PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/
10-Q, 1996-11-13
FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
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<PAGE>   1
                                  UNITED STATES
                       SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
                             WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

                                    FORM 1O-Q

(Mark One)

[x] QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE
    ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended             September 30, 1996
                               --------------------------------------------

                                       or

[ ] TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE
    ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from _____________________ to _____________________

Commission File Number             1-9518
                       ----------------------------

                           THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION

- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

             Ohio                                           34-0963169
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   (State or other jurisdiction of                       (I.R.S. Employer
   incorporation or organization)                        Identification No.)

   6300 Wilson Mills Road, Mayfield Village, Ohio              44143
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   (Address of principal executive offices)                  (Zip Code)

                                 (216) 461-5000
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              (Registrant's telephone number, including area code)

         Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports
required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the
registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such
filing requirements for the past 90 days.
                                                     Yes   x   No
                                                        -----    -----

         Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer's
classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date.

Common Shares, $1 par value: 71,442,510 outstanding at October 31, 1996



<PAGE>   2
PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION
- ------------------------------

ITEM 1.  Financial Statements.

The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
(unaudited)
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>
                                                         Three Months                            Nine Months
                                               ----------------------------------    ------------------------------------
Periods Ended September 30,                          1996      1995     % Change       1996       1995         % Change
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(millions - except per share amounts)
<S>                                                <C>       <C>        <C>          <C>        <C>             <C>
NET PREMIUMS WRITTEN                               $878.1    $733.8        20        $2,563.4   $2,175.1           18
                                               =====================               =======================
REVENUES
Premiums earned                                    $827.5    $709.3        17        $2,344.0   $2,011.0           17
Investment income                                    57.0      51.4        11           163.2      146.2           12
Net realized gains (losses) on security sales        (3.4)      5.3        --             1.2       42.8          (97)
Service revenues                                     12.8       9.7        32            32.6       29.0           12
                                               ---------------------               -----------------------
    Total revenues                                  893.9     775.7        15         2,541.0    2,229.0           14
                                               ---------------------               -----------------------
EXPENSES
Losses and loss adjustment expenses                 572.7     503.9        14         1,636.7    1,435.4           14
Policy acquisition costs                            120.0     119.2         1           359.5      339.8            6
Other underwriting expenses                          61.6      43.9        40           153.9      128.7           20
Investment expenses                                   1.4       1.7       (18)            4.6        6.3          (27)
Service expenses                                      9.2       5.2        77            30.8       22.4           38
Interest expense                                     16.1      14.3        13            45.4       42.8            6
                                               ---------------------               -----------------------
    Total expenses                                  781.0     688.2        13         2,230.9    1,975.4           13
                                               ---------------------               -----------------------
NET INCOME
Income before income taxes                          112.9      87.5        29           310.1      253.6           22
Provision for income taxes                           32.6      25.0        30            88.1       69.5           27
                                               ---------------------               -----------------------
Net income                                         $ 80.3    $ 62.5        28        $  222.0   $  184.1           21
                                               =====================               =======================

PER SHARE
         Primary                                   $ 1.08     $ .81        33        $   2.91      $2.40           21
         Fully diluted                               1.08       .81        33            2.89       2.39           21
WEIGHTED NUMBER AVERAGE EQUIVALENT SHARES                                                              
         Primary                                     74.0      74.3        --            74.1       74.1           --
         Fully diluted                               74.2      74.4        --            74.5       74.4           --
</TABLE>



See notes to consolidated financial statements.

                                       2


<PAGE>   3


The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(unaudited)
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>
                                                                                  September 30,                       December 31,
                                                                        ----------------------------------         ----------------
                                                                                 1996                1995                     1995
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(millions)
<S>                                                                        <C>                   <C>                    <C>       
ASSETS
Investments:
    Held-to-maturity:
         Fixed maturities, at amortized cost
             (market: $310.7)                                              $       --            $  301.1               $       --
    Available-for-sale:
         Fixed maturities, at market (amortized cost:
             $3,348.5, $2,615.0 and $2,729.5)                                 3,350.0             2,624.2                  2,772.9
         Equity securities, at market
             Preferred stocks (cost: $279.9, $335.4 and $379.4)                 282.6               339.1                    382.3
             Common stocks (cost: $438.3, $227.7 and $277.6)                    491.7               253.7                    310.0
    Short-term investments, at amortized cost (market: $124.7, $191.1
         and $302.8)                                                            124.7               191.1                    302.8
                                                                        ----------------------------------         ----------------
              Total investments                                               4,249.0             3,709.2                  3,768.0
Cash                                                                              9.3                18.0                     16.2
Accrued investment income                                                        41.9                47.8                     39.8
Premiums receivable, net of allowance for doubtful accounts of
    $22.4, $18.0 and $19.2                                                      801.2               635.7                    649.9
Reinsurance recoverables                                                        319.3               361.4                    338.1
Prepaid reinsurance premiums                                                     90.9                75.7                     70.5
Deferred acquisition costs                                                      196.9               183.7                    181.9
Income taxes                                                                     71.8                64.7                     58.3
Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation of
    $122.3, $124.0 and $128.7                                                   165.6               155.1                    159.2
Other assets                                                                     41.3                24.4                     70.6
                                                                        ----------------------------------         ----------------
              Total assets                                                   $5,987.2            $5,275.7                 $5,352.5
                                                                        ==================================         ================

LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Unearned premiums                                                            $1,449.4            $1,193.3                 $1,209.6
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves                                     1,764.1             1,604.9                  1,610.5
Policy cancellation reserve                                                      42.9                37.9                     40.8
Accounts payable and accrued expenses                                           405.4               371.3                    339.9
Funded debt                                                                     775.6               675.7                    675.9
                                                                        ----------------------------------         ----------------
             Total liabilities                                                4,437.4             3,883.1                  3,876.7
                                                                        ----------------------------------         ----------------
Shareholders' equity:
    9 3/8% Serial Preferred Shares, Series A (shares issued and
         outstanding: 0, 3.5 and 3.4)                                              --                85.0                     83.6
    Common Shares, $1.00 par value
         (net of treasury shares of 11.7, 11.0 and 11.0)                         71.4                72.1                     72.1
    Paid-in capital                                                             378.2               374.4                    374.8
    Net unrealized appreciation on investment  securities                        37.3                25.3                     51.1
    Retained earnings                                                         1,062.9               835.8                    894.2
                                                                        ----------------------------------         ----------------
         Total shareholders' equity                                           1,549.8             1,392.6                  1,475.8
                                                                        ----------------------------------         ----------------
             Total liabilities and shareholders' equity                      $5,987.2            $5,275.7                 $5,352.5
                                                                        ==================================         ================
</TABLE>


See notes to consolidated financial statements.


                                       3



<PAGE>   4


The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(unaudited)

<TABLE>
<CAPTION>
Nine Months Ended September 30,                                                           1996                1995
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(millions)
<S>                                                                                 <C>                 <C>       
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
    Net income                                                                      $    222.0          $    184.1
    Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided
         by operating activities:
             Depreciation and amortization                                                17.9                15.1
             Net realized gains on security sales                                         (1.2)              (42.8)
         Changes in:
                  Unearned premiums                                                      239.8               156.6
                  Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves                              153.6               170.5
                  Accounts payable and accrued expenses                                   65.5                32.0
                  Policy cancellation reserve                                              2.1                (9.4)
                  Prepaid reinsurance                                                    (20.4)                7.5
                  Reinsurance recoverables                                                18.8                18.3
                  Premiums receivable                                                   (151.3)              (93.3)
                  Deferred acquisition costs                                             (15.0)              (22.1)
                  Income taxes                                                            (6.2)                8.2
                  Other, net                                                              15.1                10.8
                                                                                   ------------      --------------
                          Net cash provided by operating activities                      540.7               435.5
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES
    Purchases:
         Held-to-maturity:  fixed maturities                                                --                 (.2)
         Available-for-sale: fixed maturities                                         (3,289.3)           (2,175.1)
                             equity securities                                          (520.2)             (567.5)
    Sales:
         Available-for-sale: fixed maturities                                          2,280.6             1,366.7
                             equity securities                                           426.4               485.9
    Maturities, paydowns, calls and other:
         Held-to-maturity: fixed maturities                                                 --                34.7
         Available-for-sale: fixed maturities                                            371.1               345.8
                             equity securities                                            40.1                10.4
    Net sales of short-term investments                                                  178.1                88.0
    Payable on securities                                                                 26.6                10.1
    Purchases of property and equipment                                                  (25.7)              (28.6)
                                                                                   ------------      --------------
                          Net cash used in investing activities                         (512.3)             (429.8)
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
    Redemption of preferred shares                                                       (80.8)                  --
    Proceeds from exercise of stock options                                                5.2                 9.9
    Tax benefit of stock options exercised                                                 3.8                 8.3
    Proceeds from funded debt                                                             99.6                  --
    Payments on funded debt                                                                (.3)                (.3)
    Dividends paid to shareholders                                                       (15.3)              (18.1)
    Acquisition of treasury shares                                                       (47.5)                (.9)
                                                                                   ------------      --------------
                          Net cash used in financing activities                          (35.3)               (1.1)
                                                                                   ------------      --------------
Increase (decrease) in cash                                                               (6.9)                4.6
    Cash, January 1                                                                       16.2                13.4
                                                                                   ------------      --------------
    Cash, September 30                                                              $      9.3         $      18.0
                                                                                   ============      ==============
</TABLE>


See notes to consolidated financial statements.

                                       4


<PAGE>   5
The Progressive Corporation and Subsidiaries
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
(unaudited)



NOTE 1 SUPPLEMENTAL CASH FLOW INFORMATION. The Company paid income taxes
of $75.4 million and $45.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 1996
and 1995, respectively. Total interest paid was $34.9 million for each of the
nine months ended September 30, 1996 and 1995.

NOTE 2 On May 31, 1996, the Company redeemed all of its remaining outstanding
9 3/8% Serial Preferred Shares, Series A (Cumulative, Liquidation Preference
$25.00 per share) ("Preferred Shares") at a total cost of $82.1 million,
including accrued but unpaid dividends through the redemption date. The
redemption was funded through the sale on May 28, 1996, of $100 million of the
Company's 7.30% Notes due 2006 at par in an underwritten public offering. The
remaining proceeds of the offering were added to the investment portfolios of
the Company's subsidiaries and will be available for general corporate purposes,
which may include supporting premium growth.

