|
Previous: HEALTH POWER INC /DE/, SC 13E3, EX-99.(C)(3), 2000-09-21 |
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EXHIBIT 99(c)(4)
May 9, 2000 (Revised 9/12/00 to reflect changes in expense structure)
Presentation to The Board of Directors
Project Phoenix
Table of Contents
Exhibits | ||
A.
|
Discounted Cashflow Analysis ("DCF") | |
B.
|
Comparable Public Company - Trading Multiple Analysis | |
C.
|
Comparable Acquisition Analysis | |
D.
|
Draft - Fairness Opinion Letter |
Executive Summary and Transaction Overview |
This presentation is intended to provide the Board of Directors of Health Power, Inc. (HPWR) an overview of the proposed sale of
the Company to Security Capital Corporation (SCC). The proposed Total Consideration would be $36.250 million prior to change of control bonus payments to management ($4.743mm), payment of the Companys debt ($2.751mm), payment of stock
options ($.471mm) and estimated Transaction Expenses ($1.125mm) which would provide the shareholders with $27.16mm or $6.98 per share.
|
Summary Terms |
|
Anticipated Timing |
Estimated Transaction Multiples |
||||||
|
Event |
Date |
Actual
1999 |
Transaction
Multiples(1) |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
<TBD> |
Revenues ($38.3)
EBITDA(4)
($4.6)
EBIT(4) ($3.2) |
0.95x
7.88x
11.33x |
|||||
|
<TBD> | ||||||||
Transaction | |||||||||
|
|
<TBD> | 2000(2)
Revenues ($49.5) EBITDA(2) ($9.7) EBIT(2) ($8.3) |
Multiples(1)
0.73x 3.74x 4.37x |
|||||
|
|
<TBD> <TBD> |
|||||||
Transaction
|
|||||||||
|
|
<TBD> | Revised 2000(3)
Revenues ($47.1) EBITDA(3) ($8.1) EBIT(3) ($6.7) |
Multiples(1)
0.77x 4.5x 5.4x |
|||||
|
|
<TBD> | |||||||
|
|
||||||||
(1) | Based on a Total Gross Consideration of $36.25 million. | ||||||||
(2) | Based on projections provided by management and included in the Confidential Offering Memorandum. | ||||||||
(3) | Management revised financial information on February 2, 2000 and updated the financial information on May 2, 2000. | ||||||||
|
|
|
HPWR Equity Purchase Price Calculation | ||||||
|
||||||
Adjustments (1) | ||||||
|
||||||
Total Gross Consideration:
|
$
|
36,250,000
|
|
|||
Adjustments:
|
|
|
||||
Management Change of Control Payments (2) | ($
|
4,742,727
|
)
|
|||
Net Debt (estimated at time of closing to be $2,750,996) (3) | ($
|
2,750,996
|
)
|
|||
Payment of Stock Options | ($
|
471,163
|
)
|
|||
Transaction Expenses (estimate @ closing) (4) | ($
|
1,125,000
|
)
|
|||
|
||||||
Net Adjustments: | ($ | 9,089,886
|
) | |||
|
|
|
||||
Estimated Equity Value Purchase Price | $
|
27,160,164
|
|
|||
Approx. Shares and Options Outstanding at Closing |
|
3,887,785
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
||||
Estimated Equity Value Purchase Price Per Share | $
|
6.98
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|||
Note:
|
(1)
|
All figures provided by management of the Company.
|
|
(2)
|
Assumes that Management receives change of control payments of $4.743mm at the closing of the transaction.
|
||
(3)
|
Assumes net debt level of $2.751mm million at closing, as indicated by Management.
|
||
(4)
|
As indicated by Management.
|
Alternative Valuation Methods Employed
[FLOW CHART APPEARS HERE]
Discounted Cash Flow
Present value of projected
Analysis unlevered free cash flows "Inherent" value of businesses |
DCF Issues
Financial forecasts developed
by management Discount rate Terminal value |
|||
Valuation Reference
Analysis weighted toward
Range DCF Analysis Compcos and Compaqs do
|
||||
Comparable Company
"Public" Market Value
Analysis Based on trading value of
|
Compco Issues Based upon Public Data |
|||
Comparable Acquisition
"Private" Market Valuation
Analysis Values based on multiples paid
|
Compaq Issues Availability of data Consistency of Accounting Impacted by deal-specific issues (i.e., synergies) |
|||
HPWR Operating Performance & Projections
HPWR Operating Performance and Projections
|
||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||
Raymond
James Confidential Offering Memorandum |
HPWR
Management Presentation |
HPWR
Management Estimates as of 5/2/00 (2) |
Figures
Utilized by Raymond James |
|||||||||
Revenues (1) / (2)
|
||||||||||||
1999Actual |
$
|
37,047 |
$
|
37,047 |
$
|
38,262 |
$
|
38,262 |
||||
2000E |
$
|
49,516 |
$
|
49,516 |
$
|
47,093 |
$
|
47,093 |
||||
2001E |
$
|
53,071 |
$
|
53,071 |
$
|
50,564 |
$
|
50,564 |
||||
2002E |
|
N/A |
|
N/A |
$
|
56,184 |
$
|
56,184 |
||||
2003E |
|
N/A |
|
N/A |
$
|
59,485 |
$
|
59,485 |
||||
2004E |
|
N/A |
|
N/A |
$
|
64,243 |
$
|
64,243 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
EBITDA (1) / (2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
||||||||||||
1999Actual |
$
|
7,170 |
$
|
7,170 |
$
|
4,626 |
$
|
4,626 |
||||
2000E |
$
|
9,671 |
$
|
9,671 |
$
|
8,128 |
$
|
8,128 |
||||
2001E |
$
|
10,883 |
$
|
10,883 |
$
|
9,634 |
$
|
9,634 |
||||
2002E |
|
N/A |
|
N/A |
$
|
12,312 |
$
|
12,312 |
||||
2003E |
|
N/A |
|
N/A |
$
|
13,200 |
$
|
13,200 |
||||
2004E |
|
N/A |
|
N/A |
$
|
13,945 |
$
|
13,945 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
EBIT (1) / (2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
||||||||||||
1999 Actual |
$
|
5,764 |
$
|
5,764 |
$
|
3,220 |
$
|
3,220 |
||||
2000E | $
|
8,347 |
$
|
8,347 |
$
|
6,650 |
$
|
6,650 |
||||
2001E |
$
|
9,560 |
$
|
9,560 |
$
|
8,357 |
$
|
8,357 |
||||
2002E |
|
N/A |
|
N/A |
$
|
11,035 |
$
|
11,035 |
||||
2003E |
N/A |
|
N/A |
$
|
11,923 |
$
|
11,923 |
|||||
2004E |
N/A |
|
N/A |
$
|
12,668 |
$
|
12,668 |
(1) EBITDA and EBIT for 2000-2004 were derived by
Raymond James utilizing projections from the Company's senior
|
Valuation Summary of HPWR
(Dollars in millions) | |||||||||
|
|||||||||
IMPLIED ENTERPRISE VALUE
|
|||||||||
VALUATION METHOD | RANGE
|
MEAN
|
MEDIAN
|
||||||
|
|||||||||
Comparable Public Companies | |||||||||
Sales | $
|
7.7
|
|
$
|
160.8
|
$
|
53.6
|
$
|
30.6
|
EBITDA | $
|
11.5
|
|
$
|
87.9
|
$
|
37.7
|
$
|
35.0
|
EBIT | $
|
11.8
|
|
$
|
173.4
|
$
|
52.8
|
$
|
39.4
|
1999 Net Income | $
|
7.8
|
|
$
|
37.7
|
$
|
23.4
|
$
|
23.6
|
2000 Net Income | $
|
22.1
|
|
$
|
70.8
|
$
|
42.3
|
$
|
30.9
|
Discounted Cash Flow | |||||||||
Values from DCF Matrix | $
|
27.6
|
|
$
|
36.1
|
$
|
31.3
|
$
|
31.3
|
Precedent M&A Transactions | |||||||||
Sales | $
|
15.3
|
|
$
|
287.0
|
$
|
65.0
|
$
|
45.9
|
EBITDA | $
|
18.0
|
|
$
|
96.1
|
$
|
52.9
|
$
|
43.2
|
|
|||||||||
|
(1) Mean of DCF Matrix represents a 17% discount rate and a 4.2 multiple of 2004 EBITDA.
