TRIAD GUARANTY INC
10-Q, 1996-08-12
SURETY INSURANCE
Previous: LIGHT SAVERS U S A INC, 10QSB, 1996-08-12
Next: MOUNTASIA ENTERTAINMENT INTERNATIONAL INC, 4, 1996-08-12




                                    FORM 10-Q
                                  UNITED STATES
                       SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
                             WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

     [X]  Quarterly  Report  Pursuant  to Section 13 or 15(d) of the  Securities
Exchange Act of 1934

                  For the quarterly period ended June 30, 1996

                                       or

    [ ] Transition Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities
                              Exchange Act of 1934

                 For the transition period from _____ to _____



                         Commission File Number 0-22342

                               Triad Guaranty Inc.
             (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


                 Delaware                    56-1838519
        (State of Incorporation) (I.R.S. Employer Identification Number)

                       101 South Stratford Road, Suite 500
                       Winston-Salem, North Carolina 27104
                    (Address of principal executive offices)

                                 (910) 723-1282
              (Registrant's telephone number, including area code)
              ----------------------------------------------------


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required
to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during
the  preceding 12 months (or for such  shorter  period that the  registrant  was
required  to file  such  reports),  and  (2) has  been  subject  to such  filing
requirements for the past 90 days. Yes /X/     No / /

     Number of shares of Common Stock, $.01 par value,  outstanding as of August
1, 1996: 6,645,361 shares.


<PAGE>

                               TRIAD GUARANTY INC.

                                      INDEX
                                                                          Page
                                                                         Number
Part I. Financial Information:

  Item 1. Financial Statements:

    Consolidated Balance Sheets as of June 30, 1996 (Unaudited)
     and December 31, 1995....................................................3

    Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three and Six Month
     Periods Ended June 30, 1996 and 1995 (Unaudited).........................4

    Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Six Month
     Periods Ended June 30, 1996 and 1995 (Unaudited).........................5

    Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements................................6

  Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and
           Results of Operations..............................................9

Part II. Other Information:

  Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders................17

         Signatures..........................................................18

                                        2


<PAGE>
                               TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                           CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>
                                                                       June 30,     December 31,
                                                                         1996           1995
                                                                     ------------   -----------
                                                                      (Unaudited)
<S>                                                                  <C>            <C>
Assets
Invested assets:
  Securities available-for-sale, at fair value:
    Fixed maturities .............................................   $ 81,710,102   $76,093,199
    Equity securities ............................................      6,233,064     5,659,026
  Short-term investments .........................................      1,650,117     4,226,207
                                                                     ------------   -----------
                                                                       89,593,283    85,978,432

Cash .............................................................        286,154       199,241
Accrued investment income ........................................      1,070,848       895,657
Deferred policy acquisition costs ................................      9,295,025     7,576,684
Property and equipment ...........................................      1,429,413     1,340,052
Prepaid reinsurance premium ......................................        375,363     2,039,240
Reinsurance recoverable ..........................................         77,825       271,106
Other assets .....................................................        444,812       716,837
                                                                     ------------   -----------
Total assets .....................................................   $102,572,723   $99,017,249
                                                                     ============   ===========

Liabilities and stockholders' equity 
Liabilities:
    Losses and loss adjustment expenses ..........................   $  5,254,343   $ 4,589,103
    Unearned premiums ............................................      8,447,714     9,086,274
    Amounts payable to reinsurer .................................         35,773        71,437
    Current taxes payable ........................................          1,596        39,931
    Deferred income taxes ........................................      3,012,206     2,708,572
    Unearned ceding commission ...................................        102,959       620,115
    Accrued expenses and other liabilities .......................      1,461,831     1,460,475
                                                                     ------------   -----------
Total liabilities ................................................     18,316,422    18,575,907
Commitments and contingent liabilities - Note 4
Stockholders' equity:
    Preferred stock, par value $.01 per share --- authorized
      1,000,000 shares; no shares issued and outstanding .........           --            --
    Common stock, par value $.01 per share --- authorized
      10,000,000 shares; 6,645,361 issued and outstanding shares
      at June 30, 1996 and 4,418,939 at December 31, 1995 ........         66,453        44,189
   Additional paid-in capital ....................................     59,346,832    59,141,808
   Unrealized gain on available-for-sale securities, net of income
      tax liability of $70,427 at June 30, 1996 and $889,387
      at December  31, 1995 ......................................        140,947     1,732,209
    Retained earnings ............................................     24,702,069    19,523,136
                                                                     ------------   -----------
Total stockholders' equity .......................................     84,256,301    80,441,342
                                                                     ------------   -----------
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity .......................   $102,572,723   $99,017,249
                                                                     ============   ===========
</TABLE>
                             See accompanying notes

                                        3
<PAGE>
                               TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                        CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
                                   (Unaudited)
<TABLE>
<CAPTION>