NOTE 3 Funded debt at September 30 consisted of:

<TABLE>
<CAPTION>
                                                  1996                                1995
                                    ---------------------------------    --------------------------------
                                                           Market                              Market
                                         Cost              Value             Cost              Value    
                                    --------------    ---------------    --------------   ---------------
<S>                                    <C>                <C>               <C>              <C>      
7.30% Notes                            $  99.6            $  99.9           $    --          $     --
6.60% Notes                              198.8              193.5             198.6             197.1
7% Notes                                 148.3              140.2             148.3             145.1
8 3/4% Notes                              29.4               31.6              29.2              32.2
10% Notes                                149.5              167.0             149.4             172.4
10 1/8% Subordinated Notes               149.5              167.6             149.3             172.4
Other funded debt                           .5                 .5                .9                .9
                                    --------------    ---------------    --------------   ---------------
                                       $ 775.6            $ 800.3           $ 675.7          $  720.1
                                    ==============    ===============    ==============   ===============
</TABLE>


NOTE 4 On September 30, 1996, the Company paid a quarterly dividend of $.06 per
Common Share to shareholders of record as of the close of business on September
13, 1996. The dividend was declared by the Board of Directors on July 26, 1996.

On October 25, 1996, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of
$.06 per Common Share. The dividend is payable December 31, 1996, to
shareholders of record as of the close of business on December 13, 1996.


                                       5

<PAGE>   6


NOTE 5 Certain amounts in the financial statements for 1995 were reclassified to
conform with the presentation used for 1996. These reclassifications had no
effect on net income.

NOTE 6 The financial statements reflect all normal recurring adjustments which
were, in the opinion of management, necessary to present a fair statement of the
results for the interim periods. The results of operations for the period ended
September 30, 1996, are not necessarily indicative of the results expected for
the full year.

NOTE 7 SUBSEQUENT EVENT. On November 6, 1996, the Company signed a definitive
agreement to acquire Midland Financial Group, Inc. Under the agreement, the
Company will acquire all of Midland's outstanding stock, or approximately 5.5
million shares, at a price of $9.00 per share in cash. The transaction is
expected to be completed during the first quarter 1997, subject to regulatory
approval and other customary conditions. Midland Financial Group underwrites
and markets nonstandard private passenger automobile insurance through
approximately 8,500 independent agents across 20 states, primarily in the
southern and western United States. For the first half of 1996, Midland wrote
$76 million of net premiums written.



                                       6

<PAGE>   7



ITEM 2.  Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial
         Condition and Results of Operations.




RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

For the third quarter 1996, operating income, which excludes net realized
gains/losses on security sales, was $82.5 million, or $1.11 per share, compared
to $59.0 million, or $.76 per share, last year. The combined ratio was 91.2,
compared to 94.0 for the third quarter 1995. For the nine months ended September
30, 1996, operating income was $221.2 million, or $2.92 per share, compared to
$156.2 million, or $2.02 per share, in 1995. The year-to-date combined ratio was
91.7, compared to 94.7 last year.

Net premiums written increased 20% over the third quarter 1995 and 18%
year-to-date, primarily reflecting an increase in unit sales. Premiums earned,
which are a function of the amount of premiums written in the current and prior
periods, increased 17% for both the quarter and the first nine months. Service
revenues increased 32% to $12.8 million for the quarter and 12% to $32.6 million
for the first nine months, primarily driven by the newly acquired vehicle
inspection services company.

Claim costs, which represent actual and estimated future payments to or for our
policyholders, as well as loss estimates for future assignments and assessments
under state-mandated assigned risk programs and costs to settle these claims,
decreased as a percentage of premiums earned to 69% for the quarter, compared to
71% in 1995, and 70% for the first nine months, compared to 71% last year.
Policy acquisition costs and other underwriting expenses as a percentage of
premiums earned decreased to 22% for the third quarter and for the first nine
months, compared to 23% for the third quarter and for the first nine months in
1995. Service expenses increased 77% for the quarter and 38% for the first nine
months. Excluding current and prior year loss adjustment expense reserve changes
and acquisition costs associated with the vehicle inspection services company,
the increase in service expenses is consistent with the increase in revenues.

Recurring investment income (interest and dividends) increased 11% for the
quarter and 12% for the first nine months, reflecting an increase in the average
investment portfolio, partially offset by a decrease in the pretax yields and a
shift in the portfolio to common stocks. The Company had net realized losses on
security sales of $3.4 million for the quarter and net realized gains on
security sales of $1.2 million for the first nine months, compared to net
realized gains on security sales of $5.3 million and $42.8 million,
respectively, in 1995. On September 30, 1996, the Company's portfolio had $57.6
million in total unrealized gains, compared to $78.7 million at December 31,
1995, primarily reflecting an increase in interest rate levels as evidenced by
the 3-year treasury note yield increasing from 5.2% to 6.3% during the first
nine months.