Valuation Summary of HPWR
(Dollars in millions)
|
||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL
|
TOTAL
|
|||||
METHODOLOGY |
TOTAL GROSS
|
EQUITY
|
EQUITY
|
NET
|
EBITDA
|
EBIT
|
NET
|
EBITDA
|
EBIT
|
|
|
||||||||||
Proposed Consideration |
$36.25 |
$27.16 |
$6.98 |
0.9x |
7.9x |
11.3x |
0.8x |
4.5x |
5.4x |
|
Discounted Cash Flow(3) |
$36.7 - $45.2 |
$27.6 - $36.1 |
$7.10 - $9.29 |
1.0x - 1.2x |
8.0x - 9.8x |
11.5x - 14.1x |
0.8x - 1.0x |
4.5x - 5.6x |
5.5x - 6.7x |
|
Comparable Companies |
$32.1 - $41.9 |
$23.0 - $32.8 |
$5.91 - $8.44 |
0.8x - 1.1x |
7.0x - 9.1x |
10.0x - 13.1x |
0.7x - 0.9x |
4.0x - 5.2x |
4.8x - 6.3x |
|
Comparable Acquisitions (4) |
$44.6 - $59.0 |
$35.5 - $49.9 |
$9.13 - $12.84 |
1.2x - 1.5x |
9.7x - 12.8x |
13.9x - 18.4x |
0.9x - 1.3x |
5.5x - 7.3x |
6.6x - 8.8x |
|
|
||||||||||
Reference Range Avg. |
$37.8 - $48.7 |
$28.7 - $39.6 |
$7.38 - $10.19 |
1.0x - 1.2x |
8.2x - 10.6x |
11.8x - 15.2x |
0.8x - 1.1x |
4.7x - 6.0x |
5.6x - 7.3x |
|
|
||||||||||
Less: Net Debt(2) |
($9.1) - ($9.1) |
|||||||||
|
||||||||||
|
||||||||||
Equity Ref. Range |
$28.7 - $39.6 |
$7.38 - $10.19 |
||||||||
|
(1) For the year ended December 31. Projections were provided by the management of the Company on 2/2/00 and then revised on 5/2/00. (2) Assumes net debt (debt less cash) of $2.751 million at the closing as indicated by Management, Management Change of Control Contracts due at the closing of the transaction of $4.743 million, Option Payments of $.471mm and Transactions Expenses of $1.125 million. Financial projections are based on information provided by Company management. Also assumes 3,887,785 total shares outstanding. (3) Assumes a terminal value multiple of 4.0x - 4.4x and a discount rate of 15.0%-19.0% (4) Range utilizes the Mean and Median Multiples from the Analysis
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
The discounted cash flow analysis is based upon 2000-2004 forecasts provided by the management of Health Power. These forecasts were initially put together completed in August, 1999 and subsequently updated in February, 2000 and finalized for purposes of this presentation in May, 2000.
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis | |||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
|||||||||
|
|||||||||
Total Consideration Reference Range | $36.7 | | $45.2 | ||||||
Equity Value Reference Range(1) | $27.6 | | $36.1 | ||||||
Per Share Value Reference Range(1) | $7.10 | | $9.29 | ||||||
Discount Rate | 15.0 | % | | 19.0 | % | ||||
Terminal Value EBITDA Multiple | 4.0x | | 4.4x | ||||||
Multiple of 12/31/99A: | |||||||||
Revenues | $38.2 | 1.0x | 1.2x | ||||||
EBITDA | $ 4.6 | 8.0x | 9.8x | ||||||
EBIT | $ 3.2 | 11.5x | 14.1x | ||||||
Multiple of 12/31/00E: (2) | |||||||||
Revenues | $47.1 | 0.8x | 1.0x | ||||||
EBITDA | $ 8.1 | 4.5x | 5.6x | ||||||
EBIT | $ 6.7 | 5.5x | 6.7x |
|
|
(1)
|
Assumes net debt (debt less cash) of $2.751 million at the closing as indicated by management, Management Change of Control
Contracts due at the closing of the transaction of $4.743 million, Option Payments of $.471million and Transaction Expenses of $1.125 million. Financial projections are based on information provided by Company management. Also assumes 3,887,785 total
shares outstanding.
|
(2)
|
Revised projections were provided by HPWRs management on 2/2/00 and updated on May 2, 2000.
|
Comparable Company Analysis
As comparable public companies, publicly traded companies within the same industry with operations similar to HPWR were chosen, including health care cost containment companies.