                                                          Three Months Ended                Six Months Ended
                                                                June 30                          June 30
                                                      -------------------------       -------------------------
                                                         1996           1995              1996          1995
                                                         ----           ----              ----          ----
<S>                                                   <C>            <C>              <C>            <C>
Revenue:
Premiums written:
   Direct..........................................   $6,112,251     $4,752,533       $11,791,151    $8,550,801
   Assumed.........................................        4,799          7,335            15,747        18,422
   Ceded...........................................     (558,200)    (1,027,033)       (1,174,959)   (1,884,459)
                                                      ----------    -----------       -----------   -----------
Net premiums written...............................    5,558,850      3,732,835        10,631,939     6,684,764
Change in unearned premiums........................      204,396       (93,964)           610,214       402,257
                                                      ----------    -----------       -----------   -----------
Earned premiums....................................    5,763,246      3,638,871        11,242,153     7,087,021
Net investment income..............................    1,364,174      1,141,587         2,643,298     2,340,435
Realized investment gains..........................      (99,286)       147,359          (141,572)      162,972
Other income.......................................      107,699              0           107,709           105
                                                      ----------    -----------       -----------   -----------
                                                       7,135,833      4,927,817        13,851,588     9,590,533
Losses and expenses:
Losses and loss adjustment expenses................      652,371        511,869         1,332,878     1,060,039
Reinsurance recoveries.............................      (37,777)       (93,478)          (65,259)     (213,558)
                                                      ----------    -----------       -----------   -----------
Net losses and loss adjustment expenses............      614,594        418,391         1,267,619       846,481

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs..      828,975        587,199         1,601,207     1,135,392
Other operating expenses (net).....................    1,868,720      1,116,923         3,483,824     2,296,821
                                                      ----------    -----------       -----------   -----------
                                                       3,312,289      2,122,513         6,352,650     4,278,694
                                                      ----------    -----------       -----------   -----------
Income before income taxes.........................    3,823,544      2,805,304         7,498,938     5,311,839
Income taxes:
   Current.........................................       21,688            675          (37,741)         1,000
   Deferred........................................    1,149,787        868,969         2,335,595     1,643,689
                                                      ----------    -----------       -----------   -----------
                                                       1,171,475        869,644         2,297,854     1,644,689
                                                      ----------    -----------       -----------   -----------
Net income.........................................   $2,652,069     $1,935,660        $5,201,084    $3,667,150
                                                      ==========     ==========        ==========    ==========

Net income per share...............................      $.40           $.29               $.78          $.55
                                                      ==========     ==========        ==========    ==========

Average shares outstanding.........................    6,636,407      6,628,409         6,632,408     6,628,409
                                                      ==========     ==========        ==========    ==========
</TABLE>

                              See accompanying notes.


                                        4
<PAGE>
                              TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                      CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOW
                                  (Unaudited)

<TABLE>
<CAPTION>
                                                                                         Six Months Ended
                                                                                              June 30
                                                                                ----------------------------------
                                                                                      1996                1995
<S>                                                                                <C>                 <C>
Operating activities
 Net income.....................................................................   $5,201,084          $3,667,150
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
   Loss and unearned premium reserves..........................................        26,679            (229,154)
   Accrued expenses and other liabilities......................................         1,789              47,763
   Current taxes payable.......................................................       (38,335)             (3,432)
   Amounts due to/from reinsurers..............................................     1,821,496             115,317
   Accrued investment income...................................................      (175,191)             78,394
   Policy acquisition costs deferred...........................................    (3,319,548)         (1,903,285)
   Amortization of policy acquisition costs....................................     1,601,207           1,135,392
   Net realized investment gains ..............................................       141,572            (162,972)
   Provision for depreciation..................................................       173,634             142,245
   Accretion of discount on investments........................................      (297,484)           (274,362)
   Amortization of deferred compensation.......................................             0              74,770
   Deferred income taxes.......................................................     1,062,795             (45,660)
   Unearned ceding commission..................................................      (517,156)            (57,105)
   Other assets................................................................       272,023            (122,251)
                                                                                  -----------          -----------
Net cash provided by operating activities......................................     5,954,565           2,462,810

Investing activities 
  Securities available-for-sale:
    Purchases - fixed maturities...............................................   (14,758,381)                  0
    Sales - fixed maturities...................................................     6,626,542             100,658
    Purchases - equities.......................................................    (1,990,238)           (852,868)
    Sales - equities...........................................................     1,736,306             943,854
  Securities held-to-maturity:
    Purchases..................................................................             0          (2,637,403)
    Maturities.................................................................             0           2,024,669
  Purchase of property and equipment...........................................      (262,995)           (205,206)
                                                                                  -----------          -----------
Net cash used in investing activities..........................................    (8,648,766)           (626,296)
Financing activities
Proceeds from exercise of stock options........................................       205,536                  --
Retirement of common stock (at cost)...........................................          (512)                 --
                                                                                  -----------          -----------
Net cash provided by financing activities......................................       205,024                   0
                                                                                  -----------          -----------
Net change in cash and short-term investments..................................    (2,489,177)          1,836,514
Cash and short-term investments at beginning of period.........................     4,425,448           2,433,518
                                                                                  -----------          -----------
Cash and short-term investments at end of period...............................    $1,936,271          $4,270,032
                                                                                  ============         ===========
Supplemental schedule of cash flow information 
Cash paid during the period for income taxes and
     United States Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds........................    $1,213,559          $1,689,349
                                                                                  ============         ===========
</TABLE>
                             See accompanying notes.