The Company continues to invest in fixed-maturity, short-term and equity
securities. The majority of the portfolio was in short-term and
intermediate-term, investment-grade fixed-maturity securities ($3,335.9 million,
or 78.5%, at September 30, 1996, and $3,055.6 million, or 82.4%, at September
30, 1995). Long-term investment-grade fixed-maturity securities represented
$75.4 million, or $1.8%, and $44.8 million, or 1.2%, of the total investment
portfolio 


                                       7


<PAGE>   8



at September 30, 1996 and 1995, respectively. As of September 30, 1996 and 1995,
the non-investment-grade fixed-maturity portfolio of the Company was $63.4
million, or 1.5%, and $16.0 million, or .4%, respectively, of the total
investment portfolio. The duration of the fixed-income portfolio was 3.1 years
at September 30, 1996, compared to 1.9 years at September 30, 1995.

Equity investments are comprised of preferred stocks ($282.6 million, or 6.6%,
in 1996 and $339.1 million, or 9.2%, in 1995) and common stocks ($491.7 million,
or 11.6%, in 1996 and $253.7 million, or 6.8%, in 1995). The increase in common
stocks reflects the Company's objectives to increase its position in common
stock investments to 15% of the entire portfolio and to optimize returns and
further diversify the portfolio through foreign equity investments.

The Company's financial instruments with off-balance-sheet risk had net
unrealized losses of $1.4 million as of September 30, 1996, compared to losses
of $4.5 million as of September 30, 1995.

The weighted average annualized fully taxable equivalent book yield of the
portfolio was 6.6% and 6.9% for the nine months ended September 30, 1996 and
1995, respectively.

FINANCIAL CONDITION

Progressive's insurance operations create liquidity by collecting and investing
premiums written from new and renewal business in advance of paying claims. For
the nine months ended September 30, 1996, operations generated a positive cash
flow of $540.7 million. During the first nine months, the Company repurchased
997,105 Common Shares at an average cost of $41.59 per share. During the third
quarter, the Company repurchased 3,545 Common Shares at an average cost of
$52.59 per share, pursuant to an oddlot tender offer.

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

The Company has previously reported that it entered into a Settlement
Stipulation with the California Department of Insurance to settle Pro-West
Insurance Company's Proposition 103 rollback obligation for the sum of
$1,750,000. The Settlement Stipulation has been approved by the administrative
law judge and signed by the California Commissioner of Insurance and became 
final on September 16, 1996. The Company sought indemnification for this
liability from the sellers from whom Pro-West was acquired in October 1990, but
the sellers disputed the obligation. A settlement was reached, and, in
September, the Company accepted the sellers' payment in the amount of
$1,040,000 in full satisfaction of their indemnity obligation. The Company has
begun the process of locating eligible policyholders so that the rollback
refunds can be distributed.



                                       8

<PAGE>   9


                           PART II - OTHER INFORMATION
                           ---------------------------

ITEM 5.        Other Information

               The Board of Directors on October 25, 1996, elected Charles A. 
               Davis to fill the vacancy on the Company's Board.  Mr. Davis is a
               limited partner with Goldman Sachs Group L.P.

               On November 6, 1996, the Company signed a definitive agreement
               to acquire Midland Financial Group, Inc. Under the agreement,
               the Company will acquire all of Midland's outstanding stock, or
               approximately 5.5 million shares, at a price of $9.00 per share
               in cash. The transaction is expected to be completed during the
               first quarter 1997, subject to regulatory approval and other
               customary conditions. Midland Financial Group underwrites and
               markets nonstandard private passenger automobile insurance
               through approximately 8,500 independent agents across 20 states,
               primarily in the southern and western United States. For the
               first half of 1996, Midland wrote $76 million of net premiums
               written.

ITEM 6.        Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K.

               (a)  Exhibits:

                    See exhibit index on page 11.

               (b)  Reports on Form 8-K filed during the quarter ended September
                    30, 1996: None


                                       9

<PAGE>   10


                                   SIGNATURES
                                   ----------





Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the
registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the
undersigned thereunto duly authorized.




                                          THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION
                                          ---------------------------
                                          (Registrant)







Date:  November 13, 1996                   BY:  /s/ DAVID M. SCHNEIDER
       ---------------------                   ----------------------
                                               David M. Schneider
                                               Secretary







Date:  November 13, 1996                   BY:  /s/ CHARLES B. CHOKEL
       ---------------------                   ---------------------
                                               Charles B. Chokel
                                               Chief Financial Officer


                                       10

<PAGE>   11


                                  EXHIBIT INDEX
                                  -------------



<TABLE>
<CAPTION>
  Exhibit No.             Form 1O-Q
  Under Reg.              Exhibit
  S-K, Item 601           No.             Description of Exhibit
  -------------           ---------       ----------------------


<S>                          <C>          <C>        
       10                    10           The Progressive Corporation Directors Deferral
                                          Plan (Amendment and Restatement), as further
                                          amended on October 25, 1996

       11                    11           Computation of Earnings Per Share

       12                    12           Computation of Ratio of Earnings to
                                          Fixed Charges

       27                    27           Financial Data Schedule
</TABLE>


                                       11



<PAGE>   1


                                 EXHIBIT NO. 10
                                 --------------


                      THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION DIRECTORS

                          DEFERRAL PLAN (AMENDMENT AND

                        RESTATEMENT), AS FURTHER AMENDED

                               ON OCTOBER 25, 1996



<PAGE>   2


                          THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION
                             DIRECTORS DEFERRAL PLAN

                           (Amendment and Restatement)


1.     PURPOSES OF THE PLAN.

                  The purposes of this Plan are to attract and retain qualified
         Directors and to provide incentives to these Directors through the
         ability to defer their receipt of Director Fees and by providing
         Directors with the opportunity to participate in the Company's growth.