Comparable Companies Valuation Summary
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(Dollars in millions)
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
COMPANY
DATA |
MULTIPLE
RANGE (1)(3) |
IMPLIED TOTAL
CONSIDERATION REFERENCE RANGE |
IMPLIED EQUITY
REFERENCE RANGE(2) |
IMPLIED EQUITY
REFERENCE RANGE(2) /SHARE |
||||||||||||||||||
1999Actual Sales | $38.2
|
0.8 | | 1.4 | $30.6 | | $53.5 | $21.5 | | $44.4 | $ 5.53$11.42
|
|||||||||||
1999Actual EBITDA | $ 4.6
|
7.6 | | 8.2 | $35.0 | | $37.7 | $25.9 | | $28.6 | $ 6.66$ 7.35
|
|||||||||||
1999Actual EBIT | $ 3.2
|
12.3 | | 16.5 | $39.4 | | $52.8 | $30.3 | | $43.7 | $ 7.79$11.24
|
|||||||||||
1999Actual Earnings | $ 4.5
|
13.8 | | 13.9 | $62.5 | | $63.0 | $53.4 | | $53.9 | $13.74$13.86
|
|||||||||||
1999Adjusted Earnings(3) | $ 1.7
|
13.8 | | 13.9 | $23.5 | | $23.6 | $14.4 | | $14.5 | $ 3.70$ 3.73
|
|||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
Reference Range(4) | (1999 Average) | $32.1 | | $41.9 | $23.0 | | $32.8 | $ 5.91$ 8.44 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
(1)
|
Multiple Range consists of the Median and the Mean.
|
(2)
|
Assumes net debt (debt less cash) of $2.751 million at closing as indicated by Management, Management Change of Control Contracts due at the closing of the transactions of $4.743 million, Option Payments of $.471 million and Transaction Expenses of $1.125 million. Financial projections are based on information provided by Company management. Also assumes 3,887,785 total shares outstanding. |
(3)
|
1999 Actual Earnings include a one time tax benefit related to a reverse of valuation allowance of approximately $2.8 million.
|
(4)
|
1999 Actual Earnings figures not utilized for purpose of reference range.
|
|
Comparable Acquisitions Analysis
Summary of Comparable Acquisitions Analysis
(Dollars in millions) |
|||||||||||||||||||||
COMPANY DATA | MULTIPLE
RANGE(1) |
IMPLIED TOTAL
CONSIDERATION REFERENCE RANGE |
IMPLIED EQUITY
REFERENCE RANGE (2) |
IMPLIED EQUITY
REFERENCE RANGE (2) /SHARE |
|||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
1999 Actual Sales |
$38.2 |
1.2 |
|
1.7 |
$45.9 |
|
$65.1 |
$36.8 |
|
$56.0 |
$9.47 $14.41 |
||||||||||
1999 Actual EBITDA |
$4.6 |
9.4 |
|
11.5 |
$43.2 |
|
$52.9 |
$34.1 |
|
$43.8 |
$8.77 $11.26 |
||||||||||
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Reference Range: |
(1999 Average) |
$44.6 |
|
$59.0 |
$35.5 |
|
$49.9 |
$9.13 $12.84 |
|||||||||||||
|
(1) | Multiple Range consists of the Median and the Mean. | |
(2) | Assumes net debt (debt less cash) of $2.751 million at closing as indicated by management, Management Change of Control Contracts due at the closing of the transaction of $4.743 million, option payments of $.471 million and Transaction Expenses of $1.125 million. Financial Projects are based on information provided by Company Management. Also assumes 3,887,785 total shares outstanding. |
Recent Acquisitions
Offer Price Premium to Stock Price Prior to Announcement
Target
|
Acquiror
|
Date
Announced |
Offer
Price |
Type of
Consideration |
Prior to Transaction Announcements |
||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 Business Days |
60 Business Days |
90 Business Days |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Premium |
Price |
Premium |
Price |
Premium |
Price |
||||||||||||||||||
United Payors & United
Providers |
BCE Emergis, Inc. | 2/7/00 | $27.00 | Cash | 66.80 | % | $16.19 | 80.00 | % | $15.00 | 57.66 | % | $17.13 | ||||||||||
Sheridan Healthcare Inc. | Management & Vestar Capital Partners | 3/25/99 | $ 9.25 | Cash/Debt | 15.63 | % | $ 8.00 | 32.14 | % | $ 7.00 | 25.42 | % | $ 7.38 | ||||||||||
Concentra Managed Care, Inc. | Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe | 3/3/99 | $16.50 | Stock/Debt | 50.00 | % | $11.00 | 45.05 | % | $11.38 | 50.00 | % | $11.00 | ||||||||||
Compdent Corporaiton | Goldner Thoma, TA Associates & NMS | 7/28/98 | $15.00 | Cash | 17.65 | % | $12.75 | 12.15 | % | $13.38 | -4.00 | % | $15.63 | ||||||||||
MedCath Inc. | Kohlberg, Kravis & Roberts, Welsh Carson | 3/13/98 | $19.00 | Cash | 44.76 | % | $13.13 | 24.59 | % | $15.25 | 20.63 | % | $15.75 | ||||||||||
United Dental Care, Inc. | Protective Life Corp | 3/11/98 | $ 9.31 | Cash/Stock | -19.91 | % | $11.63 | -19.91 | % | $11.63 | -31.67 | % | $13.63 | ||||||||||
Emcare Holdings Inc. | Laidlaw Inc. | 7/30/97 | $38.00 | Cash/Debt | 16.03 | % | $32.75 | 29.91 | % | $29.25 | 37.56 | % | $27.63 | ||||||||||
Value Health Inc. | Columbia/HCA Healthcare Corporation | 1/15/97 | $20.50 | Cash | 13.89 | % | $18.00 | 13.10 | % | $18.13 | 35.54 | % | $15.13 | ||||||||||
Average | 25.60 | % | 27.13 | % | 23.89 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Median | 16.84 | % | 27.25 | % | 30.48 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Low | -19.91 | % | -19.91 | % | -31.67 | % | |||||||||||||||||
High | 66.80 | % | 80.00 | % | 57.66 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Health Power, Inc. | Security Capital Corporation | TBD | $6.98 | Cash | 93.89 | % | $3.60 | 118.81 | % | $3.19 | 140.69 | % | $2.90 |
Health Power, Inc.
Stock Premium Analysis
Summary as of May 3, 2000
[CHART APPEARS HERE]
|
Average HPWR
Stock Price |
Average HPWR
Offer Price |
Average HPWR
Premium |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 10 days | $ | 3.06
|
$ | 6.98
|
128.1%
|
|||
Last 30 days | $ | 3.60
|
$ | 6.98
|
93.9%
|
|||
Last 60 days | $ | 3.19
|
$ | 6.98
|
118.8%
|
|||
Last 90 days | $ | 2.90
|
$ | 6.98
|
140.7%
|
|||
Last 180 days | $ | 2.37
|
$ | 6.98
|
94.5%
|
Health Power, Inc.