                                       5
<PAGE>
                              TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                   NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
                                 June 30, 1996
                                  (Unaudited)



NOTE 1 -- THE COMPANY

Triad  Guaranty Inc. (the  "Company") is a holding  company  which,  through its
wholly-owned   subsidiary,   Triad  Guaranty  Insurance  Corporation  ("Triad"),
provides  private mortgage  insurance  coverage in the United States to mortgage
lenders to protect the lender  against  loss from  defaults on low down  payment
residential mortgage loans.


NOTE  2 -- BASIS OF PRESENTATION

     The  accompanying  unaudited  consolidated  financial  statements have been
prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles for interim
financial  information and with the  instructions to Form 10-Q and Article 10 of
Regulation  S-X.  Accordingly,  they do not include all of the  information  and
footnotes  required by generally  accepted  accounting  principles  for complete
financial statements. In the opinion of management,  all adjustments (consisting
of normal recurring accruals)  considered necessary for a fair presentation have
been included.  Operating results for the three and six month periods ended June
30, 1996 are not necessarily  indicative of the results that may be expected for
the year  ending  December  31,  1996.  For  further  information,  refer to the
consolidated  financial  statements and footnotes  thereto included in the Triad
Guaranty Inc. annual report on form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 1995.


NOTE 3 -- CONSOLIDATION

     The consolidated financial statements include the amounts of Triad Guaranty
Inc. and its wholly-owned subsidiaries, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation and
Triad Guaranty Assurance Corporation.  All significant intercompany accounts and
transactions have been eliminated.






                                       6
<PAGE>
                               TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
              NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS--CONTINUED
                                  June 30, 1996
                                   (Unaudited)


NOTE 4 -- COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENT LIABILITIES

REINSURANCE - The Company assumes and cedes certain  premiums and losses from/to
reinsurers under various reinsurance  agreements.  Reinsurance  contracts do not
relieve  the  Company  from its  obligations  to  policyholders.  Failure of the
reinsurer  to honor its  obligation  could  result  in  losses  to the  Company;
consequently, allowances are established for amounts when deemed uncollectible.

INSURANCE IN FORCE,  DIVIDEND  RESTRICTIONS,  AND STATUTORY  RESULTS - Insurance
regulations  limit the writing of mortgage  guaranty  insurance  to an aggregate
amount of insured risk no greater than twenty-five  times the total of statutory
capital and surplus and the  statutory  contingency  reserve.  The amount of net
risk for insurance in force at June 30, 1996 and December 31, 1995, as presented
below, was computed by applying the various percentage settlement options to the
insurance in force  amounts  based on the original  insured  amount of the loan.
Triad's ratio is as follows:


                                         June 30              December 31
                                           1996                   1995

Net risk..........................   $1,234,205,126            $869,650,148
                                    ===============         ===============
Statutory capital and surplus.....      $56,136,861             $55,951,158
Statutory contingency reserve.....       28,124,066              22,297,737
Total.............................      $84,260,927             $78,248,895
                                    ===============         ===============
Risk-to-capital ratio.............      14.6-to-1               11.1-to-1
                                    ===============         ===============

     Triad is  required  under  the  Illinois  Insurance  Code (the  "Code")  to
maintain minimum statutory capital and surplus of $5,000,000. In addition, Triad
Guaranty  Assurance  Corporation is required under the Code to maintain  minimum
capital and surplus of  $5,000,000.  The Code permits  dividends to be paid only
out of  earned  surplus  and  also  requires  prior  approval  of  extraordinary
dividends.  An extraordinary dividend is any dividend or distribution of cash or
other property the fair value of which, together with that of other dividends or
distributions  made within a period of twelve  consecutive  months,  exceeds the
greater  of  (a)  ten  percent  of  Triad's  statutory  surplus  as  regards  to
policyholders,  or (b)  Triad's  statutory  net  income  for the  calendar  year
preceding the date of the dividend.

                                       7
<PAGE>
                              TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
              NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS--CONTINUED
                                  June 30, 1996
                                   (Unaudited)


     Net income as determined in accordance with statutory  accounting practices
was  $5,555,235  for the six months ended June 30, 1996 and  $9,337,430  for the
year ended December 31, 1995.

     At June 30,  1996,  none of Triad's  equity could be paid out to the parent
company in dividends  because the earned surplus of Triad, on a statutory basis,
was a deficit of  $2,280,942  and  $2,466,645  at June 30, 1996 and December 31,
1995, respectively.