2.     DEFINITIONS.

                  (a) "Board" means the Board of Directors of the Company.

                  (b) "Common Shares" means units equivalent in value and
       dividend rights to Common Shares, $1.00 par value, of the Company.

                  (c) "Company" means The Progressive Corporation.

                  (d) "Deferred Account" means the account established by the
       Company for each Director who elects to defer the Fees payable to him as
       a Director.

                  (e) "Director" means any director of the Company who is not an
       employee of the Company.

                  (f) "Election Agreement" means the written election to defer
       Director Fees signed by the Director and in the form provided by the
       Chief Financial Officer of the Company.


<PAGE>   3


                  (g) "Fees" means the fees payable to a Director by reason of
       his serving on the Board either (i) as a retainer (without regard to
       attendance at meetings) or (ii) on a per meeting basis. "Retainer Fees"
       means those Fees which are payable to a Director by reason of his serving
       on the Board as a retainer (without regard to attendance at meetings),
       and "Meeting Fees" means those Fees which are payable to a Director by
       reason of his attendance at meetings of the Board or any committee
       thereof.

                  (h) "Market Price" means the average of the high and low price
       at which a share of the Company's Common Stock, $1.00 par value, is
       traded on the NYSE on a given date.

                  (i) "Member" means any Director who has at any time deferred
       the receipt of Director Fees in accordance with this Plan.

                  (j) "Plan" means The Progressive Corporation Directors
       Deferral Plan.

                  (k) "Term" means the duration of the term for which a Director
       is elected.

                  (l) "Year" means the calendar year.

                  (m) Whenever appropriate, words used herein in the singular
       may be read as the plural and the plural may be read as the singular.

                  (n) Masculine pronouns used herein shall be deemed to refer to
       both women and men.

3.     ELECTION TO DEFER DIRECTOR FEES.

                  (a) ELIGIBILITY.

                  A Director may elect to defer receipt of all or a portion of
       his Fees for any Year in accordance with Paragraph 3(b) hereof.


<PAGE>   4


                  (b) TIME OF ELECTION.

                  A Director desiring to defer all or a portion of his Fees for
       the upcoming Year must submit an Election Agreement to the Chief
       Financial Officer of the Company no later than the last day of the Year
       prior to the Year for which the election is to be effective.

                  Any Director who was not a Director during the previous Year
       may make an election to defer all or a portion of the Fees for the Year
       in which the Director is elected to the Board by delivering an Election
       Agreement to the Chief Financial Officer of the Company within thirty
       (30) days of such election to the Board. A Director fulfilling the above
       requirements shall be considered a "Member" for purposes of this Plan.

                  (c) DURATION AND NATURE OF ELECTION.

                  Subject to the following sentence, a Member's election to
       defer Fees shall continue in effect from Year to Year unless modified or
       revoked by the Member through written notice to the Chief Financial
       Officer of the Company prior to the beginning of the Year for which the
       revocation or modification is to apply. Modifications or revocations
       shall not apply retroactively, and once a Member has made, or is deemed
       to have made, an election to defer all or a portion of his Fees for a
       given Year, such election may not be modified or revoked.


<PAGE>   5
4.       THE AMOUNT AND DATE OF DEFERRAL.

                  The Election Agreement of the Member shall indicate the amount
         of Fees to be deferred and the date to which the Fees are to be
         deferred. The deferral of Retainer Fees shall be subject to Paragraph 7
         hereof; the deferral of Meeting Fees shall be to the earlier of (1) the
         date selected by the Member in an Election Agreement, which date shall
         not be earlier than six months and one day after the date on which such
         Fees are credited to the Member's Deferred Account or (2) the date of
         the death of the Member. Subject to the preceding sentence, a Member
         may (i) select a lump-sum distribution or a series of distributions or
         installments and (ii) choose the date on which the lump sum shall be
         paid or the installments shall commence. The installments may not be
         more frequent than quarterly and may not consist of more than forty
         (40) quarterly or ten (10) annual installments. All payments will be
         made on the first business day of a calendar quarter. In the case of
         the death of the Member, distribution of the deferred Fees shall be
         made in accordance with Paragraph 8.

5.       DEFERRAL ACCOUNTS.
       
                  (a) ACCOUNTS.

                  The Company shall establish and preserve one or more accounts
         for each Member. A Member shall designate on the Election Agreement
         whether to have the account valued on the basis of the Common Shares of
         the Company in accordance with Paragraph 5(b) hereof or on the basis of
         cash in accordance with Paragraph 5(c) hereof. A Member may defer a
         portion of his Fees into each type of account. The Company may
         establish separate accounts for a Member to properly account for
         amounts deferred under the two alternatives or during different years.
         An account valued on the basis of the Company's 


<PAGE>   6



         Common Shares shall be known as a "Stock Account" and an account
         valued on the basis of cash shall be known as a "Cash Account." 
         Amounts held in a Stock Account may not be transferred to a Cash
         Account and vice versa.

                  (b) STOCK ACCOUNT.