Stock Premium Analysis
Last 10 Days as of May 3, 2000
[GRAPH APPEARS HERE]
4/17/00
|
4/18/00
|
4/19/00
|
4/20/00
|
4/25/00
|
4/26/00
|
4/27/00
|
4/28/00
|
5/1/00
|
5/2/00
|
|
Stock Price | 3
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
3.25
|
2.875
|
3.25
|
3.25
|
3
|
3
|
Purchase Price | 6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
Stock Price Purchase Price
|
Health Power, Inc.
Stock Premium Analysis
Last 30 Days as of May 3, 2000
[GRAPH APPEARS HERE]
3/20/00
|
3/22/00
|
3/23/00
|
3/27/00
|
3/29/00
|
3/30/00
|
4/3/00
|
4/5/00
|
4/6/00
|
4/10/00
|
4/12/00
|
4/13/00
|
4/17/00
|
4/19/00
|
4/20/00
|
4/26/00
|
4/28/00
|
5/1/00
|
|
Stock Price | 3.625
|
3.5
|
3.5
|
4
|
4.5
|
4.5
|
4.375
|
4.375
|
4.375
|
3.25
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
2.875
|
3.25
|
3
|
Purchase Price | 6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
Stock Price Purchase Price
|
Health Power, Inc.
Stock Premium Analysis
Last 60 Days as of May 3, 2000
[GRAPH APPEARS HERE]
2/4/00
|
2/9/00
|
2/15/00
|
2/18/00
|
2/24/00
|
3/1/00
|
3/6/00
|
3/9/00
|
3/15/00
|
3/20/00
|
3/23/00
|
3/29/00
|
4/3/00
|
4/6/00
|
4/12/00
|
4/17/00
|
4/20/00
|
4/28/00
|
|
Stock Price | 2.625
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
2.688
|
2.188
|
2.25
|
2.5
|
3
|
3.625
|
3.5
|
4.5
|
4.375
|
4.375
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
3.25
|
Purchase Price | 6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
Stock Price Purchase Price
|
Health Power, Inc.
Stock Premium Analysis
Last 90 Days as of May 3, 2000
[GRAPH APPEARS HERE]
12/22/99
|
12/30/99
|
1/6/00
|
1/13/00
|
1/21/00
|
1/28/00
|
2/4/00
|
2/11/00
|
2/18/00
|
2/28/00
|
3/6/00
|
3/13/00
|
3/20/00
|
3/27/00
|
4/3/00
|
4/10/00
|
4/17/00
|
4/26/00
|
|
Stock Price | 1.375
|
1.688
|
1.75
|
1.813
|
3.063
|
3.375
|
2.625
|
3
|
3
|
2.188
|
2.25
|
3.25
|
3.625
|
4
|
4.375
|
3.25
|
3
|
2.875
|
Purchase Price | 6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
Stock Price Purchase Price
|
Health Power, Inc.
Stock Premium Analysis
Last 180 Days as of May 3, 2000
[GRAPH APPEARS HERE]
8/13/99
|
8/27/99
|
9/10/99
|
9/23/99
|
10/6/99
|
10/19/99
|
11/1/99
|
11/12/99
|
11/26/99
|
12/9/99
|
12/22/99
|
1/5/00
|
1/19/00
|
2/1/00
|
2/14/0
|
2/28/00
|
3/10/00
|
3/23/00
|
4/5/00
|
4/18/00
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Stock Price
|
2.25
|
2.5
|
2.375
|
1.875
|
2.063
|
2
|
0.875
|
1.625
|
1.5
|
1.375
|
1.375
|
1.75
|
3.75
|
2.688
|
3
|
2.188
|
3
|
3.5
|
4.375
|
3
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Purchase Price
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
6.98
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Stock Price Purchase Price
|
Raymond James & Associates, Inc.
CompManagement, Inc. Management Projections
TABLE OF CONTENTS
|
||
---|---|---|
Page | ||
1
|
Executive Summary | |
2
|
Income Statement | |
3
|
Balance Sheet | |
4
|
Cash Flow Statement | |
5
|
Stand Alone Discounted Cash Flow Analysis | |
6
|
Multiple Analysis | |
7
|
IRR Analysis |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Confidential |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Historical
|
Projected
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/97 |
12/31/98 |
12/31/99 |
12/31/00 |
12/31/01 |
12/31/02 |
12/31/03 |
12/31/04 |
||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Income Statement Assumptions | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sales Growth |
N/A |
12.1 |
% |
53.9 |
% |
23.1 |
% |
7.4 |
% |
11.1 |
% |
5.9 |
% |
8.0 |
% | ||||||||||||||
COGS Margin |
49.2 |
% |
54.3 |
% |
59.5 |
% |
58.5 |
% |
57.6 |
% |
57.4 |
% |
57.2 |
% |
57.6 |
% | |||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Profit Margin |
50.8 |
% |
45.7 |
% |
40.5 |
% |
41.5 |
% |
42.4 |
% |
42.6 |
% |
42.8 |
% |
42.4 |
% | |||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SG&A Margin |
23.2 |
% |
29.5 |
% |
28.4 |
% |
24.3 |
% |
23.3 |
% |
20.7 |
% |
20.6 |
% |
20.7 |
% | |||||||||||||
EBIT Margin |
26.7 |
% |
14.6 |
% |
8.4 |
% |
14.1 |
% |
16.5 |
% |
19.6 |
% |
20.0 |
% |
19.7 |
% | |||||||||||||
EBITDA Margin |
27.6 |
% |
16.2 |
% |
12.1 |
% |
17.3 |
% |
19.1 |
% |
21.9 |
% |
22.2 |
% |
21.7 |
% | |||||||||||||
EBITDA Growth |
N/A |
-34.2 |
% |
14.7 |
% |
75.7 |
18.5 |
% |
27.8 |
% |
7.2 |
% |
5.6 |
% | |||||||||||||||
Net Income |
5,644 |
3,351 |
4,535 |
3,809 |
4,799 |
6,352 |
6,867 |
7,299 |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Net Income Margin |
25.4 |
% |
13.5 |
% |
11.9 |
% |
8.1 |
% |
9.5 |
% |
11.3 |
% |
11.5 |
% |
11.4 |
% | |||||||||||||
Net Income Growth |
N/A |
-40.6 |
% |
35.3 |
% |
-16.0 |
% |
26.0 |
% |
32.4 |
8.1 |
% |
6.3 |
% | |||||||||||||||
Capital Expenditure Assumptions | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Capital Expenditures |
$ |
0 |
$ |
0 |
$ |
1,061 |
$ |
850 |
$ |
850 |
$ |
850 |