LOSS  RESERVES - The  Company  establishes  loss  reserves  to  provide  for the
estimated  costs of  settling  claims  with  respect to loans  reported to be in
default and loans in default which have not been reported to the Company. Due to
the inherent  uncertainty in estimating  reserves for losses and loss adjustment
expenses,  there can be no assurance that the reserves will prove to be adequate
to cover ultimate loss development.

NOTE 5 -- STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY

     On May 23, 1996, the Company's Board of Directors  approved a three-for-two
stock split of the Company's Common Stock in the form of a 50% stock dividend on
June 28, 1996. All references to average  number of shares  outstanding  and per
share amounts included herein have been restated to reflect the stock split.



                                       8
<PAGE>

ITEM 2.           MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATION.


 RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

     Net income for the first six months of 1996 increased 41.8% to $5.2 million
compared  to $3.7  million in the first six  months of 1995.  Net income for the
second quarter of 1996 increased 37.0% to $2.7 million  compared to $1.9 million
in the second  quarter of 1995.  This  improvement  is  attributable  to a 58.6%
(58.4% in the second quarter) increase in earned premiums, a 12.9% (19.5% in the
second  quarter)  increase in net  investment  income and a continuing  low loss
ratio.

     Net income per share, which reflects the three-for-two  stock split on June
28, 1996,  increased 41.7% to $0.78 for the first six months of 1996 compared to
$0.55 per share for the first six  months of 1995.  Net income per share for the
second  quarter of 1996 was $0.40 per share  compared to $0.29 per share for the
same period of 1995.  Operating  earnings per share were $0.80 for the first six
months  of 1996  compared  to  $0.54  per  share  for the same  period  in 1995.
Operating earnings exclude realized investment losses of approximately  $142,000
in the first six months of 1996 and realized  investment  gains of approximately
$163,000 in the same period of 1995.

     For the first half of 1996, new insurance written was $1.1 billion compared
to $644  million in the first half of 1995,  an increase of 66%.  New  insurance
written in the second  quarter of 1996  totaled  $612  million  compared to $364
million a year ago. This increase is the result of the continued  penetration of
Triad's  products in the  marketplace  coupled  with a favorable  interest  rate
environment  for much of 1996,  which has caused both  refinance and home buying
activities  to remain  strong.  Refinance  activity  accounted  for 23.5% of new
insurance  written  in the first  six  months  of 1996  compared  to 4.7% of new
insurance  written in the same period of 1995.  A portion of the increase in new
insurance written is attributable to the introduction of the Company's  contract
underwriting  program  in  late  1995  and  the  additional  mortgage  insurance
production this program has generated.

     Total direct  premiums  written were $11.8 million for the first six months
of 1996, an increase of 37.9%  compared to $8.6 million for the first six months
of 1995.  Contributing  to this  growth  were the strong  mortgage  market,  the
requirements  of the  secondary  mortgage  market for deeper  coverage,  and the
Company's expansion into new territories. Offsetting the growth somewhat was the
decrease in the annualized  persistency  rate to 83.2% for the second quarter of
1996 compared to 90.7% for the second quarter of 1995 and 86.4% for all of 1995.

     Sales under the Company's  monthly  premium plan  represented  92.3% of new
insurance  written in the first half of 1996 compared to 75.5% in the first half
of 1995. The monthly product spreads the collection of premiums over 12 equal

                                       9
<PAGE>

ITEM 2.           MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATION -- CONTINUED


monthly  payments,  rather  than one  payment  received  in advance as on annual
premium plans.  However,  renewal  premiums on monthly premium plans are greater
than the renewal  premiums on a comparable  annual  premium  plan.  While in the
short  term  monthly  premium  plans  decrease  the  level of  written  premium,
management  expects the  ultimate  level of written  premium on monthly  premium
plans to exceed the level of  written  premium  produced  by  comparable  annual
premium plans.  Management believes that the percentage of new insurance written
for sales under the monthly  premium  plan will remain at or slightly  above the
current level for the foreseeable future.

     Net premiums  written  increased by 59.0% to $10.6 million in the first six
months  of 1996  compared  to $6.7  million  for the same  period  in 1995.  Net
premiums  written for the second  quarter of 1996 were $5.6 million  compared to
$3.7 million in 1995, an increase of 48.9%.  Earned premiums  increased 58.6% to
$11.2  million for the first six months of 1996 and by 58.4% to $5.8  million in
the 1996  second  quarter.  This  increase  in  written  and  earned  premium is
attributable  to the  increase  in new  insurance  written and the change in the
Company's reinsurance program, as discussed herein.

     Effective  January  1,  1996,  the  Company   eliminated  its  quota  share
reinsurance on new business,  recaptured substantial portions of its quota share
coverage on renewal  business and secured excess of loss  reinsurance to protect
against  catastrophic  losses.  These changes have reduced the  Company's  quota
share  cede rate to 6.5% of direct  premiums  written  in the first half of 1996
compared to 22.0% in the first half of 1995.  Premiums ceded under the Company's
quota  share  reinsurance  agreements  for the first six months of 1996  totaled
$764,000 compared to $1,884,000 in the first six months of 1995.