                  There shall be credited to a Member's Stock Account, on the
         last day of each quarter, the number of Common Shares (whole or
         fractional, rounded to the nearest thousandth of a share) equal to the
         quotient obtained by dividing (i) the sum of the Fees he elects to
         defer to his Stock Account which otherwise would have been paid to him
         during the quarter and the dividends payable during such quarter on the
         Common Shares held in his Stock Account on the first day of such
         quarter, by (ii) the Market Price of the Common Shares on the last
         business day of such quarter.

                  (c) CASH ACCOUNT.

                  If a Member elects to have a portion of his Fees deferred into
         a Cash Account, there will be credited to his Cash Account, on the last
         day of each quarter, an amount equal to the sum of (i) the Fees he
         elects to defer to his Cash Account which otherwise would have been
         paid to him during the quarter and (ii) interest on the balance in the
         Cash Account on the first day of such quarter at a rate based on the
         rate of interest offered by National City Bank, Cleveland, Ohio, on the
         last business day of such quarter on new three-month certificates of
         deposit.



<PAGE>   7
                  (d) CLAIMS OF GENERAL CREDITORS.

                  All compensation deferred and amounts credited to the Cash and
         Stock Accounts under this Plan shall remain a part of the general
         assets of the Company. Accordingly, the compensation deferred under
         this Plan is subject to the claims of the Company's general creditors.

6.       PAYMENT OF ACCOUNTS.

                  The accounts established and maintained for each Member shall
         be distributed in a lump sum or installments. The selection of the
         distribution date(s) and the method of distribution are to be indicated
         on the Election Agreement to be submitted by the Member. The election
         as to the method of and time for payment of the amount of an account
         relating to Fees deferred for a particular Year may not be altered with
         respect to that particular Year once the election has been made.
         Changes in the method of and time for payment of the amount of an
         account may be effected for future Years by notifying the Chief
         Financial Officer in writing prior to the beginning of the Year for
         which the modification is to apply in accordance with Paragraph 3
         above.

                  With respect to all distributions to be made under the Plan,
         the following rules shall apply:

                  (i) All distributions, whether from a Stock Account or a Cash
         Account, shall be paid in cash subject to withholding or deduction by
         the Company of any taxes, contributions, payments and assessments which
         the Company is now or may hereafter be required or authorized by law to
         withhold or deduct from distributions;


<PAGE>   8
                  (ii) The amount of the distribution from the Stock Account
         shall be valued based on the Market Price of the Company's Common
         Shares, $1.00 par value, on the last business day of the calendar
         quarter immediately preceding the distribution date; and

                  (iii) The amount of the distribution from the Cash Account
         shall be valued based on the value of the Cash Account on the last
         business day of the calendar quarter immediately preceding the
         distribution date.

                  In the event a Member elects to receive installment payments,
         the following rules shall apply:

                  (i) The balance of the Stock Account shall be credited,
         pursuant to Paragraph 5(b) above, with additional Common Shares upon
         the payment of dividends until the Stock Account is completely
         distributed;

                  (ii) The balance of the Cash Account shall be credited,
         pursuant to Paragraph 5(c) above, with interest quarterly until the
         Cash Account is completely distributed; and

                  (iii) The amount of each installment shall be determined by
         dividing the value of the Stock Account, the Cash Account, or both, by
         the number of installments remaining to be paid to the Member.

7.       MINIMUM DEFERRAL.
 
                  Retainer Fees shall be deferred as provided in this Paragraph
         7. Absent the filing by a Director of an Election Agreement deferring
         into a Stock Account all Retainer Fees which are payable to such
         Director until a date which is on or after the Retainer Fee Minimum
         Deferral Date (as herein defined), the Director shall be deemed to have
         filed an election deferring such Fees until the Retainer Fee Minimum
         Deferral Date, electing to have such Fees deposited to a Stock Account
         and indicating that such Fees shall be 



<PAGE>   9
         distributed in a lump sum on the first day of the calendar quarter
         immediately following the Retainer Fee Minimum Deferral Date. For
         purposes hereof, the Retainer Fee Minimum Deferral Date shall be the
         later of (a) the date which is six (6) months and one day after the
         date upon which the Retainer Fees are credited to a Stock Account or
         (b) the date of the expiration of the Director's then current Term.

8.       DEATH OF MEMBER.

                  A Member may, in the Election Agreement described in Paragraph
         3 above, provide that, in the event of his death prior to the date or
         dates on which his account balance is distributable, the account
         balance shall be distributed to his estate or designated beneficiary in
         a single distribution or in the installments contemplated by Paragraph
         6 above. This election shall be made at the time of the election
         contemplated by Paragraph 3 above. If no such election is made, the
         account balance shall be distributed to the estate of the deceased
         Member in a single distribution six months after the Member's death.

9.       VALUATION OF ACCOUNTS.

                  Each account shall be valued as of the last day of each
         calendar quarter until payment of the account in full to the Member in
         accordance with Paragraph 6. Each Member shall receive a statement of
         his accounts not less than annually.