$ |
850 |
$ | 850
|
|||||||||||||
Total Depreciation Expense |
$ |
214 |
$ |
406 |
$ |
981 |
$ |
951 |
$ |
750 |
$ |
750 |
$ |
750 |
$ | 750
|
|||||||||||||
Balance Sheet Assumptions | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Accounts Receivable (Days of Sales) |
|
|
0.0
|
83.3 |
39.1 |
44.2 |
45.0 |
45.0 |
45.0
|
45.0
|
|||||||||||||||||||
Inventories (Days of COGS) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Prepaid Expenses (% of Sales) |
0.0 |
% |
1.3 |
% |
1.1 |
% |
1.1 |
% |
1.1 |
% |
1.1 |
% |
1.1 |
% | 1.1
|
% | |||||||||||||
Accounts Payable (Days COGS) |
0.0 |
35.8 |
16.4 |
13.4 |
13.4 |
13.4 |
13.4 |
13.4
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Accrued Expenses (Days COGS) |
0.0 |
4.3 |
15.3 |
15.3 |
15.3 |
15.3 |
15.3 |
15.3
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Stand-Alone Discounted Cash Flow | Per Share | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Stand-Alone Enterprise Value |
$ |
40,720
|
$
|
10.5 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
Shareholder Value |
$
|
32,902 |
$
|
8.1 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding |
|
3,888
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Multiple of EBIT |
12.6x |
6.1x |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Multiple of EBITDA |
8.8x |
5.0x |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Multiple of Sales |
1.1x |
0.9x |
Confidential |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Historical |
Projected |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Assets |
12/31/97 |
12/31/98 |
12/31/99 |
12/31/00 |
12/31/01 |
12/31/02 |
12/31/03 |
12/31/04 |
|||||||||||||||||
Cash |
$
|
0
|
$
|
8,714
|
$
|
7,315
|
$
|
8,948 |
$
|
10,113 |
$
|
11,237 |
$
|
11,897 |
$
|
12,849 |
|||||||||
Excess Cash |
0
|
0
|
0 |
0 |
2,481 |
8,861 |
15,919 |
23,332 |
|||||||||||||||||
Accounts Receivable |
0
|
5,671
|
4,094 |
5,706 |
6,234 |
6,927 |
7,334 |
7,920 |
|||||||||||||||||
Inventories |
0
|
0
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||||||||||||||||
Prepaid Expenses |
0
|
321
|
422 |
519 |
558 |
620 |
656 |
709 |
|||||||||||||||||
Other Current Assets |
0
|
0
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Total Current Assets |
$
|
0
|
$
|
14,706
|
$
|
11,831 |
$
|
15,173 |
$
|
19,385 |
$
|
27,645 |
$
|
35,805 |
$
|
44,810 | |||||||||
Gross Property, Plant, and Equipment |
$ |
0 |
$
|
2,931 |
$
|
3,889 |
$
|
4,739 |
$
|
5,589 |
$
|
6,439 |
$
|
7,289 |
$
|
$8,139 |
|||||||||
Accumulated Depreciation |
0
|
0 |
0 |
951 |
1,701 |
2,451 |
3,201 |
3,951 |
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Net Property, Plant and
|
$
|
0 |
$
|
2,931 |
$
|
3,889 |
$
|
3,788 |
$
|
3,888 |
$
|
3,988 |
$
|
4,088 |
$
|
$4,188 |
|||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Deferred Tax Asset |
$
|
0
|
$
|
0
|
$
|
2,155 |
$
|
100 |
$
|
100 |
$
|
100 |
$
|
100 |
$
|
100 |
|||||||||
Other Assets |
0
|
47
|
54 |
54 |
54 |
54 |
54 |
54 |
|||||||||||||||||
Existing Intangibles |
0
|
5,526
|
9,511 |
8,984 |
8,457 |
7,930 |
7,403 |
6,876 |
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Total Assets |
$
|
0
|
$
|
23,210
|
$
|
27,440 |
$
|
28,099 |
$
|
31,884 |
$
|
39,717 |
$
|
47,450 |
$
|
56,028 |
|||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Liabilities & Shareholder Equity | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Accounts Payable |
$
|
0
|
$
|
1,323
|
$
|
1,020 |
$
|
1,008 |
$
|
1,067 |
$
|
1,181 |
$
|
1,246 |
$
|
1,354 |
|||||||||
Accrued Expenses |
0
|
160
|
956 |
1,157 |
1,224 |
1,355 |
1,430 |
1,553 | |||||||||||||||||
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt |
0 |
0 |
3,000 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||||||||||||||||
Deferred Revenue | 0 | 11,166
|
10,528
|
10,360
|
11,124
|
12,360
|
13,087
|
14,133
|
22%
|
||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Total Current Liabilities |
$
|
0
|
$
|
12,649 |
$
|
15,504 |
$
|
12,526 |
$
|
13,415 |
$
|
14,896 |
$
|
15,762 |
$
|
17,040 |
|||||||||
Existing Long-Term Debt |
$
|
0
|
$
|
5,527 |
$
|
1,851 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
|||||||||
Revolver |
0
|
0
|
0
|
1,904 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||||||||||||||||
Deferred Tax Liability |
0
|
222
|
224 |
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|||||||||||||||||
Other Long-Term Liabilities |
0
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||||||||||||||||
Total Liabilities |
$
|
0
|
$
|
18,398
|
$
|
17,579 |
$
|
14,430 |
$
|
13,415 |
$
|
14,896 |
$
|
15,762 |
$
|
17,040 |
|||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Minority Interest |
$
|
0
|
$
|
0
|
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
|||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Common Stock |
$
|
0
|
$
|
1
|
$
|
1 |
$
|
9,861 |
$
|
9,861 |
$
|
9,861 |
$
|
9,861 |