     Total  direct  insurance  in force  reached  $5.8 billion at June 30, 1996,
compared to $4.6 billion at June 30, 1995, an increase of 26.7%.

     In  keeping  with  the  Company's  risk  strategy,   the  Company  has  not
aggressively  solicited  mortgage  insurance under lender guidelines which allow
relaxed credit  standards,  reduced  borrower paid down payment  (e.g.,  97% LTV
loans) and expanded  underwriting  ratios.  These products have been  especially
popular with  borrowers  with weak credit  histories.  Management  believes that
successful  long term home  ownership is not being  promoted by the evolution of
many of these  programs and that  substantially  higher loss ratios will result.
The  Company  does not  delegate  the  underwriting  of its 97% LTV  product and
continues to maintain underwriting  standards which promote successful long-term
home ownership.


                                       10
<PAGE>

ITEM 2.           MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATION -- CONTINUED


     The  Company's  delegated  underwriting  program  accounted  for  36.2%  of
commitments  received for the first half of 1996. This program has allowed Triad
to serve a greater number of the country's larger mortgage originators. Mortgage
originators  who  participate in the Company's  delegated  program follow strict
criteria regarding property type and minimum credit standards.  The Company also
performs extensive  post-issuance quality control reviews of certificates issued
through each approved mortgage originator under the program.  Management expects
the  percentage  of  commitments   processed  through  the  Company's  delegated
underwriting program to increase.

     Net investment income for the first six months of 1996 was $2.6 million,  a
12.9% increase over the first six months of 1995. Net investment  income for the
second  quarter  of 1996 was $1.4  million,  a 19.5%  increase  over the  second
quarter of 1995.  This  increase  resulted  from the growth in average  invested
assets of $9.1 million to $86.5  million at June 30, 1996 from $77.4  million at
June 30, 1995. The yield on average  invested  assets was 6.1% for the first six
months  of 1996,  compared  to 6.0%  for the same  period  of 1995.  This  yield
reflects the Company's investment strategy to emphasize tax-preferred securities
which  yield  lower  pre-tax  rates  than  similar   fully-taxable   securities.
Approximately 49% or $39.9 million of the Company's fixed maturity  portfolio at
June 30, 1996 was comprised of state and municipal tax-preferred securities.

     In the first six months of 1996, the Company reported  realized  investment
losses of $142,000  ($99,000 in the second  quarter)  primarily from the sale of
equity  securities  sold in  connection  with the  Company's  program of selling
short-term  covered  calls  and from the sale of  approximately  $5  million  in
mortgage backed securities.

     Other  income,   primarily  revenue   associated  with  fee-based  contract
underwriting  services,  was  $108,000  for the first half of 1996.  The Company
began providing contract underwriting services in late 1995.

     The Company's loss ratio (the ratio of incurred losses to earned  premiums)
was 11.3% for the first six months of 1996 compared to 11.9% for the same period
of 1995 and 14.3%  for all of 1995.  The loss  ratio  was  10.7% for the  second
quarter of 1996  compared  to 11.5% for the same period of 1995.  The  favorable
ratio reflects the low level of delinquencies  compared to the number of insured
loans  and the fact  that  approximately  78.0% of the  insurance  in force  was
originated in the last 36 months. Management believes, based upon its experience
and industry  data,  that claims  incidence  for it and other  private  mortgage
insurers  is  generally  highest in the third  through  sixth  years  after loan
origination. Although the claims experience on new insurance written in previous
years has been quite  favorable,  the  Company  expects its  incurred  losses to
increase as a greater  amount of its insurance in force reaches its  anticipated
highest claim frequency years. Due to the inherent uncertainty of future premium


                                       11
<PAGE>
ITEM 2.           MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATION -- CONTINUED


levels,  losses,  economic conditions and other factors that impact earnings, it
is  impossible to predict with any degree of certainty the impact of such higher
claims frequencies on future earnings.

     Net losses and loss  adjustment  expenses (net of  reinsurance  recoveries)
increased by 49.8% in the first six months of 1996 to $1.3  million  compared to
$846,000 in the first six months of 1995.  Losses and loss  adjustment  expenses
for the second  quarter of 1996 were  $615,000  compared to $418,000  during the
second  quarter of 1995.  This  increase  reflects the increase in the Company's
insurance  in  force  and the  resulting  recognition  of a  greater  amount  of
insurance  in force  reaching its higher claim  frequency  years.  A decrease in
reinsurance  recoveries  attributable  to  the  Company's  restructuring  of its
reinsurance  program  also  contributed  to the  increase in net losses and loss
adjustment expenses.