10.      CAPITAL CHANGES.

                  In the event of any change in the number of outstanding Common
         Shares, $1.00 par value, of the Company by reason of any stock dividend
         or split, recapitalization, merger, consolidation, spin-off,
         reorganization, combination or exchange of shares or a similar
         corporate change, the Board shall determine, in its sole discretion,
         the extent to which such change equitably requires an adjustment in the
         number of Common Shares 



<PAGE>   10
         held in the Stock Accounts and such adjustment shall be made by the
         Company and shall be conclusive and binding on all Members of the Plan.

11.      DEFERRED VESTING OF COMMON SHARES.
 
                  Retainer Fees credited to a Member's Stock Account (whether as
         a result of filing an election under Paragraph 3(b) or a deemed
         election under Paragraph 7) shall not vest upon their being credited to
         the Member's Stock Account, but shall become vested only upon the
         expiration of the Term of such Director to which the Fees relate or
         upon such Director's earlier death, resignation due to disability or
         removal without cause. If a Director ceases to be a Director for any
         reason other than death, resignation due to disability or removal
         without cause, the Director shall forfeit all Retainer Fees credited to
         his Stock Account during his unexpired Term, along with any dividends
         attributable thereto, and the Member's Stock Account shall be reduced
         accordingly.

12.      ADMINISTRATION.

                  This Plan shall be administered by the Board or by an
         appropriate Committee of Directors selected by the Board. The Board or
         the appropriate Committee shall have the sole right and authority to
         interpret and construe the provisions of this Plan, and its decisions
         on any matter or dispute arising under the Plan shall be binding and
         conclusive upon the Members. If a Member is part of the Board or
         Committee that administers this Plan, he shall not participate in any
         deliberations or actions of the Board or such Committee relating
         exclusively to his membership or participation in this Plan.


<PAGE>   11
13.      TERMINATION OR MODIFICATION OF PLAN.

                  This Plan may be terminated, modified, or amended at the sole
         discretion of the Board. If this Plan is terminated, the remaining
         Deferred Account balances will be distributed pursuant to the terms of
         this Plan and no additional deferrals will be permitted.

14.      NON-ALIENATION.

                  The amounts credited to any accounts maintained under the Plan
         may not be pledged, assigned, or transferred by the Director for whom
         such account is maintained or by any other individual, and any
         purported pledge, assignment, or transfer shall be void and
         unenforceable.

15.      CLAIMS OF OTHER PERSONS.

                  The provisions of the Plan shall in no event be construed as
         giving any person, firm or corporation any legal or equitable right as
         against the Company or any subsidiary, or the officers, employees, or
         directors of the Company or any subsidiary, except any such rights as
         are specifically provided for in the Plan or are hereafter created in
         accordance with the terms and provisions of the Plan.

16.      SEVERABILITY.

                  The invalidity and unenforceability of any particular
         provision of the Plan shall not affect any other provision hereof, and
         the Plan shall be construed in all respects as if such invalid or
         unenforceable provisions were omitted herefrom.

17.      GOVERNING LAW.

                  The provisions of the Plan shall be governed by and construed
         in accordance with the laws of the State of Ohio.


<PAGE>   12
                                 AMENDMENT NO. 1
                                       TO
                           THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION
                             DIRECTORS DEFERRAL PLAN
                           (AMENDMENT AND RESTATEMENT)


         The Progressive Corporation Directors Deferral Plan (Amendment and
Restatement) (the "Plan") is hereby amended as follows:

1.       Section 2(g) of the Plan is hereby amended to read as follows:

                  (g) "Fees" means the fees payable to a Director by reason of
                  his or her serving on the Board and includes both "Retainer
                  Fees" and "Meeting and Service Fees." "Retainer Fees" means
                  those Fees which are payable to a Director by reason of his or
                  her serving on the Board (without regard to attendance at
                  meetings). "Meeting and Service Fees" means those Fees which
                  are payable to a Director (i) by reason of his or her
                  attendance at meetings of the Board or any committee thereof,
                  or (ii) for participation in meetings of the Company's
                  management, or other Board-related activities, for which such
                  Director is entitled to receive compensation, as determined in
                  the sole discretion of the Chairman of the Board.

2.       All references to "Meeting Fees" contained in the Plan are hereby 
         amended to read "Meeting and Service Fees."

The foregoing amendments will be effective as of October 25, 1996, and will be
applicable to all Plan years beginning on or after January 1, 1997.




                                                /s/ David M. Schneider
                                                ----------------------
                                                David M. Schneider
                                                Secretary




<PAGE>   1

                                 EXHIBIT NO. 11
                                 --------------


                                 COMPUTATION OF


                               EARNINGS PER SHARE



<PAGE>   2




                  THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
                        COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE
                      (millions - except per share amounts)
                                   (unaudited)


<TABLE>
<CAPTION>
                                                   Three Months                                     Nine Months
                                    --------------------------------------------    --------------------------------------------
Periods Ended September 30,                 1996               1995                          1996              1995
                                    --------------------------------------------    --------------------------------------------
                                                   Per                      Per                       Per                   Per
                                    Amount        Share      Amount        Share        Amount       Share    Amount       Share
                                    --------------------------------------------    --------------------------------------------
<S>                                     <C>                  <C>                         <C>                  <C>   
PRIMARY:
Net income                              $80.3                $62.5                       $222.0               $184.1
Less:  Preferred stock dividends           --                 (2.1)                        (3.5)                (6.3)
Excess of Preferred Stock
    liquidation price over
    carrying value                         --                   --                         (2.9)                  --
                                    ----------           ----------                 ------------           ----------
Income available to common
    shareholders                        $80.3      $1.08     $60.4         $.81          $215.6      $2.91    $177.8      $2.40
                                    ============================================    ============================================