$
|
9,861 |
|||||||||
Additional Paid in Capital |
0
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||||||||||||||||
Other |
0
|
0
|
0
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||||||||||||||||
Retained Earnings |
0
|
4,811
|
9,860 |
3,809 |
8,608 |
14,960 |
21,827 |
29,126 |
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Total Shareholder Equity |
$
|
0
|
$
|
4,812 |
$
|
9,861 |
$
|
13,670 |
$
|
18,469 |
$
|
24,821 |
$
|
31,688 |
$
|
38,987 |
|||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Total Liabilities & Shareholder Equity |
$
|
0 |
$
|
23,210 |
$
|
27,440 |
$
|
28,099 |
$
|
31,884 |
$
|
39,717 |
$
|
47,450 |
$
|
56,028 |
|||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Balance Test |
$
|
0
|
$
|
0
|
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
$
|
0 |
Confidential |
|
|||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Projected | |||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||
12/31/00
|
12/31/01 |
12/31/02 |
12/31/03 |
12/31/04 |
|||||||||||||
Net Income | $
|
3,809 | $
|
4,799 | $
|
6,352 | $
|
6,867 | $
|
7,299 | |||||||
Plus: | Depreciation | |
951 | |
750 | |
750 | |
750 | |
750 | ||||||
Amortization of Existing Intangibles | |
527 | |
527 | |
527 | |
527 | |
527 | |||||||
Net Deferred Tax Increase, (Decrease) | |
1,831 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||
Total Cash Provided by Operations | $
|
7,118 | $
|
6,076 | $
|
7,629 | $
|
8,144 | $
|
8,576 | |||||||
Less: | Required Cash (Increase), Decrease | $
|
(1,633 | ) | $
|
(1,165 | ) | $
|
(1,124 | ) | $
|
(660 | ) | $
|
(952 | ) | |
Accounts Receivable Trade (Increase), Decrease | |
(1,612 | ) | |
(528 | ) | |
(693 | ) | |
(407 | ) | |
(587 | ) | ||
Inventories (Increase), Decrease | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |||||||
Prepaid Expenses (Increase), Decrease | |
(97 | ) | |
(38 | ) | |
(62 | ) | |
(36 | ) | |
(52 | ) | ||
Other Current Assets (Increase), Decrease | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |||||||
Plus: | Accounts Payable Increase, (Decrease) | |
(12 | ) | |
59 | |
114 | |
65 | |
108 | |||||
Accrued Expenses Increase, (Decrease) | |
201 | |
67 | |
130 | |
75 | |
123 | |||||||
Other Current Liabilities Increase, (Decrease) | |
(168 | ) | |
764 | |
1,236 | |
726 | |
1,047 | ||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||
Total Working Capital Sources, (Uses) | $
|
(3,321 | ) | $
|
(841 | ) | $
|
(399 | ) | $
|
(237 | ) | $
|
(313 | ) | ||
Net Cash Provided By (Used in) Operations | $
|
3,797 | $
|
5,235 | $
|
7,231 | $
|
7,907 | $
|
8,263 | |||||||
Less: | Total Capital Expenditures | $
|
(850 | ) | $
|
(850 | ) | $
|
(850 | ) | $
|
(850 | ) | $
|
(850 | ) | |
Other Assets (Increase), Decrease | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||
Net Cash Provided By (Used in) Investing | $
|
(850 | ) | $
|
(850 | ) | $
|
(850 | ) | $
|
(850 | ) | $
|
(850 | ) | ||
Minority Interest | $
|
0 | $
|
0 | $
|
0 | $
|
0 | $
|
0 | |||||||
Extraordinary Items | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |||||||
Common Dividends | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||
Net Cash Provided By (Used in) Financing | $
|
0 | $
|
0 | $
|
0 | $
|
0 | $
|
0 | |||||||
Net Cash Flow | $
|
2,947 | $
|
4,385 | $
|
6,381 | $
|
7,057 | $
|
7,413 | |||||||
Excess Cash Swept to Reduce Revolver | |
(2,947 | ) | |
(4,385 | ) | |
(6,381 | ) | |
(7,057 | ) | |
(7,413 | ) | ||
Additions to, (Repayment) of Revolver | |
(2,947 | ) | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | |
0 | ||||||
Increase (Decrease) in Excess Cash Balance | |
0 | |
4,385 | |
6,381 | |
7,057 | |
7,413 | |||||||
Ending Excess Cash Balance | |
0 | |
2,481 | |
8,861 | |
15,919 | |
23,332 | |||||||
Ending Revolver Balance | $
|
1,904 | $
|
0 | $
|
0 | $
|
0 | $
|
0 |
Confidential |
Stand Alone Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
|
Stand Alone Free Cash Flow
12/31/00 |
12/31/01 |
12/31/02 |
12/31/03 |
12/31/04 |
||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | $
|
8,128 | $ | 9,634 | $ | 12,312 | $ | 13,200 | $ | 13,945 | ||||||||||
Less: Depreciation & Amortization Expense | |
(1,478 | ) | (1,277 | ) | (1,277 | ) | (1,277 | ) | (1,277 | ) | |||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Taxable Operating Profit | $
|
6,650 | $ | 8,357 | $ | 11,035 | $ | 11,923 | $ | 12,668 | ||||||||||
Less: Income Taxes | |
(2,793 | ) | (3,510 | ) | (4,635 | ) | (5,008 | ) | (5,321 | ) | |||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Cash From Operations | $
|
3,857 | $ | 4,847 | $ | 6,400 | $ | 6,915 | $ | 7,347 | ||||||||||
Plus: Depreciation & Amortization Expense | |
1,478 | 1,277 | 1,277 | 1,277 | 1,277 | ||||||||||||||
Less: Working Capital Needs | |
(3,321 | ) | (841 | ) | (399 | ) | (237 | ) | (313 | ) | |||||||||
Less: Capital Expenditures | |