     Amortization  of deferred  policy  acquisition  costs increased by 41.0% to
$1.6  million in the first six months of 1996  compared to $1.1  million for the
first six months of 1995.  These costs were  $829,000 for the second  quarter of
1996 compared to $587,000 for the second  quarter of 1995, an increase of 41.2%.
The  increase in  amortization  reflects a growing  balance of  deferred  policy
acquisition  costs to  amortize  as the Company  builds its total  insurance  in
force.

     Other operating expenses increased to $3.5 million for the first six months
of 1996  compared to $2.3  million  for the same period in 1995.  For the second
quarter of 1996,  other operating  expenses  increased to $1.9 million from $1.1
million in the second  quarter of 1995.  This  increase in expenses is primarily
attributable  to personnel,  facilities and equipment  costs required to support
Triad's geographic  expansion and increased  production coupled with a reduction
in ceding  commissions  earned  following  changes in the Company's  quota share
reinsurance  program.  Ceding  commissions paid to the Company are reported as a
reduction in other operating expenses and decreased to $333,000 in the first six
months of 1996  compared to  $791,000  in the first six months of 1995.  For the
second quarter of 1996 ceding  commissions were $132,000 compared to $409,000 in
the second quarter of 1995.

     The expense ratio (ratio of underwriting  expenses to net premiums written)
for the first six months of 1996 was 47.8%  compared  to 51.3% for the first six
months of 1995 and 46.9% for all of 1995.  The primary  factor  contributing  to
this change is the higher  level of written  premiums in the first half of 1996.
The expense ratio for the second  quarter of 1996 increased to 48.5% compared to
45.7% for the same period of 1995,  reflecting expenses incurred relating to the
Company's  expansion and growth in production,  underwriting and data processing
capabilities.

                                       12
<PAGE>
ITEM 2.           MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATION -- CONTINUED


     The effective tax rate for the first six months of 1996 was 30.6%  compared
to 31.0% in the  first six  months  of 1995.  This  reduction  is the  result of
increased  investments  in  tax-preferred  securities  offset  somewhat  by  the
phase-in of the 35% Federal  statutory  income tax rate  applicable to companies
with annual taxable income above $10 million.  Management  expects the Company's
effective  tax rate to remain  about the same or  increase  slightly  as long as
yields on tax-preferred securities remain favorable in relation to fully taxable
securities.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

     The  Company's  sources of operating  funds  consist  primarily of premiums
written and  investment  income.  Operating  funds are applied  primarily to the
payment of claims and expenses.

     Triad generated positive cash flow from operating  activities for the first
six months of 1996 of $6.0  million  compared to $2.5  million for the first six
months of 1995.  The  increase in Triad's  operating  cash flow is  attributable
primarily  to the  impact  of the  Company's  restructuring  of its  reinsurance
agreements and the resulting recapture of premiums previously ceded.

     The  Company's  business  does not routinely  require  significant  capital
expenditures. Positive cash flows are invested pending future payments of claims
and expenses.  Cash flow  shortfalls,  if any,  could be funded through sales of
short term investments and other investment portfolio securities.

     The parent  company's cash flow is dependent on cash dividends and revenues
from  management  fees from Triad.  The insurance  laws of the State of Illinois
impose certain  restrictions on dividends from Triad. These restrictions,  based
on statutory  accounting  practices,  include requirements that dividends may be
paid only out of statutory earned surplus and limit the amount of dividends that
may be paid without prior approval of the Illinois Insurance Department. Because
of Triad's rapid growth in written  premiums and the  requirement to add amounts
to the statutory  contingency  reserve equal to at least 50% of earned  premiums
(which reduces statutory earned surplus),  Triad reported a deficit in statutory
earned surplus of $2.3 million at June 30, 1996 and $2.5 million at December 31,
1995.  Accordingly,  Triad may not  presently  pay cash  dividends to the parent
company.  The  Illinois  Insurance  Department  permits  expenses  of the parent
company to be charged to Triad in the form of management fees.

     Consolidated invested assets were $89.6 million at June 30, 1996, including
$87.9  million  in  fixed  maturity  and  equity  securities  all of  which  are
classified as  available-for-sale.  Net  unrealized  investment  losses on fixed
maturity  securities  were $410,000 and  unrealized  investment  gains on equity
securities totaled $606,000 at June 30, 1996.


                                       13
<PAGE>
ITEM 2.           MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATION -- CONTINUED


     Approximately  20%  or  $16.7  million  of  the  Company's  fixed  maturity
portfolio  at  June  30,  1996  was  composed  of  mortgage-backed   securities,
substantially all of which are guaranteed by U.S. Government  Agencies.  Certain
mortgage-backed securities are subject to significant prepayment risk due to the
fact that, in periods of declining interest rates,  mortgages may be repaid more
rapidly  than  scheduled as borrowers  refinance  higher rate  mortgages to take
advantage of lower rates. As a result, holders of mortgage-backed securities may
receive large  prepayments on their investments which must be reinvested at then
current rates.

