income of $21.7  million  ($0.91 per diluted  common
share) on total revenue of $142.8 million for the same period in 1999.

Consolidated  operating  loss after tax was $2.5  million for the quarter  ended
September 30, 2000, compared to a consolidated  operating income of $4.4 million
for the same period last year. For the nine months ended September 30, 2000, the
consolidated   operating  loss  after  tax  was  $58.9   million,   compared  to
consolidated  operating  income of $20.2 million for the same nine-month  period
last year. Operating income excludes gains on the sale of investments.

Total revenue  includes  gains on sales of  investments  of $2.4 million for the
current  quarter,  compared with $900,000 for the third quarter of 1999. For the
nine months ended September 30, 2000,  gains on sales of investments  were $22.5
million, compared with $2.3 million for the same period last year.

Although net written  premiums are up 26% over the third quarter of 1999, and up
16% year to date,  inadequate  pricing  of the  inforce  business  continues  to
produce high loss ratios.  Expenses also  increased in the quarter by $3 million
from the reduction of the asset carried for deferred policy acquisition costs.

Under its stock repurchase  program  announced in 1989, the Company has acquired
7,463,236  out of an aggregate  authorization  of eight  million  shares.  As of
September 30, 2000,  22,001,118  common shares were  outstanding,  compared with
22,359,816 shares as of December 31, 1999.

Shareholders' equity per common share at September 30, 2000 was $24.24, compared
with $24.14 at June 30, and $28.10 at December 31, 1999.

Market Risk

 The primary  market risk  exposures  that result in an impact to the  Company's
investment  portfolio relates to equity price changes and interest rate changes.
The  Company  does  not have  any  foreign  currency  risk,  debt or  derivative
instruments.

The Company holds a well  diversified  portfolio of  investments in common stock
representing  U.S.  firms in industries and market  segments  ranging from small
market  capitalization  stocks to the Standard & Poors 500 stocks.  Equity price
risk is managed primarily through the daily monitoring of funds committed to the
various  types  securities  owned by the Company and by limiting the exposure in
any one investment or type of investment.

The  Company's  primary  exposure  to  interest  rate risk  relates to its fixed
maturity  investments  including  redeemable  preferred stock. Changes in market
interest rates directly impact the market value of the fixed maturity securities
and preferred stocks.

<PAGE>

Argonaut  adheres  to  certain  specific  guidelines  to manage  its  investment
portfolio.  The Company invests only in high investment grade bonds ("AAA" rated
U.S.  treasury  notes and  government  agencies and "A" or better for  municipal
bonds,  corporate  bonds,  and  preferred  stocks) with a short horizon (10 year
maximum).  The  Company  also  purchases  common  stocks  through an  Investment
Manager.

Management  has  assessed  these risks and feels that there has been no material
change since December 31, 1999.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

The liquidity  requirements  of the Company have been met by funds provided from
premiums  and  investment  income as well as sales and  maturities  of  invested
assets. The primary use of funds was to pay claims,  policy benefits,  operating
expenses,  and  commissions,  to purchase  new  investments,  pay  dividends  to
shareholders and repurchase shares of its outstanding common stock.

Management  believes  that the Company  maintains  sufficient  liquidity  to pay
claims  and  expenses.  Management  also  believes  that the  Company  possesses
adequate  capital  resources  to  cover  unforeseen  events  such  as  reinsurer
insolvencies, inadequate premium rates, or reserve deficiencies.



Part II.  Other Information

Item 1.  Legal Proceedings

Reference is made to Item 3 of the Company's  Annual Report to  Stockholders  on
Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended  December 31, 1999 and to Footnote 4 of this
Form 10-Q.

Item 6.  Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K.

1.  Exhibit 27, Financial Data Schedule for September 30, 2000, Form 10-Q.
2.  During the quarter covered by this report, the Registrant did not file
    any reports on Form 8-K.
<PAGE>



                                   SIGNATURES




Pursuant  to the  requirements  of the  Securities  Exchange  Act of  1934,  the
registrant  has duly  caused  this  report  to be  signed  on its  behalf by the
undersigned thereunto duly authorized.


Argonaut Group, Inc.
(Registrant)





/s/ Mark E. Watson, III
---------------------------------------
Mark E. Watson, III
President (principal executive
  officer)





/s/ James B Halliday
James B Halliday
Vice President and Treasurer
(principal financial and
  accounting officer)



November 1, 2000


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