(850 | ) | (850 | ) | (850 | ) | (850 | ) | (850 | ) | |||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | $
|
1,164 | $ | 4,433 | $ | 6,429 | $ | 7,105 | $ | 7,462 | ||||||||||
|
Stand Alone Terminal Value
Discount Rate | 17.00
|
% | |
Terminal EBITA Multiple | 4.20
|
x
|
|
Terminal Value (Year 5 Cash Flow Capitalized) | $55,419
|
Shares Outstanding
Common Shares Outstanding | 3,888 | |
Options Outstanding | 0 | |
|
||
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding | 3,888 | |
|
Stand Alone Valuation
Cumulative Present Value of Cash Flows | $ | 15,442 | ||
Plus: Present Value of Terminal Value | 25,277 | |||
|
||||
Stand Alone Enterprise Value | $ | 40,720 | ||
Less: Market Value of Debt | ($ | 2,751 | ) | |
Less: Management Change of Control Payments | ($
|
4,743 | ) | |
Less: Option Payments & Transaction Expenses | ($
|
1,596 | )
|
|
|
||||
Shareholder Value | $ | 31,630 | ||
|
||||
Shareholder Value per Diluted Share | $ | 8.14 | ||
|
Shareholder Value Sensitivity Analysis
Terminal EBITA Multiple | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 4.00x |
4.20x |
4.40x |
|||||||||
Sh. Value |
Per Share |
Sh. Value |
Per Share |
Sh. Value |
Per Share |
|||||||
15.00% | $33,515 | $8.62 | $34,827 | $8.96 | $36,139 | $9.29 | ||||||
16.00% | $31,933 | $8.21 | $33,189 | $8.54 | $34,446 | $8.86 | ||||||
17.00% | $30,426 | $7.83 | $31,630 | $8.14 | $32,833 | $8.45 | ||||||
18.00% | $28,990 | $7.46 | $30,144 | $7.75 | $31,297 | $8.05 | ||||||
19.00% | $27,621 | $7.10 | $28,727 | $7.39 | $29,833 | $7.67 |
Confidential | Multiple Analysis
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
EBIT
|
EBITDA
|
Sales
|
Offer for
Management, Inc. - Management Projections
|
Value/EBIT
|
Value/EBITDA
|
Value/Sales
|
|||||||||||||||||||
1999 |
2000
|
1999
|
2000 |
1999 |
2000
|
1999
|
2000
|
1999
|
2000
|
1999
|
2000
|
||||||||||||||
$ |
3,220 |
$ |
6,650 |
$ |
4,626 |
$ |
8,128 |
$ |
38,262 |
$
|
47,093 |
$
|
22,905 |
7.1x
|
3.4x |
5.0x |
2.8x |
0.6x |
0.5x |
||||||
$ |
3,220 |
$ |
6,650 |
$ |
4,626 |
$ |
8,128 |
$ |
38,262 |
$
|
47,093 |
$
|
30,540 |
9.5x |
4.6x |
6.6x |
3.8x |
0.8x |
0.6x |
||||||
$ |
3,220 |
$ |
6,650 |
$ |
4,626 |
$ |
8,128 |
$ |
38,262 |
$
|
47,093 |
$
|
40,720 |
12.6x |
6.1x |
8.8x |
5.0x |
1.1x |
0.9x |
||||||
$ |
3,220 |
$ |
6,650 |
$ |
4,626 |
$ |
8,128 |
$ |
38,262 |
$
|
47,093 |
$
|
50,899 |
15.8x |
7.7x |
11.0x |
6.3x |
1.3x |
1.1x |
||||||
$ |
3,220 |
$ |
6,650 |
$ |
4,626 |
$ |
8,128 |
$ |
38,262 |
$
|
47,093 |
$
|
63,624 |
19.8x |
9.6x |
13.8x |
7.8x |
1.7x |
1.4x |
Trading Multiples for Selected Comparable Companies Health Power, Inc.
Company | Head
Quarters |
4/26/00
Stock Price(1) |
52
Week High Price |
52
Week Low Price |
Market
Value of Equity ($MM)(1) |
Net
Debt ($MM) |
Enterprise
Value ($MM) |
LTM
Sales ($MM) |
LTM
Operating Margin ($MM) |
LTM
EBITDA Margin ($MM) |
|||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HEALTH CARE COST CONTAINMENT COMPANIES | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
American Dental Partners, Inc. (ADPI) | MA
|
$ | 7.19 | $ | 13.38 | $ | 5.75 | $ | 51.3 | $ | 41.5 | $ | 92.8 | $ | 117.4 | $ | 12.5 | 10.6 | %
|
$ | 18.7 | 15.9 | %
|
||||||
CorVel Corporation (CRVL) | CA
|
$ | 27.13 | $ | 29.00 | $ | 16.94 | $ | 213.0 | $ | ( 9.0 | ) | $ | 204.0 | $ | 181.3 | $ | 18.7 | 10.3 | %
|
$ | 25.2 | 13.9 | %
|
|||||
First Health Group Corp. (FHCC) | IL
|
$ | 30.19 | $ | 32.63 | $ | 14.56 | $ | 1,429.3 | $ | 204.4 | $ | 1,633.7 | $ | 458.5 | $ | 125.3 | 27.3 | %
|
$ | 154.7 | 33.7 | %
|
||||||
HealthPlan Services Corporation (HPS) | FL
|
$ | 2.88 | $ | 10.19 | $ | 2.31 | $ | 39.3 | $ | 95.8 | $ | 135.1 | $ | 277.4 | $ | 2.5 | 0.9 | %
|
$ | 19.2 | 6.9 | %
|
||||||
Health Risk Management, Inc. (HRMI) | MN
|
$ | 5.75 | $ | 11.50 | $ | 4.38 | $ | 26.8 | $ | 5.4 | $ | 32.2 | $ | 148.8 | $ | 2.3 | 1.5 | %
|
$ | 12.9 | 8.7 | %
|
||||||
HealthStar Corp. (PPOS) | AZ
|
$ | 2.94 | $ | 12.75 | $ | 1.50 | $ | 12.2 | $ | 1.2 | $ | 13.4 | $ | 14.1 | $ | ( 0.6 | ) | (3.9 | %)
|
$ | 0.7 | 5.0 | %
|
|||||
Orthodontic Centers of America, Inc. (OCA) | FL
|
$ | 18.50 | $ | 21.38 | $ | 10.81 | $ | 894.7 | $ | 50.0 | $ | 944.8 | $ | 226.3 | $ | 76.9 | 34.0 | %
|
$ | 89.2 | 39.4 | %
|
||||||
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (PDX) | FL
|
$ | 7.38 | $ | 2.89 | $ | 6.00 | $ | 115.2 | $ | 49.9 | $ | 165.2 | $ | 227.0 | $ | 45.0 | 19.8 | %
|
$ | 57.1 | 25.1 | %
|
||||||
Transcend Services Inc. (TRCR) | GA
|
$ | 3.28 | $ | 10.00 | $ | 1.25 | $ | 14.2 | $ | 1.0 | $ | 15.2 | $ | 47.3 | $ | (7.4 | ) | (15.6 | %)
|
$ | ( 7.2 | ) | (15.2 | %)
|
Industry Sector Average
|
Mean
|
9.4 | % | 14.8 | % | |||
Median | 10.3 | % | 13.9 | % | ||||
High | 34.0 | % | 39.4 | % | ||||
Low | (15.6 | %) | (15.2 | %) |
(1)
|
Information obtained from Bloomberg as of 4/27/00
|
(2)
|
EPS Estimates provided by I/B/E/S.