Average shares outstanding               71.4                 72.0                         71.6                 71.8
Net effect of dilutive stock
    options                               2.6                  2.3                          2.5                  2.3
                                    ----------           ----------                 ------------           ----------
         Total                           74.0                 74.3                         74.1                 74.1
                                    ==========           ==========                 ============           ==========

FULLY DILUTED:
Net income                              $80.3                $62.5                       $222.0               $184.1
Less: Preferred stock dividends            --                 (2.1)                        (3.5)                (6.3)
Excess of Preferred Stock
    liquidation price over
    carrying value                         --                   --                         (2.9)                  --
                                    ----------           ----------                 ------------           ----------
Income available to common
    shareholders                        $80.3      $1.08     $60.4         $.81          $215.6      $2.89    $177.8      $2.39
                                    ============================================    ============================================

Average shares outstanding               71.4                 72.0                         71.6                 71.8
Net effect of dilutive stock
    options                               2.8                  2.4                          2.9                  2.6
                                    ----------           ----------                 ------------           ----------
         Total                           74.2                 74.4                         74.5                 74.4
                                    ==========           ==========                 ============           ==========
</TABLE>



<PAGE>   1



                                 EXHIBIT NO. 12
                                 --------------


                       COMPUTATION OF RATIO OF EARNINGS TO

                                  FIXED CHARGES

<PAGE>   2


                                                                 EXHIBIT 12

                           THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION
                COMPUTATION OF RATIO OF EARNINGS TO FIXED CHARGES
                                   (millions)
                                   (unaudited)


<TABLE>
<CAPTION>
                                                                             Nine Months Ended September 30,
                                                                        -------------------------------------
                                                                               1996                      1995
                                                                        -----------                 ---------
<S>                                                                          <C>                       <C>   
Income before income taxes                                                   $310.1                    $253.6
                                                                        -----------                 ---------
Fixed Charges:
     Interest and amortization on indebtedness                                 45.4                      42.8
     Portion of rents representative of the interest factor                     3.3                       3.1
                                                                        -----------                 ---------
Total fixed charges                                                            48.7                      45.9
                                                                        -----------                 ---------
Total income available for fixed charges                                     $358.8                    $299.5
                                                                        ===========                 =========
Ratio of earnings to fixed charges                                              7.4                       6.5
                                                                        ===========                 =========
</TABLE>


<TABLE> <S> <C>

<ARTICLE> 7
<LEGEND>
This schedule contains summary financial information extracted from the
consolidated balance sheet and statements of income and is qualified in its
entirety by reference to such financial statements.
</LEGEND>
<MULTIPLIER> 1,000
<CURRENCY> U.S. DOLLARS
       
<S>                             <C>
<PERIOD-TYPE>                   9-MOS
<FISCAL-YEAR-END>                          DEC-31-1996
<PERIOD-START>                             JAN-01-1996
<PERIOD-END>                               SEP-30-1996
<EXCHANGE-RATE>                                      1
<DEBT-HELD-FOR-SALE>                         3,350,000
<DEBT-CARRYING-VALUE>                                0
<DEBT-MARKET-VALUE>                                  0
<EQUITIES>                                     774,300
<MORTGAGE>                                           0
<REAL-ESTATE>                                        0
<TOTAL-INVEST>                               4,249,000
<CASH>                                           9,300
<RECOVER-REINSURE>                             319,300
<DEFERRED-ACQUISITION>                         196,900
<TOTAL-ASSETS>                               5,987,200
<POLICY-LOSSES>                              1,764,100
<UNEARNED-PREMIUMS>                          1,449,400
<POLICY-OTHER>                                       0
<POLICY-HOLDER-FUNDS>                                0
<NOTES-PAYABLE>                                775,600
<COMMON>                                        71,400
                                0
                                          0
<OTHER-SE>                                   1,478,400
<TOTAL-LIABILITY-AND-EQUITY>                 5,987,200
                                   2,344,000
<INVESTMENT-INCOME>                            158,600
<INVESTMENT-GAINS>                               1,200
<OTHER-INCOME>                                  32,600
<BENEFITS>                                   1,636,700
<UNDERWRITING-AMORTIZATION>                    359,500
<UNDERWRITING-OTHER>                           153,900
<INCOME-PRETAX>                                310,100
<INCOME-TAX>                                    88,100
<INCOME-CONTINUING>                            222,000
<DISCONTINUED>                                       0
<EXTRAORDINARY>                                      0
<CHANGES>                                            0
<NET-INCOME>                                   222,000
<EPS-PRIMARY>                                     2.91
<EPS-DILUTED>                                     2.89
<RESERVE-OPEN>                                       0
<PROVISION-CURRENT>                                  0
<PROVISION-PRIOR>                                    0
<PAYMENTS-CURRENT>                                   0
<PAYMENTS-PRIOR>                                     0
<RESERVE-CLOSE>                                      0
<CUMULATIVE-DEFICIENCY>                              0
        

</TABLE>


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