     Included in the  Company's  fixed  maturity  portfolio  of mortgage  backed
securities  at June 30, 1996 was $5.4 million  invested in planned  amortization
class ("PAC") collateralized mortgage obligations ("CMOs"). PACs are tranches of
CMOs  specifically  designed  to amortize  in a more  predictable  manner and to
protect against  prepayments as interest rates decline.  In periods of declining
interest  rates,  prepayments  are first applied to the non-PAC  tranches of the
CMO,  creating  improved  call  protection  for the PAC tranche.  Only after all
non-PAC tranches have been paid off are prepayments  applied to the PAC tranche.
In periods of increasing  interest  rates,  prepayments are first applied to the
PAC tranche,  thus reducing  extension  risk for PACs. As a result,  PACs have a
more  stable cash flow than most other  mortgage  securities  because  they have
better call protection and less extension risk. All principal  balances invested
in CMOs by the Company are U.S. Government agency guaranteed.

     The Company's  reinsurance  recoverable of $78,000 and prepaid  reinsurance
premium of $375,000 at June 30, 1996  decreased  from $271,000 and $2.0 million,
respectively,  at December  31,  1995.  These  decreases  primarily  reflect the
recapture  of  previously  ceded  losses and  unearned  premiums  as part of the
Company's restructuring of its reinsurance program.

     The  Company's  loss  reserves  increased  to $5.3 million at June 30, 1996
compared to $4.6 million at December 31, 1995.  This growth is the result of the
increases in new  insurance  written and the maturing of the  Company's  risk in
force.  Consistent with industry practices,  the Company does not establish loss
reserves for future  claims on insured loans which are not currently in default.
The Company's  delinquency ratio, the ratio of delinquent insured loans to total
insured  loans,  was 0.38% at June 30, 1996  compared  to 0.41% at December  31,
1995.

     The  Company's  unearned  premium  reserve of $8.4 million at June 30, 1996
decreased from $9.1 million at December 31, 1995.  This decline is  attributable
primarily to the continued high production of the monthly premium product, which
produces little or no unearned premium. Also, the Company has experienced a


                                       14
<PAGE>

ITEM 2.           MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATION -- CONTINUED


higher  level of  refinance  activity  in the first half of 1996  whereby  older
annual premium policies are replaced by monthly premium policies resulting in an
accelerated decline in the unearned premium reserve.

     Total stockholders' equity increased to $84.3 million at June 30, 1996 from
$80.4 million at December 31, 1995.  This  increase  resulted from net income of
$5.2  million  for the first  six  months  of 1996 and from  additional  paid-in
capital of $205,000  resulting  from the exercise of employee  stock options and
the issuance of common stock under the Company's  stock incentive plan. This was
partially  offset by a  decrease  in net  unrealized  gains on  invested  assets
classified as available-for-sale of $1.6 million (net of income tax).

     Triad's total statutory  policyholders'  surplus increased to $56.1 million
at June 30,  1996 from $56.0  million at December  31,  1995.  This  increase is
primarily  related  to  statutory  net income for the first half of 1996 of $5.6
million and an unrealized  investment  gain of $473,000 offset by an increase in
the contingency  reserve of $5.8 million.  Triad's  deficit in statutory  earned
surplus was $2.3 million at June 30, 1996, reflecting the continuing increase in
the  contingency  reserve.  The  balance in the  contingency  reserve  was $28.1
million at June 30, 1996 compared to $22.3 million at December 31, 1995.

     The Company has no current plans for significant capital expenditures.

     The  Company's  ability to write  insurance  depends on the adequacy of its
capital in relation to risk in force.  A  significant  reduction  of capital may
impair the  Company's  ability to write  insurance.  Freddie  Mac and Fannie Mae
require the Company to maintain a risk-to-capital ratio of no more than 25-to-1.
As of June 30, 1996  Triad's  risk-to-capital  ratio was  14.6-to-1  compared to
11.1-to-1 at December 31, 1995. This increase is due to the increased production
in the first half of 1996 and the  elimination  of  substantial  portions of the
Company's  quota share  reinsurance as of January 1, 1996.  The  risk-to-capital
ratio for the industry as a whole was 20.3-to-1 at December 31, 1995, the latest
industry data available.

SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT UNDER THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995

     Management's  Discussion  and  Analysis  and this  Report  contain  forward
looking statements which involve various risks and uncertainties,  including but
not limited to the following: interest rates may increase or decrease from their
current levels; housing transactions and mortgage issuance may decrease for many
reasons  including  changes  in  interest  rates  or  economic  conditions;  the
Company's  market  share  may  change  as a result of  changes  in  underwriting
criteria or competitive  products;  the Company's performance may be impacted by
changes  in the  performance  of the  financial  markets  and  general  economic
conditions.

                                       15
<PAGE>
ITEM 2.           MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
                  FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATION -- CONTINUED



Accordingly  actual  results  may  differ  from  those set forth in the  forward
looking  statements.  Attention is also directed to other risk factors set forth
in documents filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission.