|
Trading Multiples for Selected Comparable Companies - Health Power, Inc.
|
pg.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Enterprise Value Multiples: |
Market Value
Multiples: |
Stock Price as a Multiple of IBES:(2)
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sales |
EBITDA |
Operating
Income |
Net
Income |
Book
Value |
LTM
EPS |
X |
2000
EPS |
X |
2001
EPS |
X |
|||||||||||||
HEALTH CARE COST CONTAINMENT COMPANIES | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
American Dental Partners, Inc. (ADPI) | |
0.8x
|
|
5.0x
|
|
7.4x
|
|
15.4x
|
|
1.7x
|
|
0.78
|
|
9.2x
|
|
0.89
|
|
8.1x
|
|
1.02
|
|
7.0x
|
|
CorVel Corporation (CRVL) | |
1.1x
|
|
8.1x
|
|
10.9x
|
|
17.6x
|
|
3.7x
|
|
1.41
|
|
19.2x
|
|
1.46
|
|
18.6x
|
|
1.69
|
|
16.1x
|
|
First Health Group Corp. (FHCC) | |
3.6x
|
|
10.6x
|
|
13.0x
|
|
23.6x
|
|
18.8x
|
|
1.36
|
|
22.2x
|
|
1.64
|
|
18.4x
|
|
1.93
|
|
15.7x
|
|
HealthPlan Services Corporation (HPS) | |
0.5x
|
|
7.0x
|
|
54.2x
|
|
na
|
|
1.6x
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
0.50
|
|
5.8x
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
Health Risk Management, Inc. (HRMI) | |
0.2x
|
|
2.5x
|
|
14.1x
|
|
24.6x
|
|
0.9x
|
|
0.58
|
|
9.9x
|
|
0.96
|
|
6.0x
|
|
1.31
|
|
4.4x
|
|
HealthStar Corp. (PPOS) | |
0.9x
|
|
19.1x
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
1.5x
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
Orthodontic Centers of America, Inc. (OCA) | |
4.2x
|
|
10.6x
|
|
12.3x
|
|
20.6x
|
|
3.4x
|
|
1.04
|
|
17.8x
|
|
1.24
|
|
14.9x
|
|
1.58
|
|
11.7x
|
|
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (PDX) | |
0.7x
|
|
2.9x
|
|
3.7x
|
|
6.6x
|
|
0.7x
|
|
1.59
|
|
4.6x
|
|
1.23
|
|
6.0x
|
|
1.54
|
|
4.8x
|
|
Transcend Services Inc. (TRCR) | |
0.3x
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
3.7x
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
na
|
|
Mean | |
1.4x
|
|
8.2x
|
|
16.5x
|
|
18.1x
|
4.0x
|
|
|
13.8x
|
|
|
11.1x
|
|
|
9.9x
|
|||||
Median | |
0.8x
|
|
7.6x
|
|
12.3x
|
|
19.1x
|
|
1.7x
|
|
|
13.9x
|
|
|
8.1x
|
|
|
9.4x
|
||||
High | |
4.2x
|
|
19.1x
|
|
54.2x
|
|
24.6x
|
|
18.8x
|
|
|
22.2x
|
|
|
18.6x
|
|
|
16.1x
|
||||
Low | |
0.2x
|
|
2.5x
|
|
3.7x
|
|
6.6x
|
|
0.7x
|
|
|
4.6x
|
|
|
5.8x
|
|
|
4.4x
|
TC AS A
MULTIPLE OF LTM |
TC AS A
MULTIPLE OF LTM |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TRANSACTION
DATE |
TARGET/ACQUIROR |
LTM
SALES |
TOTAL
CONSIDERATION |
SALES |
EBITDA |
|||||||||
3/29/00 | United Payors & United Prov / BCE Emergis Inc. | $ | 108 | $ | 547 | 5.1 | x | 11.7 | x | |||||
11/2/99 | Paramedical Testing / Hooper Holmes Inc. | $ | 83 | $ | 131 | 1.6 | x | N/A | ||||||
8/18/99 | Concentra Managed Care, Inc. / Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe | $ | 622 | $ | 1,100 | 1.8 | x | 15.8 | x | |||||
6/29/99 | PeopleServe, Inc. / Res-Care, Inc. | $ | 184 | $ | 112 | 0.6 | x | 7.6 | x | |||||
6/18/99 | Compdent Corporation / Golder Thoma, TA Associates & NMS | $ | 173 | $ | 225 | 1.3 | x | 8.4 | x | |||||
5/6/99 | Sheridan Healthcare, Inc. / Management & Vestar Capital Partners | $ | 113 | $ | 75 | 0.7 | x | 3.9 | x | |||||
1/27/99 | EMSA Government Services, Inc. / America Services Group, Inc. | $ | 161 | $ | 67 | 0.4 | x | N/A | ||||||
9/14/98 | United Dental Care, Inc. / Protective Life Corporation | $ | 167 | $ | 180 | 1.1 | x | N/A | ||||||
8/3/98 | MedCath, Inc. / Kohlberg, Kravis & Roberts, Welsh Carson | $ | 129 | $ | 228 | 1.8 | x | 7.1 | x | |||||
2/24/98 | Preferred Payment Systems, Inc. / Concentra Managed Care | $ | 35 | $ | 263 | 7.5 | x | 20.9 | x | |||||
11/6/97 | GMS Dental Group, Inc. / Gentle Dental Service Corporation | $ | 42 | $ | 53 | 1.3 | x | N/A | ||||||
10/10/97 | Choicecare Corporation / Humana | $ | 290 | $ | 245 | 0.8 | x | N/A | ||||||
9/24/97 | Talbert Medical Mgmt Holdings / MedPartners, Inc. | $ | 430 | $ | 198 | 0.5 | x | N/A | ||||||
9/3/97 | EmCare Holdings, Inc. / Laidlaw, Inc. | $ | 226 | $ | 340 | 1.5 | x | 19.0 | x | |||||
8/7/97 | Value Health, Inc. / Columbia/HCA Healthcare Corporation | $ | 1,952 | $ | 1,120 | 0.6 | x | 9.4 | x | |||||
6/26/97 | InPhyNet Medical Management / MedPartners, Inc. | $ | 376 | $ | 370 | 1.0 | x | N/A | ||||||
High | 7.5 | x | 20.9 | x | ||||||||||
Median | 1.2 | x | 9.4 | x | ||||||||||
Mean | 1.7 | x | 11.5 | x | ||||||||||
Low | 0.4 | x | 3.9 | x | ||||||||||
|