                                       16
<PAGE>


PART II

Item 1.  Legal Proceedings - None

Item 2.  Changes in Securities - None

Item 3.  Defaults Upon Senior Securities - None

Item 4.  Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders

     The  Annual  Meeting  of  Stockholders  was  held on May 23,  1996.  Shares
entitled to vote at the Annual Meeting  totaled  4,418,939,  of which  4,069,593
shares were represented at the meeting.

     At the Annual  Meeting,  the following five  directors  were elected.  Also
shown are the  number of shares  cast for and  authorization  withheld  for each
nominee.


Name of Nominee           Number of Votes for      Authorization Withheld
- - ---------------           -------------------      ----------------------
Robert T. David                4,048,093                   21,500
Raymond H. Elliott             4,048,093                   21,500
William T. Ratliff, III        4,044,593                   25,000
Darryl W. Thompson             4,044,593                   25,000
David W. Whitehurst            4,044,593                   25,000

     Additionally,  at the Annual Meeting, stockholders approved a resolution to
amend the Company's 1993 Long-Term  Stock  Incentive Plan to increase the number
of shares of the Company's Common Stock, par value $ .01 per share, reserved for
issuance thereunder from 400,000 shares to 700,000 shares.

     The foregoing totals do not give effect to the three-for-two stock split of
the Company's Common Stock on June 28, 1996.

     No other  matters  came  before  the  Annual  Meeting  or any  adjournments
thereof.

Item 5.  Other Information - None



                                       17
<PAGE>

Item 6.       a.  Exhibits
                             Exhibit No.          Description
                             -----------          -----------
                                 27               Financial Data Schedule

              b.  Reports on Form 8-K - None


      



                                   SIGNATURES
Pursuant  to the  requirements  of the  Securities  Exchange  Act of  1934,  the
registrant  has duly  caused  this  report  to be  signed  on its  behalf by the
undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

                                          TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                                          -------------------


Date: August 12, 1996

                                           /s/ Michael R. Oswalt
                                           ---------------------
                                           Michael R. Oswalt
                                           Vice President and Controller,
                                           Principal Accounting Officer


                                       18


<TABLE> <S> <C>

<ARTICLE>                     7
<LEGEND>
This schedule contains summary information extracted from Form 10-Q for
the six months ended June 30, 1996, and is qualified in its entirety by
reference to such financial statements.
</LEGEND>
<MULTIPLIER>                  1
       
<S>                                                                 <C>
<PERIOD-TYPE>                                                             6-MOS
<FISCAL-YEAR-END>                                                   DEC-31-1995
<PERIOD-END>                                                        JUN-30-1996
<DEBT-HELD-FOR-SALE>                                                 81,710,102
<DEBT-CARRYING-VALUE>                                                         0
<DEBT-MARKET-VALUE>                                                           0
<EQUITIES>                                                            6,233,064
<MORTGAGE>                                                                    0
<REAL-ESTATE>                                                                 0
<TOTAL-INVEST>                                                       89,593,283
<CASH>                                                                  286,154
<RECOVER-REINSURE>                                                        5,914
<DEFERRED-ACQUISITION>                                                9,295,025
<TOTAL-ASSETS>                                                      102,572,723
<POLICY-LOSSES>                                                       5,254,343
<UNEARNED-PREMIUMS>                                                   8,447,714
<POLICY-OTHER>                                                           35,773
<POLICY-HOLDER-FUNDS>                                                         0
<NOTES-PAYABLE>                                                               0
                                                         0
                                                                   0
<COMMON>                                                                 66,453
<OTHER-SE>                                                           84,189,848
<TOTAL-LIABILITY-AND-EQUITY>                                        102,572,723
                                                           11,242,153
<INVESTMENT-INCOME>                                                   2,643,298
<INVESTMENT-GAINS>                                                     (141,572)
<OTHER-INCOME>                                                          107,709
<BENEFITS>                                                            1,267,619
<UNDERWRITING-AMORTIZATION>                                           1,601,207
<UNDERWRITING-OTHER>                                                  3,483,824
<INCOME-PRETAX>                                                       7,498,938
<INCOME-TAX>                                                          2,297,854
<INCOME-CONTINUING>                                                   5,201,084
<DISCONTINUED>                                                                0
<EXTRAORDINARY>                                                               0
<CHANGES>                                                                     0
<NET-INCOME>                                                          5,201,084
<EPS-PRIMARY>                                                               .78
<EPS-DILUTED>                                                               .78
<RESERVE-OPEN>                                                                0
<PROVISION-CURRENT>                                                           0
<PROVISION-PRIOR>                                                             0
<PAYMENTS-CURRENT>                                                            0
<PAYMENTS-PRIOR>                                                              0
<RESERVE-CLOSE>                                                               0
<CUMULATIVE-DEFICIENCY>                                                       0
        

</TABLE>


© 2022 IncJournal is not affiliated with or endorsed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission